Monmouth National: Biden 33, Sanders 15, Harris 11, Warren 10

[ltomlinson31]

Biden - 33%
Sanders - 15%
Harris - 11%
Warren - 10%
Buttigieg - 6%
Beto - 4%
Klobuchar- 3%
Booker, de Blasio, Gabbard, Williamson, Yang - 1%
Bennet, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Bullock - <1%

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_US_052319/

[Matty]

Harris big move?

Why??

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Harris big move?

Why??

not really a big move, considering margins of error. She's been in the high single digits for a while so this could just be an outlier at the edge of the MoE.

Everyone else seems about at the right spot.

Also worth noting that I think (?) this puts de Blasio over the edge for polling requirements.

[whale]

Could you change your > to a <? Got excited for a moment that so many people hit 1%

[Mr. Morden]

Bennet, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Bullock - <1%

In addition to those candidates at "<1%", they also list these candidates at 0%:

Bullock, Gravel, Messam, Moulton, Swalwell

[The Mikado]

So this is Williamson's third, right?

[President Johnson]

Hopefully Bernie continues to tank. Sadly, seems that Biden support has gone down a little, but still a healthy lead.

Hopefully Mayor Pete rises again. He has risen to my second choice after Uncle Joe.

[Sorenroy]

Change from their previous poll (a little over a month ago):

Biden — 33% (+6%)
Sanders — 15% (-5%)
Harris — 11% (+3%)
Warren — 10% (+4%)
Buttigieg — 6% (-2%)
O'Rourke — 4% (±0)
Klobuchar — 3% (+2%)
Booker — 1% (-1%)
Castro — 1% (+1%)
de Blasio — 1% (±0)
Gabbard — 1% (+1%)
Williamson — 1% (+1%)
Yang — 1% (+1%)
Bennet — 0% (±0)
Delaney — 0% (±0)
Gillibrand — 0% (±0)
Hickenlooper — 0% (-2%)
Inslee — 0% (±0)
Ryan — 0% (±0)
Bullock — 0% (±0)
Gravel — 0% (-)
Messam — 0% (±0)
Moulton — 0% (±0)
Swalwell — 0% (±0)

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/ryanstruyk/status/1131604379025498112?s=21

[I Can Now Die Happy]

The communists from The Young Turks, Secular Talk, etc as well as the anti white, anti alpha male, anti old D's will savage Feeble Joe with attacks to the point that this poll is going to be looked back on with laughter in the not too far away future.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

The communists from The Young Turks, Secular Talk, etc as well as the anti white, anti alpha male, anti old D's will savage Feeble Joe with attacks to the point that this poll is going to be looked back on with laughter in the not too far away future.

Bernie got 44% of the vote in 2016 and he’s polling 15% three years later...

[The Mikado]

The communists from The Young Turks, Secular Talk, etc as well as the anti white, anti alpha male, anti old D's will savage Feeble Joe with attacks to the point that this poll is going to be looked back on with laughter in the not too far away future.

Where did you get the idea that The Young Turks or whatever the hell Secular Talk is are more influential in the Democratic Primaries than, like, 50 year old black women, who are basically the key Democratic primary voter demo?

[Progressive Pessimist]

Ignore NYC Millennial Minority, it's all a schtick. They don't mean it.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

One of the more fascinating things about Harris is that amongst Democrats, she consistently polls very low when it comes to unfavorability. It's lower than the unfavorable ratings of Yang, Klobuchar, Buttigieg, Castro, Delaney and even those of Williamson, Gravel, Bullock, and Ryan, and unlike every other candidate, it's actually DECLINED overtime. Her rating was 4 points higher back in January than it is now.

Favorable/Unfavorable:

Biden: 74%/17%
Sanders: 65%/21%
Warren: 60%/14%
O'Rourke: 40%/19%
Harris: 58%/9%
Klobuchar: 32%/10%
Buttigieg: 35%/11%
Booker: 41%/13%
Gillibrand: 28%/17%
Castro: 28%/10%
Delaney:13%/12%
Yang: 12%/13%
Williamson: 10%/10%
Gravel: 5%/10%
Ryan: 15%/15%
Bullock: 11%/11%

[FRSJ]

Ignore NYC Millennial Minority, it's all a schtick. They don't mean it.

Schtick or not, "anti-alpha male" is my new favorite Democratic policy.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

The communists from The Young Turks, Secular Talk, etc as well as the anti white, anti alpha male, anti old D's will savage Feeble Joe with attacks to the point that this poll is going to be looked back on with laughter in the not too far away future.

Bernie got 44% of the vote in 2016 and he’s polling 15% three years later...

John McCain went from 32% in 2000 to 7% in a nationwide poll a month before the 2008 Iowa caucus.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

The communists from The Young Turks, Secular Talk, etc as well as the anti white, anti alpha male, anti old D's will savage Feeble Joe with attacks to the point that this poll is going to be looked back on with laughter in the not too far away future.

Bernie got 44% of the vote in 2016 and he’s polling 15% three years later...

John McCain went from 32% in 2000 to 7% in a nationwide poll a month before the 2008 Iowa caucus.

...and he came in third in Iowa with only 13% and was still able to win the nomination, yes. But coming so low in Iowa and still taking the nomination is an enigma, and polls show him tanking in New Hampshire as well.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Ignore NYC Millennial Minority, it's all a schtick. They don't mean it.

Schtick or not, "anti-alpha male" is my new favorite Democratic policy.

I'll give them that, it is pretty amusing.

[I Can Now Die Happy]

Ignore NYC Millennial Minority, it's all a schtick. They don't mean it.

