Portuguese elections 2011
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  Portuguese elections 2011
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Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Who would you have voted for?
#1
PS
 
#2
PPD/PSD
 
#3
CDS-PP
 
#4
BE
 
#5
CDU
 
#6
PCTP/MRPP
 
#7
MEP
 
#8
PND
 
#9
PPM
 
#10
MPT
 
#11
PH
 
#12
PNR
 
#13
PPV
 
#14
PTP
 
#15
POUS
 
#16
PAN
 
#17
PDA
 
#18
Blank/Invalid
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 14

Author Topic: Portuguese elections 2011  (Read 825 times)
Mike88
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« on: May 18, 2019, 08:39:11 AM »
« edited: May 18, 2019, 08:42:54 AM by Mike88 »

The previous elections:

Portuguese elections 1975
Portuguese elections 1976
Portuguese elections 1979
Portuguese elections 1980
Portuguese elections 1983
Portuguese elections 1985
Portuguese elections 1987
Portuguese elections 1991
Portuguese elections 1995
Portuguese elections 1999
Portuguese elections 2002
Portuguese elections 2005
Portuguese elections 2009

The 2011 general election, scheduled for June 5, was called after the resignation of PM José Sócrates on March 2011.

Parties:

PS - Socialist Party center-left, leader José Sócrates
PPD/PSD - Social Democratic Party, center-right, leader Pedro Passos Coelho
CDS-PP - CDS-People's Party, center-right, leader Paulo Portas
BE - Left Bloc, left-wing, leader Francisco Louçã
CDU - Unitary Democratic Coalition (PCP, PEV), left-wing, leader Jerónimo de Sousa
PCTP/MRPP - Portuguese Workers' Communist Party, far-left/Maoism, leader António Garcia Pereira
MEP - Hope for Portugal Movement, liberal/centrist, leader Rui Marques
PND - New Democracy Party, center-right to right-wing, leader Joel Viana
PPM - People's Monarchist Party, center-right to right-wing, leader Paulo Estêvão
MPT - Earth Party, center-right, leader Pedro Quartin Graça
PH - Humanistic Party, center-left, leader Manuela Magno
PNR - National Renovator Party, far-right, leader José Pinto Coelho
PPV - Portugal Pro-Life, right-wing, leader Luís Botelho Ribeiro    
PTP - Portuguese Labour Party, center-left, leader Amândio Madaleno
POUS - Workers Party of Socialist Unity, far-left, leader Carmelinda Pereira
PAN - Party for Animals and Nature, center-left, leader Paulo Borges
PDA - Democratic Party of the Atlantic, centrism, leader Manuel Costa

Background:

The PS won reelection in the 2009 general elections, but scored the worst result ever for an incumbent government that is reelected in Portuguese history. The PS minority was the smallest since the PSD minority in 1985. CDS-PP and BE were the two big surprises in the election, with CDS-PP polling 3rd, contradicting all polls, and BE scoring almost 10%, although they were hoping to place at 3rd. CDU was able to hold to its ground, while PSD was the biggest loser by polling just 29%, basically the same as 2005. Two weeks after, Portuguese voters went to the polls again to elect local governments. In those elections, PSD hold on to their status as the biggest local party, although only just, as the PS made significant gains and the difference, in term of % points, was just 1% between the two main parties. After the local elections, President Cavaco Silva asked Sócrates to form government and all opposition parties, from left to right, refused to support Sócrates. José Sócrates was, nonetheless, sworn in to a second term as PM in late October 2009. The PSD leader, Manuela Ferreira Leite, said she would not run for a second term as PSD leader, and called party elections for March 2010. During this period, the country was in recession, and the deficit was almost 10%. By early 2010, the economy started to recover by growing more than 2%, but the government was being forced to implement austerity measures by the EU and the markets. The PS 2010 budget passed, in February 2010, thanks to the abstention of the PSD, which was on a leadership campaign. On January 2010, Parliament approved the legalization of same-sex marriages with the votes of PS, BE and CDU, while PSD and CDS voted against.

