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Poll
Question: Which party has a better chance of winning MN-02 in 2020?
#1
Safe D
#2
Likely D
#3
Lean D
#4
Tilt D/Tossup
#5
Tilt R/Tossup
#6
Lean R
#7
Likely R
#8
Safe R
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Author Topic: Rate MN-02  (Read 757 times)
Yang2020
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Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: -2.09

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« on: May 16, 2019, 06:39:38 PM »
Angela Craig picked up this district by 5.5% in 2018. Trump won it in 2016 by 1.2%.
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Esteemed Jimmy
Jimmy7812
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,406
United States
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E: 2.47, S: -1.05

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« Reply #1 on: May 16, 2019, 06:45:07 PM »
Lean D
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #2 on: May 16, 2019, 06:59:57 PM »
« Edited: May 16, 2019, 07:06:44 PM by Frenchrepublican »
Lean to Likely D

In my humble opinion, the political climate will matter a lot in this race, it is probably one of the few Trump district which will flip to Biden and thus Craig is clearly favoured
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We Live in Black and White
SvenTC
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Posts: 1,697
United States


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E: -7.81, S: -6.82

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« Reply #3 on: May 16, 2019, 07:15:40 PM »
I think this district trends ever further away from the GOP in the end. Likely D.
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Gracile
gracile
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Junior Chimp
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E: -8.00, S: -7.65

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« Reply #4 on: May 16, 2019, 07:34:37 PM »
Strong Lean D
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cvparty
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« Reply #5 on: May 16, 2019, 09:00:26 PM »
how many different threads are you going to make
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One Term Floridian
swamiG
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E: -2.06, S: 3.13

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« Reply #6 on: May 16, 2019, 09:55:38 PM »
Quote from: Yang2020 on May 16, 2019, 09:21:26 PM
Quote from: cvparty on May 16, 2019, 09:00:26 PM
how many different threads are you going to make

More than the number of women you and your descendants are ever going to sleep with, concern trolling c**nt.

Whoa wtf
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Not_Madigan
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E: -3.29, S: -7.74

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« Reply #7 on: May 16, 2019, 09:56:51 PM »
Quote from: swamiG on May 16, 2019, 09:55:38 PM
Quote from: Yang2020 on May 16, 2019, 09:21:26 PM
Quote from: cvparty on May 16, 2019, 09:00:26 PM
how many different threads are you going to make

More than the number of women you and your descendants are ever going to sleep with, concern trolling c**nt.

Whoa wtf

This is one of the reasons I go on Atlas:  People who do sh**t like this.
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One Term Floridian
swamiG
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E: -2.06, S: 3.13

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« Reply #8 on: May 16, 2019, 09:58:56 PM »
Quote from: Not_A_Man on May 16, 2019, 09:56:51 PM
Quote from: swamiG on May 16, 2019, 09:55:38 PM
Quote from: Yang2020 on May 16, 2019, 09:21:26 PM
Quote from: cvparty on May 16, 2019, 09:00:26 PM
how many different threads are you going to make

More than the number of women you and your descendants are ever going to sleep with, concern trolling c**nt.

Whoa wtf

This is one of the reasons I go on Atlas:  People who do sh**t like this.

Is this what happened to Limo Liberal? Lol
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We Live in Black and White
SvenTC
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E: -7.81, S: -6.82

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« Reply #9 on: May 16, 2019, 10:02:01 PM »
Quote from: cvparty on May 16, 2019, 09:00:26 PM
how many different threads are you going to make

Who cares, it gives me a reason to get my postcount up in a perfectly legitimate manner. Tongue
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One Term Floridian
swamiG
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E: -2.06, S: 3.13

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« Reply #10 on: May 16, 2019, 10:03:27 PM »
Quote from: SvenTC on May 16, 2019, 10:02:01 PM
Quote from: cvparty on May 16, 2019, 09:00:26 PM
how many different threads are you going to make

Who cares, it gives me a reason to get my postcount up in a perfectly legitimate manner. Tongue

This fellow Atlas no0b agrees
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We Live in Black and White
SvenTC
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E: -7.81, S: -6.82

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« Reply #11 on: May 16, 2019, 10:05:57 PM »
Quote from: swamiG on May 16, 2019, 10:03:27 PM
Quote from: SvenTC on May 16, 2019, 10:02:01 PM
Quote from: cvparty on May 16, 2019, 09:00:26 PM
how many different threads are you going to make

Who cares, it gives me a reason to get my postcount up in a perfectly legitimate manner. Tongue

