Vosem
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Political Matrix
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« on: May 28, 2019, 02:24:18 AM » |
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2008 was definitely Indiana, beyond a shadow of a doubt. Remains the most shocking state result of the 21st century. Hard to say from before 2000, especially since the country as a whole was more elastic, but here're the ones since then:
2000: West Virginia (but, allowing the specific candidates, Tennessee)
2004: Kind of nothing, but FL and WV were both much more Republican than might've been expected
2008: Indiana by far, with MO still going R in a distant second and NC going D in third. VA going D in a large wave would not have been surprising in 2004.
2012: Kind of nothing, but a few states swung much harder than most would've predicted; IN and WV to the Rs, AK to the Ds
2016: Michigan. Some of the swings (OH/MO to the Rs, AZ/TX to the Ds) would've been shocking, but Michigan going R outright would've been shocking, yeah.
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