On March 26, 2010, the PSD elected Pedro Passos Coelho as leader. He got 61% of the votes, against the 34% of his rival, Paulo Rangel. Seen from the liberal wing of the party, Passos Coelho started to negotiate several austerity policies with Sócrates, which forced Coelho to apologize to the electorate some positions. The PSD surged in the polls and tied with the PS from spring to summer 2010, while some PSD policies were receiving a lot of negative press coverage, like the idea to reform the Constitution which was later drooped. The economy, by this stage, was growing but losing steam. By the fall of 2010, the economy was on the verge of stagnation and Portugal was feeling the pressure of Financial Markets, as Greece and Ireland were bailed out. The 2011 budget resulted in tense negotiations between PS and PSD, which ended with both parties forging an agreement. The PSD would abstain in the vote, like in the 2010. The budget predicted tax hikes and budget cuts for 2011, in order to satisfy markets. But, that wasn't working. After the budget was approved, the government introduced amendments to the budgets, called PECs, which created a sense of panic and lack of leadership in the view of the markets and the electorate. As the PSD was surging in the polls, President Cavaco Silva was reelected with 53% of the votes in early 2011, and in his sworn in speech in March 2011, he lashed out against Sócrates saying he wasn't capable to control the country's economy and finances. The political climate was dark by this stage.

In mid March 2010, hundreds of people went to the streets to protest against the government's policies. The "Geração à Rasca" (the Troubled Generation) protests showed a deep anger towards Sócrates government. The economic situation was quite grim, with markets shutting the door to Portugal as the country wasn't able to borrow money to pay for expenses. On the PSD, Passos Coelho was being pressured to go for the kill and drop Sócrates and the PS. On March 23, Parliament struck down Sócrates 4th PEC with PSD, CDS, BE and CDU voting against the government. Sócrates resign and asked Cavaco Silva to call snap elections. But, there was another problem. Portugal was near bankruptcy and Sócrates was refusing to as a bailout, at the same time the bankers and business leaders were pleading for Sócrates to accept a bailout. At the end, it was his Finance minister, Teixeira dos Santos, who pull the plug and asked for a bailout, against the wishes of Sócrates. Their relationship was tarnished by this decision. The EU and IMF bailout was approved and the government started negotiating harsh austerity policies. President Cavaco called elections for June 5th.

During the first stage of the campaign, the PS closed the gap with the PSD and even pull ahead of the Social Democrats in some polls, but Sócrates announcement of the deal between Portugal and EU/IMF was badly received by the media, as it was labeled as false and misleading. After the leaders debate, the PSD started to surge, again, in the polls while the PS drooped. Sócrates, and the PS, campaign with the motto of defending Portugal and fighting for it, while PSD campaign on change. The campaign was quite tense between PS and PSD. BE was falling in the polls, while CDS was hoping to become a major party, as some polls gave them around 15%. The stage was set for the 2011 elections.
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Sirius_
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« Reply #1 on: May 18, 2019, 11:38:32 AM »

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_Party_of_the_Atlantic

Doesn't look centrist to me.
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Mike88
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« Reply #2 on: May 18, 2019, 11:44:55 AM »


The English Wikipedia page doesn't seem updated on the political position. PDA was indeed founded in the late 70's as a far-right/right-wing party, but over time it started supporting center-left policies and candidates. For example, they supported Manuel Alegre's presidential runs in 2006 and 2011, and for the 2011 elections, they ran with some candidates that came from the PS.
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Mike88
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« Reply #3 on: May 19, 2019, 09:14:29 AM »

Campaign slogans and jingles:

PS - Socialist Party
Quote
Defending Portugal, Building the future. Vote PS

PPD/PSD - Social Democratic Party
Quote
It's time for change. Vote Passos Coelho. Vote PSD
PPD/PSD jingle: It's time for change

CDS-PP - CDS-People's Party
Quote
This is the moment. For you. For all. Portugal. Vote CDS-PP

BE - Left Bloc
Quote
Change the Future. Vote BE

CDU - Unitary Democratic Coalition (PCP, PEV)
Quote
Now CDU, for leftwing and patriotic policies.

PCTP/MRPP - Portuguese Workers' Communist Party
Quote
For a patriotic and democratic government. The voice of those who don't have a voice. Vote PCTP/MRPP

MEP - Hope for Portugal Movement
Quote
Families First. Vote MEP

PPM - People's Monarchist Party
Quote
National Independence. For a better Portugal. Vote PPM

MPT - Earth Party
Quote
Proud to be Portuguese. I vote MPT

PNR - National Renovator Party
Quote
Portugal Always. Vote PNR

PPV - Portugal Pro-Life
Quote
Vote PPV, a vote that saves lives.

