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  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Virginiá)
  SC-SEN 2020: Jaime Harrison vs. Lindsey Graham: Who wins?
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Poll
Question: Who wins this matchup?
#1Jaime Harrison (D-S.C.)  
#2Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.)  
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 56

Author Topic: SC-SEN 2020: Jaime Harrison vs. Lindsey Graham: Who wins?  (Read 463 times)
bronz4141
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« on: May 15, 2019, 12:51:42 pm »

I think that Lindsey Graham could be defeated in 2020. South Carolina is a state that has a large black population; Sen. Graham is now a Trump ally to get conservative South Carolina votes.

Can Jaime Harrison, a black Democrat be the second black senator elected (Tim Scott, R)?

Would white South Carolina voters vote for a black Democrat?
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #1 on: May 15, 2019, 12:58:26 pm »

Graham isn't losing. The state is too red, and SC Democrats will need to spend all their resources defending Cunningham anyway.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #2 on: May 15, 2019, 01:01:28 pm »

Lol. Serious question ?

AL has a larger african american population, so by your definition Doug Jones will win reelection ?
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #3 on: May 15, 2019, 01:02:57 pm »

Graham wins 57/42
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Stephen Curry is Awesome
olawakandi
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« Reply #4 on: May 15, 2019, 01:38:31 pm »

GRAHAM
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President Johnson
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« Reply #5 on: May 15, 2019, 01:39:13 pm »

Safe Republican. Nothing to see here.
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SunriseAroundTheWorld
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« Reply #6 on: May 15, 2019, 01:48:16 pm »

Graham wins by 15%
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SvenTC
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« Reply #7 on: May 15, 2019, 02:22:07 pm »

No way Graham loses barring a pedophilia scandal, but I think it'll be closer than his usual affairs.
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Pollster
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« Reply #8 on: May 15, 2019, 06:03:07 pm »

Graham could certainly win by a similar margin to McMaster in 2018, but South Carolina lacks the urban white liberal population that other southern states like VA, NC, GA, and TX have that make them competitive when minority turnout is similarly high.

Of course, that could change if Harrison is able to create a turnout machine that registers new voters and/or turns out low-propensity voters in massive numbers in a manner similar to Beto, but from what I have heard from colleagues is that his stint as SC Dem Party chairman inspires little confidence in his ability to accomplish this (Bakari Sellers was frequently named as somebody who would be more capable).
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UWS
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« Reply #9 on: May 16, 2019, 07:15:59 am »

Not serious at all for question. Graham wins by double digits. You know why? Because it's South Carolina.
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Kevin
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« Reply #10 on: May 16, 2019, 11:30:01 am »

Not serious at all for question. Graham wins by double digits. You know why? Because it's South Carolina.

Democrats investing her is just as ludicrous as the GOP throwing its weight into Rhode Island or Hawaii.
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SvenTC
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« Reply #11 on: May 16, 2019, 11:30:38 am »

Not serious at all for question. Graham wins by double digits. You know why? Because it's South Carolina.

Democrats investing her is just as ludicrous as the GOP throwing its weight into Rhode Island or Hawaii.

Evidently neither of you are familiar with the concept of trends.
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Politician
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« Reply #12 on: May 16, 2019, 11:58:00 am »

Not serious at all for question. Graham wins by double digits. You know why? Because it's South Carolina.

Democrats investing her is just as ludicrous as the GOP throwing its weight into Rhode Island or Hawaii.

Evidently neither of you are familiar with the concept of trends.
Rhode Island: Trended 10.18% R in 2016
Hawaii: Trended 8.76% R in 2016

South Carolina: Trended 2.03% R in 2016

I do agree SC is much more competitive than RI or HI, but that's because it's a less partisan state, and Graham is a weak and unpopular senator.
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Yang2020
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« Reply #13 on: May 16, 2019, 12:19:13 pm »

Thanks to that one brave soul who decided to break the 39-Graham streak.
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True Federalist
Ernest
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« Reply #14 on: May 17, 2019, 09:40:26 pm »

The only reason for a Democratic donor to waste money on Harrison is that they maxed out on what they could give to Cunningham and hope that holding Graham to single digits will help Cunningham.
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The Unbearable Inevitability of Nevada going Democratic
xingkerui
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« Reply #15 on: May 17, 2019, 09:44:50 pm »

Graham, though he’s still more likely to lose than Ernst or McSally tbh
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Deeply Disturbing
jk2020
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« Reply #16 on: May 17, 2019, 09:51:38 pm »

Give it...actually not even sure 6 years is enough. Maybe 2028.
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Esteemed Speaker Jimmy7812
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« Reply #17 on: May 18, 2019, 08:07:43 am »

Graham
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