Morning Consult: Biden 39, Sanders 19, Warren 8, Harris 8
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  2020 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Morning Consult: Biden 39, Sanders 19, Warren 8, Harris 8
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Author Topic: Morning Consult: Biden 39, Sanders 19, Warren 8, Harris 8  (Read 1296 times)
Zaybay
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« on: May 13, 2019, 08:27:33 PM »

https://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/Political-Intelligence-5.13.19.pdf

Joe Biden: 39% (-1%)
Bernie Sanders: 19% (No Change)
Elizabeth Warren: 8% (No Change)
Kamala Harris: 8% (+1%)
Pete Buttigieg: 6% (No Change)
Beto O' Rourke: 5% (No Change)
Cory Booker: 3% (No Change)

All other Candidates received 2% or lower
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YE
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« Reply #1 on: May 13, 2019, 09:23:37 PM »

If today’s polling is any indication Biden received an announcement bump of sorts. This should not be that much of a surprise considering all the other candidates received one as well. It may be starting to fade now.

Nevertheless, Biden, who I have a conflicting opinion of, is favored still but his nomination is not a done deal by any stretch.
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○∙◄☻₯tπ[╪AV┼cVκ└
jfern
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« Reply #2 on: May 13, 2019, 09:46:54 PM »

Well, it's back to its normal of not much changing.
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Matty
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« Reply #3 on: May 13, 2019, 10:07:24 PM »

Damn hardly any movement at all
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #4 on: May 14, 2019, 02:32:06 AM »

The most interesting part about this poll is actually the nosedive Sanders has taken among younger voters:

https://morningconsult.com/form/youth-support-2020/

Not looking good for him at all.

If today’s polling is any indication Biden received an announcement bump of sorts. This should not be that much of a surprise considering all the other candidates received one as well. It may be starting to fade now.

A 1% drop indicates nothing of the sort. It indicates nothing at all, because it is statistically meaningless. If anything, it actually suggests that Biden's bump may be here to stay, unlike the other candidates who received a bump that faded rather quickly. Joe's been running three weeks now, and still no change in his dominant standing in the polls. Not even the slightest hint of decline, and again 1% does not count.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: May 14, 2019, 02:55:44 AM »

Looks like Bidenmania is finally starting to chill out a little bit. Obviously he is still in a very strong position if he can maintain it though.
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YE
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« Reply #6 on: May 14, 2019, 07:55:40 AM »

The most interesting part about this poll is actually the nosedive Sanders has taken among younger voters:

https://morningconsult.com/form/youth-support-2020/

Not looking good for him at all.

If today’s polling is any indication Biden received an announcement bump of sorts. This should not be that much of a surprise considering all the other candidates received one as well. It may be starting to fade now.

A 1% drop indicates nothing of the sort. It indicates nothing at all, because it is statistically meaningless. If anything, it actually suggests that Biden's bump may be here to stay, unlike the other candidates who received a bump that faded rather quickly. Joe's been running three weeks now, and still no change in his dominant standing in the polls. Not even the slightest hint of decline, and again 1% does not count.

There was also...

Quote
Biden — 33% (+9%)
Sanders — 25% (-4%)
Harris — 10% (+2%)
Warren — 10% (+3%)
Buttigieg — 8% (-1%)
O'Rourke — 3% (-5%)
Castro — 2% (-1%)
Gillibrand — 2% (+2%)
Yang — 1% (-2%)
Gabbard — 1% (±0)
Gravel — 1% (±0)
Bennet — 1% (-)
Klobuchar — 1% (±0)
Booker — 1% (-1%)
Moulton — 1% (-)
Hickenlooper — 0% (±0)
Williamson — 0% (±0)
Ryan — 0% (-1%)
Swalwell — 0% (-1%)
Inslee — 0% (±0)
Messam — 0% (±0)
Delaney — 0% (-1%)
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JG
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« Reply #7 on: May 14, 2019, 07:58:22 AM »

The most interesting part about this poll is actually the nosedive Sanders has taken among younger voters:

https://morningconsult.com/form/youth-support-2020/

Not looking good for him at all.

