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September 21, 2019, 12:41:54 pm
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  Atlas Forum
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Silurian)
  Rate Kentucky (2019) (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Rate the gubernatorial race in Kentucky
#1Safe Bevin  
#2Likely Bevin  
#3Lean Bevin  
#4Toss-Up/Tilt Bevin  
#5Toss-Up/Tilt Beshear  
#6Lean Beshear  
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 103

Author Topic: Rate Kentucky (2019)  (Read 1191 times)
ElectionsGuy
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Posts: 17,044
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.42, S: -7.65

P P P
« on: May 22, 2019, 01:16:50 pm »

I'm changing my characterization of this race from Likely R --> Lean R. No, not because 60% of votes cast in the primary were Democratic, more so because Bevin got a pathetic margin of victory out of his primary. There's a very real risk of Republicans staying home, Bevin is going to practically beg Trump to come into Kentucky to save his ass. I realize we're a half year out, but all the signs so far confirm Bevin is, in fact, the least popular governor in the country and he performed like it yesterday. Bevin still has a (pathetically) weak advantage going into the general election.

I know there are a few posters sticking to their guns calling it Safe R, but I think you're gonna have egg on your face if this thing ends up close.
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