Fox News: Biden +11, Sanders +5, Warren +2, Kamala tied, Pete -1

[Comrade Funk]

Fox News, May 11-14

Biden 49%, Trump 38%
Sanders 46%, Trump 41%
Warren 43%, Trump 41%
Harris 41%, Trump 41%
Trump 41%, Buttigieg 40%

[Zaybay]

As usual, the Dem numbers vary, but the Trump numbers are all extremely similar.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yes, Biden is ahead by more than 4

[GeorgiaModerate]

As usual, the Dem numbers vary, but the Trump numbers are all extremely similar.

Yes, and interestingly lower than Trump's approval rating in the same poll (46%).

[One Term Floridian]

Terrible numbers for Trump imo

[Yank2133]

Trump's approval ratings have been remarkable stable since becoming president.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Even if it is way too early, Trump seems a real DOA against Biden (and to some extend Sanders), but all other races seems winnable (EV). There is 15% undesided and a reasonable (IMHO) assumptions that they will break more towards Trump when election is near enough.


Also, if Biden keep these numbers, it will help him greatly during the primaries.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Even if it is way too early, Trump seems a real DOA against Biden (and to some extend Sanders), but all other races seems winnable (EV). There is 15% undesided and a reasonable (IMHO) assumptions that they will break more towards Trump when election is near enough.


Also, if Biden keep these numbers, it will help him greatly during the primaries.

Why would you assume that undecideds will break more towards an unpopular incumbent?  The opposite seems more likely.  I'm not saying it can't happen that way, but am curious as to your reasoning for the assumption.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Even if it is way too early, Trump seems a real DOA against Biden (and to some extend Sanders), but all other races seems winnable (EV). There is 15% undesided and a reasonable (IMHO) assumptions that they will break more towards Trump when election is near enough.


Also, if Biden keep these numbers, it will help him greatly during the primaries.

Biden still has room to fall, and that's what will end up making the election competitive if it happens. There's no way that Trump only gets 38% of the vote. His real floor is probably 45%. However, if Biden is above 50% and ahead of Trump by at least 3 or 4% consistently in national polls, he should be favored to win, even if it is narrow. It's still too early to say though.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Even if it is way too early, Trump seems a real DOA against Biden (and to some extend Sanders), but all other races seems winnable (EV). There is 15% undesided and a reasonable (IMHO) assumptions that they will break more towards Trump when election is near enough.


Also, if Biden keep these numbers, it will help him greatly during the primaries.

Why would you assume that undecideds will break more towards an unpopular incumbent?  The opposite seems more likely.  I'm not saying it can't happen that way, but am curious as to your reasoning for the assumption.

Haha, fair enough, actually it's more like a feeling than anything else. I didn't look into crosstabs, but I assumed that there were more undecided among right'ish, than left'ish. Also, the view on Trump is so polarised. If you hate him, you hate him a lot, so I get a feeling that if there're still undecided (given all the sh**t Trump done/said) then there are more of types who think like "if Trump doesn't screw up the economy, starts any wars and so on, I might vote for him" than other way around. And when the smear machines start rolling, the view of Trump won't change (already so polarised), while the others will be hurt a bit by it.

Still, just a feeling.

[Frenchrepublican]

Not good poll for Trump
Now Trump had a 46% approval rate in this poll which means that most undecided will likely break for him in the end

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Uncle Joe! Uncle Joe! Uncle Joe!

[Gustaf]

If you don't consider Biden, it just looks like Trump has 41% and the Democratic candidates have support in sync with their name recognition. So this is a horrendous poll for Trump (especially if his approval is 46% in it!)

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

If you don't consider Biden, it just looks like Trump has 41% and the Democratic candidates have support in sync with their name recognition. So this is a horrendous poll for Trump (especially if his approval is 46% in it!)

This.

[Sestak]

Wait yeah the Trump numbers are basically all the same lol