Georgia's Very Own Megathread!

[Frodo]

In other words: GA Dems will NEVER flip both chambers of the GA General Assembly anytime soon in our lifetime ?

Never? No.

I think Griff's analysis from a few months back is on point (emphasis added):

GA, by default, has been on the IL pathway for a long time. This is where one big urban cluster and its metro area grows so big that it carries the rest of the state across the finish line kicking and screaming. That, given the attitudes in our party, will likely be how GA goes Democratic. It will, however, have many drawbacks - the most obvious one being that we'll probably be a minority in the General Assembly for anywhere from 10-20 years after we take the Governor's mansion. We'll end up controlling every statewide office but be incapable of passing even the most basic legislation. GA Democrats won't have a legitimate chance to truly govern until some time in the 2030s - especially now that Kemp has won (and maybe as late as 2040, depending). If the suburbs truly do crack, though, then some of this will be mitigated.

I fully expect Dems to win statewide offices here by 2022 at the latest (the offices up in 2020 - two of the PSC seats and the Insurance Commissioner - are possible gains,) but there will be lag in the General Assembly, so there will be divided government for a while.

At the very least, there will be no GOP supermajorities in the General Assembly - that ship has sailed - so a future Dem governor won't have to deal with the same flood of veto overrides Roy Cooper had to deal with in North Carolina. On the other hand, a Dem governor will have trouble getting their agenda through the legislature in the first place.

They should still be able to get Medicaid expansion through, at least.  Here in Virginia, of the roughly 20+ Republicans in the General Assembly who voted for expansion, only three of them got serious primary challengers.  That should send a signal to Republicans in other states, perhaps even Georgia.  

[Frodo]

Cinyc compiled a map of population changes in every municipality and county since 2010, which you can find here. It's customizable, meaning you can change the scale/steps to make colors more or less intense based on growth/loss.

Anyway, here's Georgia:

If we were to use pre-2008 Virginia as an analogy, the Atlanta area is comparable to the Northern Virginia suburbs, and Savannah is like Richmond and its suburbs (as well as Norfolk/Hampton Roads) all wrapped together.  

[Frodo]

John Barrow should primary Warnock. If he managed to win, the general is safe D.

Why?

[Frodo]

Yup, this is over. Moving it to Safe R.

LOL

[Frodo]

All doped up and nowhere to go!

https://www.cbsnews.com/atlanta/news/new-georgia-house-republican-arrested-on-drug-and-theft-charges/

WINDER, Ga. (AP) — An incoming Georgia state representative has been arrested after investigators said he stole prescription narcotics at the retirement complex he manages.

Danny Rampey, 67, of Statham, was arrested Thursday, jail records show. He was charged with six counts of obtaining drugs by misrepresentation or theft, six counts of exploiting an elder or disabled adult, five counts of burglary, and one count of drug possession.

Rampey remained jailed Friday with no bail set. It's unclear if he has a lawyer.

Rampey, a Republican, faced no general election opposition in his November victory in House District 119, which includes most of Barrow County. Rep. Terry England, the current officeholder, is retiring. Rampey easily won an earlier GOP primary.

The Athens Banner-Herald reports Rampey was arrested at Magnolia Estates of Winder, an assisted living complex that Rampey has managed for 38 years, according to his campaign website.

Barrow County Sheriff Jud Smith said Rampey is believed to have burglarized a house that is part of the complex. Officials said the investigation began about two weeks ago after missing prescription narcotics were reported. Deputies said they arrested Rampey as he was leaving an unoccupied unit on Thursday.

Did voters in his district know all this already, or did they not give a damn?