Rate VA-05

[Yang2020]

Denver Riggleman won this district in 2018 by 6.5%. Trump won it in 2016 by 11.1%.

[Politician]

Safe R, if Riggleman won comfortably in 2018 for an open seat it's hard to see him losing in 2020, even though Cockburn wasn't a good candidate.

[One Term Floridian]

Likely R. Cockburn was a horrendous candidate. Granted, TK couldn’t even win this district last year against Confederate Kkkorey so it really might be out of reach for now. But if 2020 looks like a good year, VA Dems would be wise to get Tom Perriello to run for his old seat. He managed to keep his loss close in 2010 of all years so he might be able to win in a good year

[Skunk]

Safe R. If Kaine couldn't win it, it's not happening.

[Xing]

The big foot erotica enthusiast is safe.

[One Term Floridian]

Safe R. If Kaine couldn't win it, it's not happening.

You may be right. I still find it baffling that TK was closer to winning VA-01

https://www.vpap.org/visuals/visual/2018-us-senate-results-congressional-district/

[Frenchrepublican]

Safe R.

White rural folks are voting more and more like in the Deep South and Charlottesville + Albermale County are not enough to make this district competitive

Even Confederate Corey won it

[Esteemed Jimmy]

Safe R

[We Live in Black and White]

Likely R if only for the fact that Riggleman is a weird, weird human being. Otherwise, the district is gone.

[Tartarus Sauce]

Safe R. VA Democrats will save Charlottesville residents from their current plight during the next round of redistricting by folding the area into VA-07.

[wesmoorenerd]

I'm going to be generous and call this one Likely R, mostly because Huffstetler is a seemingly very strong candidate.

[lfromnj]

Stewart/Periello 2020 populist voter.

Likely D

In all reality Safe R LOL.

[lfromnj]

Likely R. Cockburn was a horrendous candidate. Granted, TK couldn’t even win this district last year against Confederate Kkkorey so it really might be out of reach for now. But if 2020 looks like a good year, VA Dems would be wise to get Tom Perriello to run for his old seat. He managed to keep his loss close in 2010 of all years so he might be able to win in a good year

Clearly D's can also compete in VA 9th.

[slothdem]

Safe R, but I think a non-gerrymandered Charlottesville/Southside seat is winnable under the right circumstances. Just gotta ditch Bedford County.

[morgieb]

Likely R, if only because Riggleman seems a really weak incumbent.

[One Term Floridian]

Likely R. Cockburn was a horrendous candidate. Granted, TK couldn’t even win this district last year against Confederate Kkkorey so it really might be out of reach for now. But if 2020 looks like a good year, VA Dems would be wise to get Tom Perriello to run for his old seat. He managed to keep his loss close in 2010 of all years so he might be able to win in a good year

Clearly D's can also compete in VA 9th.

Lol this district isn’t as far-removed from the Dems as the fightin’ 9th

[TWTown]

Safe R, if Riggleman won comfortably in 2018 for an open seat it's hard to see him losing in 2020, even though Cockburn wasn't a good candidate.

[IceSpear]

This is getting ridiculous. Even Corey f'ing Stewart carried this district. But yes, I'm sure ancient news about Bigfoot erotica will cause Riggleman to be vulnerable.

[IceSpear]

Likely R if only for the fact that Riggleman is a weird, weird human being. Otherwise, the district is gone.

Is being a "weird human" worse than being the open white supremacist who just carried this district against a popular incumbent in a D+9 Democratic wave?

[Sestak]

Likely R if only for the fact that Riggleman is a weird, weird human being. Otherwise, the district is gone.

Is being a "weird human" worse than being the open white supremacist who just carried this district against a popular incumbent in a D+9 Democratic wave?

Given the district, yes, actually, it could be.

[VPH]

Lean R; Democrats could win it with Roger Dean Huffstetler.

[IceSpear]

Likely R if only for the fact that Riggleman is a weird, weird human being. Otherwise, the district is gone.

Is being a "weird human" worse than being the open white supremacist who just carried this district against a popular incumbent in a D+9 Democratic wave?

Given the district, yes, actually, it could be.

Riggleman already did better than Stewart back when Riggleman's oddities were months old news rather than years old news. Partially attributable to Leslie Cockburn being a crap candidate, but not entirely.