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September 19, 2019, 11:43:40 am
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active

  Atlas Forum
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Silurian)
  Rate Kentucky (2019) (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Rate the gubernatorial race in Kentucky
#1Safe Bevin  
#2Likely Bevin  
#3Lean Bevin  
#4Toss-Up/Tilt Bevin  
#5Toss-Up/Tilt Beshear  
#6Lean Beshear  
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 103

Author Topic: Rate Kentucky (2019)  (Read 1184 times)
swamiG
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 443


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: 3.13

P

« on: May 22, 2019, 01:42:26 pm »

While Democrats getting more votes overall is irrelevant, the fact that Bevin did so poorly in the primary does give me pause. While I definitely don't want to get my hopes up, and I still think most Republicans will come home for Bevin, I'll acknowledge that there's a chance he could lose, even if it is a Jim Carrey chance. I'll move this from Safe R to Likely R.

This should never have been Safe R to begin with lol
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swamiG
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 443


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: 3.13

P

« Reply #1 on: May 22, 2019, 06:54:46 pm »

At the moment, I'd tilt it to Beshear, but I would bet my bottom dollar that Trump does 2-3 rallies in the state and makes the race Likely R. I wouldn't underestimate Beshear, though, he probably has a better chance than Bevin ignoring Trump.

Why are you #NeverBeshear, according to your signature? Just curious
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swamiG
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 443


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: 3.13

P

« Reply #2 on: May 23, 2019, 06:01:48 am »

At the moment, I'd tilt it to Beshear, but I would bet my bottom dollar that Trump does 2-3 rallies in the state and makes the race Likely R. I wouldn't underestimate Beshear, though, he probably has a better chance than Bevin ignoring Trump.

Why are you #NeverBeshear, according to your signature? Just curious

https://www.kentucky.com/news/politics-government/article174005941.html

Not a fan of political dynasties either.

This literally has nothing to do with *Andy* aka Baby Beshear
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