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  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Silurian)
  Documenting the FL Democratic Party's 20+ year dry spell on a national map (search mode)
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Author Topic: Documenting the FL Democratic Party's 20+ year dry spell on a national map  (Read 2821 times)
President Johnson
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« on: May 18, 2019, 12:49:46 pm »

Yeah, this is an embarrassment. 2018 was definitely winnable, but the Democrats decided to put up a candidate, despite good intentions, out of step with the state. Graham would have won, Levine probably as well. And those pointing out Nelson lost as well, this is true, but he didn't run a strong campaign and Rick Scott, I admit, did so. 2022 will be much tougher, especially if a Democrat is sitting in the Oval Office. 2026 can go either way, obviously too soon to tell.
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President Johnson
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Posts: 9,542
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« Reply #1 on: June 24, 2019, 02:24:27 pm »

The GOP margins have shrunk in every GOV Election since 2002 in FL. The urban areas have turned much bluer while rural and Retirement communites have turned strongly Republican.

The GOP's margins will asymptotically decrease, approaching but never reaching zero.

2022: DeSantis +0.2%

2026: Ashley Moody +0.05%

2030: Ashley Moody +0.01%

2034: Matt Gaetz by a single vote


2038: Exactly tie, but the coin flip results into a Republican win.

2042: Florida is flooded due to climate change and finally turned blue.
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