PTP - Portuguese Labour Party
Quote
The strength that you see. Vote PTP

PAN - Party for Animals and Nature
Quote
More value to values. Vote PAN

PDA - Democratic Party of the Atlantic
Quote
Fighting for the North. Relaunch Portugal. Vote PDA
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Mike88
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« Reply #4 on: May 21, 2019, 05:08:31 PM »

TV election campaign broadcasts:

PS - Socialist Party
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rLjOYTbiySw

PPD/PSD - Social Democratic Party
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S_o04mqpmeo

CDS-PP - CDS-People's Party
Not available

BE - Left Bloc
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0LzXcvfOv94

CDU - Unitary Democratic Coalition
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D9BS7h5YFus
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Mike88
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« Reply #5 on: May 22, 2019, 06:18:28 PM »

More TV election campaign broadcasts:

PCTP/MRPP - Portuguese Workers' Communist Party
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ANTxUDPkgPg

MEP - Hope for Portugal Movement
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HybkJClKmE8

PNR - National Renovator Party
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WBlGFlstbhQ

PPV - Portugal Pro-Life
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ta5RWhKFAGY

PTP - Portuguese Labour Party
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NOIgCpGPA-c

POUS - Workers Party of Socialist Unity
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ag0zDwdJrZs

PAN - Party for Animals and Nature
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PurGyCISfQA
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Former President tack50
tack50
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« Reply #6 on: May 22, 2019, 07:08:00 PM »

BE
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Mike88
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« Reply #7 on: May 25, 2019, 05:59:38 AM »
« Edited: May 25, 2019, 06:07:44 AM by Mike88 »

2011 election debates:

Sócrates (PS) vs Passos Coelho (PSD)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cMGWpZ2QqyY

Sócrates (PS) vs Louçã (BE)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lSx4RkUbwaw

Louçã (BE) vs Portas (CDS)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9CgGezHZDco

Sócrates (PS) vs Portas (CDS)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6p0x3uaoYb0

Louçã (BE) vs Passos Coelho (PSD)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vjxt3eiOobI

Louçã (BE) vs Jerónimo (CDU)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s__kAkZ08Ys

Portas (CDS) vs Passos Coelho (PSD)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pa6XVrKjo1U

Portas (CDS) vs Jerónimo (CDU)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VKWRlcyCql8

Sócrates (PS) vs Jerónimo (CDU)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T-hGmI-5eq0

Passos Coelho (PSD) vs Jerónimo (CDU)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PjDweAxn6PI
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VPH
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« Reply #8 on: May 25, 2019, 08:06:47 PM »


The English Wikipedia page doesn't seem updated on the political position. PDA was indeed founded in the late 70's as a far-right/right-wing party, but over time it started supporting center-left policies and candidates. For example, they supported Manuel Alegre's presidential runs in 2006 and 2011, and for the 2011 elections, they ran with some candidates that came from the PS.

Also they seemed to become a weird regionalist outfit by the end of their time. Not only did they seek to represent the Azores, but also to push for autonomy for the North. The party ads on youtube are really useful for checking out some of these smaller parties.
https://youtu.be/MAoDdXVRgAo
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Mike88
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« Reply #9 on: May 29, 2019, 05:14:51 PM »

This poll is now closed. Atlas results compared with the real 2011 results:

Atlas results:

28.6% PS
14.3% PPD/PSD
14.3% BE
14.3% MEP
  7.1% CDS-PP
  7.1% CDU
  7.1% PNR
  7.1% PPV
  0.0% Others/Invalid

2011 election results:

38.7% PPD/PSD
28.1% PS
11.7% CDS-PP
  7.9% CDU
  5.2% BE
  1.1% PCTP/MRPP
  1.0% PAN
  0.4% MPT
  0.4% MEP
  0.3% PNR
  0.3% PTP
  0.3% PPM
  0.2% PND
  0.2% PPV
  0.1% POUS
  0.1% PDA
  0.1% PH
  4.1% Blank/Invalid

Next, the 2015 elections.
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