Rate VA-02
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Poll
Question: Which party has a better chance of winning VA-02 in 2020?
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Tilt D/Tossup		  
#5
Tilt R/Tossup		  
#6
Lean R		  
#7
Likely R		  
#8
Safe R		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 62

Author Topic: Rate VA-02  (Read 581 times)
Yang2020
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E: -0.77, S: -2.09

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« on: May 15, 2019, 08:03:07 PM »
Luria won by 2.2% in this district, which Trump carried by 3.4% in 2016.
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💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)
peenie_weenie
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: May 15, 2019, 10:53:07 PM »
Lean D. Luria is a good fit and Virginia Beach is blueshifting.
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S019
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E: -4.13, S: -1.39

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« Reply #2 on: May 15, 2019, 11:03:38 PM »
Tossup/Tilt D
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lfromnj
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« Reply #3 on: May 15, 2019, 11:23:28 PM »
Quote from: Liz or Leave on May 15, 2019, 10:53:07 PM
Lean D. Luria is a good fit and Virginia Beach is blueshifting.
I mean its really just not moving. It swung R and had a marginal D trend in 2016.
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Xing
xingkerui
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E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« Reply #4 on: May 16, 2019, 12:43:10 AM »
Lean D for now.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #5 on: May 16, 2019, 05:02:14 AM »
Lean D as of now

Could see Biden winning this district
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Esteemed Jimmy
Jimmy7812
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E: 2.47, S: -1.05

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« Reply #6 on: May 16, 2019, 02:10:58 PM »
Lean D
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We Live in Black and White
SvenTC
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E: -7.81, S: -6.82

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« Reply #7 on: May 16, 2019, 02:11:43 PM »
Lean D. One of those swing districts where we ran literally the perfect person to win it and hold it down.
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OBD
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« Reply #8 on: May 16, 2019, 02:48:20 PM »
Tilt D. Still a R-leaning district that Luria wasn't expected to win before election day.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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Jamaica
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E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #9 on: May 16, 2019, 06:07:37 PM »
Tilt D, just like VA, which Dems will carry again
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💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)
peenie_weenie
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #10 on: May 16, 2019, 06:15:11 PM »
Quote from: Elliot County Populist on May 15, 2019, 11:23:28 PM
Quote from: Liz or Leave on May 15, 2019, 10:53:07 PM
Lean D. Luria is a good fit and Virginia Beach is blueshifting.
I mean its really just not moving. It swung R and had a marginal D trend in 2016.

Erm yes it is? D's have nearly swept in VA Beach since 2016 - in addition to Luria winning, Northam and Kaine won there and they picked up two HoD seats there and came about three points away from picking up a third in 2017.
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IceSpear
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E: -6.19, S: -6.43

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« Reply #11 on: May 18, 2019, 02:31:14 PM »
Toss up/Tilt D

Trump and the GOP will almost certainly triage the state which should help Luria and Spanberger at the margins.
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