This fellow Atlas no0b agrees

Actually a ten-year veteran (which is exactly as sad as it sounds) and just got unbanned. Welcome to the forum, though. Smiley
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Not_Madigan
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Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

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« Reply #12 on: May 16, 2019, 10:11:04 PM »
Quote from: SvenTC on May 16, 2019, 10:05:57 PM
Quote from: swamiG on May 16, 2019, 10:03:27 PM
Quote from: SvenTC on May 16, 2019, 10:02:01 PM
Quote from: cvparty on May 16, 2019, 09:00:26 PM
how many different threads are you going to make

Who cares, it gives me a reason to get my postcount up in a perfectly legitimate manner. Tongue

This fellow Atlas no0b agrees

Actually a ten-year veteran (which is exactly as sad as it sounds) and just got unbanned. Welcome to the forum, though. Smiley

Go away old man Tongue
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One Term Floridian
swamiG
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E: -2.06, S: 3.13

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« Reply #13 on: May 16, 2019, 10:42:52 PM »
Quote from: SvenTC on May 16, 2019, 10:05:57 PM
Quote from: swamiG on May 16, 2019, 10:03:27 PM
Quote from: SvenTC on May 16, 2019, 10:02:01 PM
Quote from: cvparty on May 16, 2019, 09:00:26 PM
how many different threads are you going to make

Who cares, it gives me a reason to get my postcount up in a perfectly legitimate manner. Tongue

This fellow Atlas no0b agrees

Actually a ten-year veteran (which is exactly as sad as it sounds) and just got unbanned. Welcome to the forum, though. Smiley

Thank you and welcome back! Smiley
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Pericles
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« Reply #14 on: May 16, 2019, 10:52:04 PM »
Lean D seems accurate.
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Xing
xingkerui
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Posts: 30,303
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E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« Reply #15 on: May 16, 2019, 11:22:02 PM »
Lean D works for now.
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cvparty
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« Reply #16 on: May 16, 2019, 11:50:10 PM »
Quote from: Yang2020 on May 16, 2019, 09:21:26 PM
Quote from: cvparty on May 16, 2019, 09:00:26 PM
how many different threads are you going to make

More than the number of women you and your descendants are ever going to sleep with, concern trolling c**nt.
damn u really went in
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morgieb
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 9,636
Australia


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E: -7.87, S: -8.70

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« Reply #17 on: May 17, 2019, 01:17:34 AM »
Yeah Lean D makes sense. Lewis was a sh**t incumbent but even though it's a Trump seat I don't think it'll vote for him again, and it's also hard to knock incumbents out in non-wave years. And I really doubt 2020 will be a Republican wave year.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
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Posts: 21,106
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E: 7.10, S: -7.65

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« Reply #18 on: May 17, 2019, 07:30:46 AM »
Lean D, but should be competitive. I'm more interested in what happens to this district after 2020, it could easily get more Republican, but if Democrats are controlling the districts, they'll probably get Rochester or Mankato in there to make it more secure.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #19 on: May 17, 2019, 07:52:48 AM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on May 17, 2019, 07:30:46 AM
Lean D, but should be competitive. I'm more interested in what happens to this district after 2020, it could easily get more Republican, but if Democrats are controlling the districts, they'll probably get Rochester or Mankato in there to make it more secure.

Yeah, I agree with you, it is easy to see how dems could make the district more D friendly, you just trade Scott County (which go in MN01) for Olmsted county
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HarrisonL
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« Reply #20 on: May 17, 2019, 11:27:02 AM »
Trump did win this district in 2016, but I expect it to continue to trend Democratic, Congresswoman Craig will be re-elected by around a 52-48 to 53-47% margin.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
Mr. X
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« Reply #21 on: May 17, 2019, 11:44:05 AM »
Tilt D
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andjey
Junior Chimp
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Ukraine
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« Reply #22 on: May 17, 2019, 12:45:37 PM »
Lean D, closer to Likely D than Tossup
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TWTown
GhostOfHuey
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« Reply #23 on: May 17, 2019, 12:53:47 PM »
Voted Likely D, I don't see how suburbs like Eagan are going to flip back barring some kind of Republican wave
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LiberalDem19
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E: -4.90, S: -6.26

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« Reply #24 on: May 17, 2019, 10:07:07 PM »
Craig won Dakota County by 5 in 2016, she'll win Dakota by more than that this time through. I rated it Lean D in case a Green Party candidate splits the vote.
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