2016: Trump's respectable performance in Maine and winning ME-02
2012: Missouri's hard R swing
2008: Indiana
2004: Iowa flipping to Bush given its isolationist streak
2000: Gore losing his home state
1996: Arizona, Georgia
1992: Florida
1988: Maryland having no change from 1984
1984: Reagan only losing Minnesota
1980: Arkansas, Nevada
1976: Massachusetts
1972: McGovern's weakness in WV and strength in WI
1968: Wallace losing the Carolinas.
1964: The near-reversal of the parties Florida coalition compared with 1960
1960: South Carolina voting for a Catholic
1956: Missouri
1952: Kentucky
1948: New York
1944: Michigan
1940: Wisconsin and Ohio
1936: Pennsylvania swinging to FDR so hard
1932: None, but those Cajun's flipping to Hoover
1928: Rhode Island
1924: LaFollette losing North Dakota
1920: Tennessee voting Republican
1916: New Hampshire
1912: Utah voting for Taft
1908: Nebraska
1904: Missouri
1900: None
Some questions I have ;
2004: Bush nearly won Iowa in 2000 so it didn’t require much of a shift to win it at all and 4 years prior , IA would be considered one of the states that Bush had the best chance of flipping in 04.
2000: Clinton nearly lost Tennessee in 96 , so I don’t think people would consider even Gore losing that state more surprising than losing WV a state that Clinton won by 15 points and a state that even a North East Liberal like Dukakis won despite losing big time nationally .
1984 : If peolple say knew Reagan was going to win even bigger than 1980 I don’t think the overall results would be surprising at all just that PA was closer than NY
1980: Why would Nevada be surprising in 1980, a Western Conservative nominee was literally the perfect fit for that state . Massachusetts was far far more surprising, the idea that a Western Conservative could win that state against an incumbent President while even Nixon couldn’t is easily the most shocking result , even more than Arkansas .
1964: I don’t think anyone In 1960 would think the Deep South would flip by 64
1928: Texas going Republican would be far more surprising than Rhode Island
