Bevin is going to lose, but it has nothing to do with the primaries or the number of registered Democrats in the state. It has to do with the fact that he is widely hated in all parts of the state by all kinds of voters, and unlike last time (when both he and Beshear won statewide races), turnout will not be in his favor. The only people strongly motivated to turnout this time will be people who want him gone. Trust me folks, no partisan lean in presidential elections can overpower the sheer hatred Bevin gets from Kentuckians. It’s not like McConnell where the race can be nationalized as voting for Schumer or whatever, which is why even Papa Beshear couldn’t beat him. But Kentuckians last voted for a Democratic governor in 2011, in the midst of the Tea Party movement and in between two landslide losses for Obama in the state. And he won by a massive 20+ point landslide. More than Obama lost by. And he was Andy Beshear’s dad. These smug “Beshear is doomed because Kentucky is nothing but brainwashed hicks” takes from people who know nothing about the state are rather infuriating, frankly.
POTUS Trump VP Pence & Senator McConnell will fight like Hell to ensure Bevin wins reelection.