How will Justin Amash do in his primary?

[heatcharger]

This one came as a surprise to me:

https://twitter.com/justinamash/status/1129831615952236546

Could be an interesting thing to observe!

[Senator Incitatus]

Wonder if Amash might just try to become the first LP member of Congress.

[ElectionsGuy]

Wish him luck. He is one of the few very genuine members of Congress who tells it like it is and doesn't care about the implications on their popularity or political survival. Practically an icon for how Congress should function and do their job.

I think he can survive but he'll probably have another close call. I'm not optimistic in the least.

[Suburbia]

Wish him luck. He is one of the few very genuine members of Congress who tells it like it is and doesn't care about the implications on their popularity or political survival. Practically an icon for how Congress should function and do their job.

I think he can survive but he'll probably have another close call. I'm not optimistic in the least.

[Suburbia]

He may not run for reelection.

He may be the LP candidate. He should campaign in PA, WI, MI, OH, FL, AZ.

[Zaybay]

If he runs for reelection, I see no reason for his race to become difficult. Hes been doing stuff like this for his entire career, this isnt new.

But there is a good chance he doesnt run again, either due to getting the LP nomination, or simply just being in the minority.

[HAnnA MArin County]

Soon as Individual-1 sends out a tweet, Amash will be DOA for breaking the cardinal commandment of the #MAGA Cult: "Thou shalt not have no other gods before Trump."

I haven't been following this race very closely. Have any other deplorables lined up to take on Amash?

[UncleSam]

I mean he probably won’t win a primary if he runs at this point but he is more likely to retire. This isn’t the sort of thing you post if you care at all about getting re-elected.

[Frodo]

It is crystal clear GOP voters only want Trump sycophants loyalists to represent them, so anytime a Republican politician in the House stands up to him, it is a good indication they are not planning on running for re-election.   

[voice_of_resistance]

Could he potentially retire to run for Senate against Peters? He'd make a fairly strong candidate, I'd imagine.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Could he potentially retire to run for Senate against Peters? He'd make a fairly strong candidate, I'd imagine.

In a GE he would win, but he won’t make it past a primary

[SnowLabrador]

Probably 40-50% if he even runs.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

I think he'll pull it out.  I'd be less confident in saying that if Trump won his district in the primary instead of Cruz.  (Obviously extrapolating this from a primary from three years ago isn't the best #analysis, but Republicans in his district probably like Amash more than they like Trump, and Michigan is an open primary state.)

I wish him well.  He was my third favorite House Republican after Ron Paul and Walter Jones.  Now he's the only sane one left.

[Suburbia]

It is crystal clear GOP voters only want Trump sycophants loyalists to represent them, so anytime a Republican politician in the House stands up to him, it is a good indication they are not planning on running for re-election.   

True. Same thing with the Democratic voters under Clinton and Obama. John Breaux, Joe Lieberman, Joe Manchin were a thorn in their presidencies.

I like free thinkers.

[Xing]

I think he'll still pull it out, but it'll be close.

[brucejoel99]

I think he'll pull it out, but it'll likely be a close call.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Justin Amash doesn't seem like someone who would pull out. I think he'll keep pumping on

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

This district voted for Lucifer in 2016 over Trump so MAYBE he survives, but I don't think he's safe anymore

[Some of My Best Friends Are Gay]

I think he'll pull it out.  I'd be less confident in saying that if Trump won his district in the primary instead of Cruz.  (Obviously extrapolating this from a primary from three years ago isn't the best #analysis, but Republicans in his district probably like Amash more than they like Trump, and Michigan is an open primary state.)

I wish him well.  He was my third favorite House Republican after Ron Paul and Walter Jones.  Now he's the only sane one left.

"Ron Paul" and "sane" don't belong anywhere near each other in any context whatsoever.

[IceSpear]

I think he'll pull it out.  I'd be less confident in saying that if Trump won his district in the primary instead of Cruz.  (Obviously extrapolating this from a primary from three years ago isn't the best #analysis, but Republicans in his district probably like Amash more than they like Trump, and Michigan is an open primary state.)

I wish him well.  He was my third favorite House Republican after Ron Paul and Walter Jones.  Now he's the only sane one left.

You'd be hard pressed to find any district where Republican primary voters like their representative more than Trump. Maybe in Utah.

[S019]

Alabama voters preferred Moore over the God Emperor’s choice of Luther Strange

[One Term Floridian]

Justin Amash doesn't seem like someone who would pull out. I think he'll keep pumping on

That's what she said.

[Unbeatable Titan Susan Collins]

Wish him luck. He is one of the few very genuine members of Congress who tells it like it is and doesn't care about the implications on their popularity or political survival. Practically an icon for how Congress should function and do their job.

I think he can survive but he'll probably have another close call. I'm not optimistic in the least.

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

It is crystal clear GOP voters only want Trump sycophants loyalists to represent them, so anytime a Republican politician in the House stands up to him, it is a good indication they are not planning on running for re-election.   

True. Same thing with the Democratic voters under Clinton and Obama. John Breaux, Joe Lieberman, Joe Manchin were a thorn in their presidencies.

I like free thinkers.

A Democrat who retired in 2004, a Democrat who has never faced a real primary challenge, and a Democrat who was primaried in 2006 and then won anyway are your evidence that Democrats hate free thinkers?

[lfromnj]

He wins likely similarly to Steve King. Plurality due to a clown car coming from GOP's in the district wanting a seat.