Emerson College National: Biden leads Sanders 33-25

[Sorenroy]

Sample size of 429 likely voters, conducted May 10th to May 13th. Change is from their previous poll conducted one month ago.

Biden — 33% (+9%)
Sanders — 25% (-4%)
Harris — 10% (+2%)
Warren — 10% (+3%)
Buttigieg — 8% (-1%)
O'Rourke — 3% (-5%)
Castro — 2% (-1%)
Gillibrand — 2% (+2%)
Yang — 1% (-2%)
Gabbard — 1% (±0)
Gravel — 1% (±0)
Bennet — 1% (-)
Klobuchar — 1% (±0)
Booker — 1% (-1%)
Moulton — 1% (-)
Hickenlooper — 0% (±0)
Williamson — 0% (±0)
Ryan — 0% (-1%)
Swalwell — 0% (-1%)
Inslee — 0% (±0)
Messam — 0% (±0)
Delaney — 0% (-1%)

http://emersonpolling.com/2019/05/13/may-national-poll-biden-back-in-the-lead-for-the-democratic-nomination/

[Matty]

Outlier

Biden is in the 40s

[RFayette]

Outlier

Biden is in the 40s

This.  It's Biden's race to lose.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

#FEELINTHEBERN

[MT Treasurer]

The change from their last poll is much more telling than the result itself considering that this is Sanders’s best pollster.

[Xing]

Emerson is not a good pollster, but assuming that this is junk because it doesn't have Biden up 30 is silly.

[TrumpBritt24]

- As a Gillistan/volunteer for her, I'm hyped for Kirsten's huge move up. It's not where I want her to be, but better than polling behind Messam.

- What the hell is going on with Booker?

- Kamala/Warren/Buttigieg is becoming an interesting race-within-the race to watch.

- Gravel and Yang at 1% make me happy.

- I feel like it's fair to say Beto has fallen to the 2nd, if not 3rd tier of candidates.

- Keep an eye on Julian Castro's slow rise.

[Mr. Morden]

Republican #s:

Trump 86%
Weld 14%

[Rookie Yinzer]

Senator Warren

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Funny how the pollsters that count towards the debate mostly don't bother polling Gravel, but he gets 1% in Emerson.

Outlier

Biden is in the 40s

Morning Consult has him at only 39.

[Shadows]

Biden has got his bump. O'rourke has crashed. We will see how long this lasts, how long Joe can hold on. Is Mayor Pete going to go up & down.

People here jump to conclusions really quick. This is a marathon & you need 2-3 debates to have an idea about what will happen.

Hope Gravel & Gabbard hammer Biden in the debate stage. Shame Ojeda has dropped out. He would have gone after Biden too. Sanders need to contrast his record ferociously but absolutely shouldn't go negative vs Biden.

[The Mikado]

Hope Gravel & Gabbard hammer Biden in the debate stage. Shame Ojeda has dropped out. He would have gone after Biden too. Sanders need to contrast his record ferociously but absolutely shouldn't go negative vs Biden.

The thing I don't understand about this case is wouldn't Gabbard's best option be to hit Bernie? Bernie's the candidate closest to her and she can't succeed while Bernie is monopolizing the left vote, so tearing him down would far and away be the best strategic move from her POV.

[Stranger in a strange land]

Hope Gravel & Gabbard hammer Biden in the debate stage. Shame Ojeda has dropped out. He would have gone after Biden too. Sanders need to contrast his record ferociously but absolutely shouldn't go negative vs Biden.

The thing I don't understand about this case is wouldn't Gabbard's best option be to hit Bernie? Bernie's the candidate closest to her and she can't succeed while Bernie is monopolizing the left vote, so tearing him down would far and away be the best strategic move from her POV.

Gravel isn't going to be in the debates, and if he is, he's going to make a fool of himself.

[ProudModerate2]

The change from their last poll is much more telling than the result itself considering that this is Sanders’s best pollster.

This.
(Biden +9% and Sanders -4%. A swing of 13% between these two candidates.)

[Progressive Pessimist]

Hope Gravel & Gabbard hammer Biden in the debate stage. Shame Ojeda has dropped out. He would have gone after Biden too. Sanders need to contrast his record ferociously but absolutely shouldn't go negative vs Biden.

The thing I don't understand about this case is wouldn't Gabbard's best option be to hit Bernie? Bernie's the candidate closest to her and she can't succeed while Bernie is monopolizing the left vote, so tearing him down would far and away be the best strategic move from her POV.

She wants to be his running mate if he gets the nomination.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Sample size of 429 likely voters, conducted May 10th to May 13th. Change is from their previous poll conducted one month ago.

Biden — 33% (+9%)
Sanders — 25% (-4%)
Harris — 10% (+2%)
Warren — 10% (+3%)
Buttigieg — 8% (-1%)
O'Rourke — 3% (-5%)
Castro — 2% (-1%)
Gillibrand — 2% (+2%)
Yang — 1% (-2%)
Gabbard — 1% (±0)
Gravel — 1% (±0)
Bennet — 1% (-)
Klobuchar — 1% (±0)
Booker — 1% (-1%)
Moulton — 1% (-)
Hickenlooper — 0% (±0)
Williamson — 0% (±0)
Ryan — 0% (-1%)
Swalwell — 0% (-1%)
Inslee — 0% (±0)
Messam — 0% (±0)
Delaney — 0% (-1%)

http://emersonpolling.com/2019/05/13/may-national-poll-biden-back-in-the-lead-for-the-democratic-nomination/

Gravel > Klobuchar and Booker.

[Mr. Morden]

Some fun (low n) crosstabs:

Clinton 2016 primary supporters:
Biden 40%
Harris 15%
Sanders 15%
Warren 9%
Buttigieg 8%
O’Rourke 4%

Sanders 2016 primary supporters:
Sanders 40%
Biden 21%
Warren 11%
Buttigieg 7%
Castro 5%
Harris 5%

age 18-29:
Sanders 41%
Biden 11%
Harris 9%
Buttigieg 9%
Warren 9%

age 65+:
Biden 52%
Harris 12%
Buttigieg 10%
Warren 7%
Sanders 7%

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

#betofatigue

[ElectionsGuy]

I don't get why everyone trashes Emerson when they were the most accurate pollster of the 2018 election cycle.