Rate MT-GOV 2020 (user search)
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  Rate MT-GOV 2020 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Which party will win Montana's governorship in 2020?
#1
Safe D
#2
Likely D
#3
Lean D
#4
Tilt D/Tossup
#5
Tilt R/Tossup
#6
Lean R
#7
Likely R
#8
Safe R
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results


Author Topic: Rate MT-GOV 2020  (Read 1088 times)
UncleSam
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,510


« on: May 16, 2019, 05:50:51 PM »

Wait people think that an open seat in a state Trump won by 20 with a declared statewide officeholder running unopposed in the GOP primary is Tilt R?

Just wanted to confirm that lol. Trump is a pretty good fit for Montana and will carry the state easily, I don’t see how Dems hold this without the advantage of incumbency.
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UncleSam
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,510


« Reply #1 on: May 21, 2019, 09:27:04 AM »

Wait people think that an open seat in a state Trump won by 20 with a declared statewide officeholder running unopposed in the GOP primary is Tilt R?

Just wanted to confirm that lol. Trump is a pretty good fit for Montana and will carry the state easily, I don’t see how Dems hold this without the advantage of incumbency.

This is patently false as two statewide officeholders have already filed on the Republican side (Tim Fox and Corey Stapleton) and Greg Gianforte may very well enter the race as well. If you’re mocking other users's predictions, you should at least get your facts straight.

Also not sure what exactly makes Trump such a good fit for Montana, but okay.
Sorry winning by 21 and causing MT to be 23 points to the right of the NPV isn’t a good fit to you? MT was 8 to the right of the country in 2008 and 15 in 2012. I don’t see an argument that Trump did anything but extremely well in MT as holding much water.

Stapleton is a joke and won’t present much threat in the primary but you’re right, ‘unopposed’ was inaccurate. Fox is going to win easily though, and in the general I’ll be surprised if any Democrat comes within 10 of him.
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