If today’s polling is any indication Biden received an announcement bump of sorts. This should not be that much of a surprise considering all the other candidates received one as well. It may be starting to fade now.

A 1% drop indicates nothing of the sort. It indicates nothing at all, because it is statistically meaningless. If anything, it actually suggests that Biden's bump may be here to stay, unlike the other candidates who received a bump that faded rather quickly. Joe's been running three weeks now, and still no change in his dominant standing in the polls. Not even the slightest hint of decline, and again 1% does not count.

There was also...

Quote
Biden — 33% (+9%)
Sanders — 25% (-4%)
Harris — 10% (+2%)
Warren — 10% (+3%)
Buttigieg — 8% (-1%)
O'Rourke — 3% (-5%)
Castro — 2% (-1%)
Gillibrand — 2% (+2%)
Yang — 1% (-2%)
Gabbard — 1% (±0)
Gravel — 1% (±0)
Bennet — 1% (-)
Klobuchar — 1% (±0)
Booker — 1% (-1%)
Moulton — 1% (-)
Hickenlooper — 0% (±0)
Williamson — 0% (±0)
Ryan — 0% (-1%)
Swalwell — 0% (-1%)
Inslee — 0% (±0)
Messam — 0% (±0)
Delaney — 0% (-1%)

#Gillibrandmentum
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #8 on: May 14, 2019, 03:04:18 PM »

https://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/Political-Intelligence-5.13.19.pdf

Joe Biden: 39% (-1%)
Bernie Sanders: 19% (No Change)
Elizabeth Warren: 8% (No Change)
Kamala Harris: 8% (+1%)
Pete Buttigieg: 6% (No Change)
Beto O' Rourke: 5% (No Change)
Cory Booker: 3% (No Change)

All other Candidates received 2% or lower

Here are the rest of the #s:
Klobuchar 2%
Yang 1%
Gillibrand 1%
Castro 1%
Ryan 1%
Hickenlooper 1%
Gabbard 1%
Bennet 1%
Inslee 1%
Delaney, Bullock, de Blasio, Swalwell, Moulton 0%
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OneJ
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« Reply #9 on: May 17, 2019, 09:31:07 AM »

Those who use Twitter daily:

32% Biden
20% Sanders
11% Warren
9% Harris
7% Buttigieg
7% O’Rourke
14% Other

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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #10 on: May 17, 2019, 10:55:04 AM »
« Edited: May 17, 2019, 10:59:10 AM by 136or142 »

Quote

There was also...

Quote
Biden — 33% (+9%

+9% Joe Lieberman, this is what real Joementum looks like.

For the younger people here:
Joementum: http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/01/25/elec04.prez.lieberman/

Or, for those who remember even further back:

Lloyd Bentsen: "Joe Lieberman, you're no Joementum"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iQ5CIkSlUFI
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
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« Reply #11 on: May 20, 2019, 04:50:32 PM »

The most interesting part about this poll is actually the nosedive Sanders has taken among younger voters:

https://morningconsult.com/form/youth-support-2020/

Not looking good for him at all.

If today’s polling is any indication Biden received an announcement bump of sorts. This should not be that much of a surprise considering all the other candidates received one as well. It may be starting to fade now.

A 1% drop indicates nothing of the sort. It indicates nothing at all, because it is statistically meaningless. If anything, it actually suggests that Biden's bump may be here to stay, unlike the other candidates who received a bump that faded rather quickly. Joe's been running three weeks now, and still no change in his dominant standing in the polls. Not even the slightest hint of decline, and again 1% does not count.
I don't doubt Biden is favored to win at this point, but younger voters will not only never vote for Joe Biden in a million years, they will likely vote against him overwhelmingly. I can attest that many of the people my age are from the "SJW" #woke wing of the party(and Im not being sarcastic lol, they really are) and would never vote for Joe Biden. If Joe Biden wins the primary it's because he keeps his overwhelming numbers with AA's(like Hillary did in 2016)
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Yank2133
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« Reply #12 on: May 21, 2019, 04:05:17 PM »

The whole young people won't vote for Biden is a myth. Biden favorabilities are in the positive with young voters. He isn't their first choice, but he is seen as an acceptable alternative to Bernie if he were not to win the nomination. 

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