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September 21, 2019, 04:21:01 pm
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  Maryland Gubernatorial Elections (2002-2018) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Maryland Gubernatorial Elections (2002-2018)  (Read 801 times)
PragmaticPopulist
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Posts: 1,830
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Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -5.57

« on: May 23, 2019, 05:25:42 pm »

Once Hogan is term-limited, the MD GOP may not have any bench for a statewide race. Andy Harris is far too conservative, and if MD-06 gets changed to be R-leaning, I doubt that Rep will be statewide material.
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PragmaticPopulist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,830
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -5.57

« Reply #1 on: May 23, 2019, 05:28:30 pm »

Why did Ehrlich lose anyway? I thought he was decently popular. Republican governors in Connecticut, Rhode Island, Vermont, California and Hawaii (!!!) won reelection in '06 and Hogan won reelection last fall so there has to have been more to it than just the wave.
He did have positive approvals on election day in 2006, but it still wasn't enough. Hogan had about +40 approvals and only won by 11, so gives you a sense of how Democratic Maryland really is.
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PragmaticPopulist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,830
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -5.57

« Reply #2 on: May 25, 2019, 10:01:33 am »

Pretty incredible how the Maryland GOP got utterly annhilated in all the major county executive races even with Hogan romping in all of them. They ran 40 points behind him in Baltimore County, Anne Arundel and Frederick.
Hogan's performance had quite literally no downballot coattails.

He scored his party a net gain of 1 seat in State Senate races, with 2 gains (1 in Clinton territory, 1 in Trump territory), and 1 loss (in Clinton territory). There were downballot coattails.

Ironically, this is not the 1st time in recent memory where a party gained seats in the Maryland State Senate while the national environment had tilted heavily in the other direction. Democrats took a net gain of 2 seats in the Maryland State Senate in 2010.

Who was the clown that managed to lose a Clinton seat last year? There's no excuse for that, particularly when people like Jan Gardner were easily winning in light red turf as Hogan was landsliding.

Robbie Leonard

It was an open seat vacated by the Jim Brochin, the Conservative Democrat who lost the Baltimore County Executive Democratic Primary by 17 votes.
To be fair, some places in Maryland tend to just have a less Democratic lean than in presidential elections. Clinton carried Baltimore County by 17, while Olszewski won by 15.
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PragmaticPopulist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,830
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -5.57

« Reply #3 on: May 25, 2019, 03:10:23 pm »

Pretty incredible how the Maryland GOP got utterly annhilated in all the major county executive races even with Hogan romping in all of them. They ran 40 points behind him in Baltimore County, Anne Arundel and Frederick.
Hogan's performance had quite literally no downballot coattails.

He scored his party a net gain of 1 seat in State Senate races, with 2 gains (1 in Clinton territory, 1 in Trump territory), and 1 loss (in Clinton territory). There were downballot coattails.

Ironically, this is not the 1st time in recent memory where a party gained seats in the Maryland State Senate while the national environment had tilted heavily in the other direction. Democrats took a net gain of 2 seats in the Maryland State Senate in 2010.

Who was the clown that managed to lose a Clinton seat last year? There's no excuse for that, particularly when people like Jan Gardner were easily winning in light red turf as Hogan was landsliding.

Robbie Leonard

It was an open seat vacated by the Jim Brochin, the Conservative Democrat who lost the Baltimore County Executive Democratic Primary by 17 votes.
To be fair, some places in Maryland tend to just have a less Democratic lean than in presidential elections. Clinton carried Baltimore County by 17, while Olszewski won by 15.

What I do not get is then why did Republicans fail to win the seat in 2014 when the national environment was much better for them?
Incumbency, most likely. Brochin was entrenched.
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