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July 15, 2019, 01:40:34 pm
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  Atlas Forum
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, VirginiŠ)
  Rate Kentucky (2019) (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Rate the gubernatorial race in Kentucky
#1Safe Bevin  
#2Likely Bevin  
#3Lean Bevin  
#4Toss-Up/Tilt Bevin  
#5Toss-Up/Tilt Beshear  
#6Lean Beshear  
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 102

Author Topic: Rate Kentucky (2019)  (Read 1005 times)
ℭ𝔲𝔯𝔰𝔢𝔡 𝔖𝔢𝔪𝔢𝔫𝔰
Enlightened_Centrist 420
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
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Posts: 3,608


« on: May 23, 2019, 02:48:51 pm »

Tossup, although Tilt R if forced to choose. You could definitely make a case for Lean R, but I really donít buy the Safe R KY meme.

KY-SEN 2020 is Safe R, but this race isnít.

How would such a map look? Itís not hard for me to envision Beshear getting to around 45#ē% (just a bit better than Jim Grayís performance), but after that Iím stumped. He needs either red suburbs to go his way or a resurrection of coal mining Dems

He does most likely need to win over a large number of ancestral Democrats in Coal Country, which is why I believe Rocky Adkins would have been a better candidate than Beshear, but oh well. I suppose it's possible Beshear could still win by swinging the suburbs way to the left and winning back a couple rural counties, but I wouldn't count on it.
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