Rate VA-07 (user search)
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  Rate VA-07 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Which party has a better chance of winning VA-07 in 2020?
#1
Safe D
#2
Likely D
#3
Lean D
#4
Tilt D/Tossup
#5
Tilt R/Tossup
#6
Lean R
#7
Likely R
#8
Safe R
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results


Author Topic: Rate VA-07  (Read 1501 times)
One Term Floridian
swamiG
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,041


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: 3.13

« on: May 16, 2019, 12:04:50 AM »

I live in this district. Spanberger is well-liked and is a common presence here. I think she runs well ahead of the Democratic presidential nominee in this rapidly diversifying part of VA. Lean D
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One Term Floridian
swamiG
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,041


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: 3.13

« Reply #1 on: May 16, 2019, 11:06:54 AM »

I remember how charismatic the incumbent representative sounded on the campaign trail and in the debate. Although I don't agree with her on some policies, I do think her charisma will probably allow her to hang on, especially if 2020 is a year which favors Democrats nationally.

She should hold on and honestly I think VA-2 with Luria will be closer
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One Term Floridian
swamiG
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,041


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: 3.13

« Reply #2 on: May 16, 2019, 02:00:37 PM »

Strong Lean R, quality candidate like Freitas should be able to knock her down by 4-5 points.

Fritos is probably the VA GOP’s best shot here. I’d still give Spanberger the edge though
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One Term Floridian
swamiG
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,041


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: 3.13

« Reply #3 on: May 16, 2019, 03:10:32 PM »

I remember how charismatic the incumbent representative sounded on the campaign trail and in the debate. Although I don't agree with her on some policies, I do think her charisma will probably allow her to hang on, especially if 2020 is a year which favors Democrats nationally.

She should hold on and honestly I think VA-2 with Luria will be closer

I don't know why people think VA-2 would be more competitive, the district has way less rural areas than VA-7, it's just VA Beach, parts of Norfolk and some of the Eastern Shore. While in VA-7 outside of Henrico/Chesterfield you have deep red counties where you have to delicately manage margins. And Virginia Beach has been way more friendly to Dems than Chesterfield ever was.

VA-07 is sharply trending D and the Richmond suburbs are trending D much more rapidly than anything out of the Hampton Roads region.
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