Schtick or not, "anti-alpha male" is my new favorite Democratic policy.

When it comes to Feeble Joe, the D's will also turn out to be Anti-Alzheimers and Anti-Dementia.

[Mr. Morden]

Harris edges out Sanders for 2nd place among women:

men:
Biden 27%
Sanders 20%
Warren 9%
Buttigieg 7%
Harris 7%

women:
Biden 37%
Harris 13%
Sanders 12%
Warren 11%

Sanders just 1 point behind Biden among those under 50, but tied for 6th place among those over 50:

age 18-49:
Biden 26%
Sanders 25%
Harris 10%
Warren 10%
Buttigieg 6%
Klobuchar 3%
O’Rourke 3%

age 50+:
Biden 40%
Harris 11%
Warren 10%
Buttigieg 6%
O’Rourke 5%
Klobuchar 4%
Sanders 4%

Warren’s supporters are pretty white:

non-Hispanic whites:
Biden 28%
Sanders 15%
Warren 15%
Harris 11%

Hispanics or non-whites:
Biden 38%
Sanders 16%
Harris 10%
Warren 5%

Warren’s supporters also tend to have college degrees:

not college grad:
Biden 35%
Sanders 17%
Harris 10%
Buttigieg 6%
Warren 6%

college grad:
Biden 29%
Warren 17%
Harris 12%
Sanders 12%
Buttigieg 7%

[The Free North]

Sanders continues to make 0 progress with older voters and its going to cost him once again.

He really is dead in the water.

[UncleSam]

Harris is the most likely to benefit from a Biden collapse imo. But this is Biden’s to lose.

[BlueSwan]

One of the more fascinating things about Harris is that amongst Democrats, she consistently polls very low when it comes to unfavorability. It's lower than the unfavorable ratings of Yang, Klobuchar, Buttigieg, Castro, Delaney and even those of Williamson, Gravel, Bullock, and Ryan, and unlike every other candidate, it's actually DECLINED overtime. Her rating was 4 points higher back in January than it is now.

Favorable/Unfavorable:

Biden: 74%/17%
Sanders: 65%/21%
Warren: 60%/14%
O'Rourke: 40%/19%
Harris: 58%/9%
Klobuchar: 32%/10%
Buttigieg: 35%/11%
Booker: 41%/13%
Gillibrand: 28%/17%
Castro: 28%/10%
Delaney:13%/12%
Yang: 12%/13%
Williamson: 10%/10%
Gravel: 5%/10%
Ryan: 15%/15%
Bullock: 11%/11%

I'm shocked that 11% of democrats have an unfavourable view of Buttigieg. The guy is IMO the most easily likable candidate for a major party I have witnessed in my lifetime.

[S019]

One of the more fascinating things about Harris is that amongst Democrats, she consistently polls very low when it comes to unfavorability. It's lower than the unfavorable ratings of Yang, Klobuchar, Buttigieg, Castro, Delaney and even those of Williamson, Gravel, Bullock, and Ryan, and unlike every other candidate, it's actually DECLINED overtime. Her rating was 4 points higher back in January than it is now.

Favorable/Unfavorable:

Biden: 74%/17%
Sanders: 65%/21%
Warren: 60%/14%
O'Rourke: 40%/19%
Harris: 58%/9%
Klobuchar: 32%/10%
Buttigieg: 35%/11%
Booker: 41%/13%
Gillibrand: 28%/17%
Castro: 28%/10%
Delaney:13%/12%
Yang: 12%/13%
Williamson: 10%/10%
Gravel: 5%/10%
Ryan: 15%/15%
Bullock: 11%/11%

I'm shocked that 11% of democrats have an unfavourable view of Buttigieg. The guy is IMO the most easily likable candidate for a major party I have witnessed in my lifetime.

Maybe it has to do with his absurd, extreme, and unacceptable views on court packing and other such bad ideas

[Mr. Morden]

One of the more fascinating things about Harris is that amongst Democrats, she consistently polls very low when it comes to unfavorability. It's lower than the unfavorable ratings of Yang, Klobuchar, Buttigieg, Castro, Delaney and even those of Williamson, Gravel, Bullock, and Ryan, and unlike every other candidate, it's actually DECLINED overtime. Her rating was 4 points higher back in January than it is now.

Favorable/Unfavorable:

Biden: 74%/17%
Sanders: 65%/21%
Warren: 60%/14%
O'Rourke: 40%/19%
Harris: 58%/9%
Klobuchar: 32%/10%
Buttigieg: 35%/11%
Booker: 41%/13%
Gillibrand: 28%/17%
Castro: 28%/10%
Delaney:13%/12%
Yang: 12%/13%
Williamson: 10%/10%
Gravel: 5%/10%
Ryan: 15%/15%
Bullock: 11%/11%

I'm shocked that 11% of democrats have an unfavourable view of Buttigieg. The guy is IMO the most easily likable candidate for a major party I have witnessed in my lifetime.

Some of those people presumably don't know who he is, but are just saying they have an unfavorable opinion anyway.  (And the same goes for everyone else in this poll, though less so for those with the highest name recognition.)  I remember years ago PPP did an experiment in which they polled the favorability of a fake name, and the numbers were similar to what Gravel has in this poll: ~15% or so claimed to have an opinion of them, and the opinion skewed negative, even though it wasn't a real person.  Presumably that's because there are people who don't want to admit that they don't recognize a name in a poll, and are more comfortable offering a negative opinion of an unknown person than a positive opinion.  Or maybe they just instinctively offer a negative opinion of everyone except their one or two favorites.