What will be the UK's status toward the EU on 01/01/2020?

[Antonio the Sixth]

I'm curious what the forum thinks, because I have no friggin' clue at this point. I'm guessing the most likely scenario is yet another extension, but given that the Tories seem to be coming on board with No Deal I wouldn't be surprised it that actually happened, despite how insane it would be. Options 1 and 4 seem a lot less likely (although I guess a clever Tory leader could find a more palatable way to repackage May's deal or some version of it), but who knows.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Option 3. The ride never ends.

[CumbrianLefty]

Another extension to provide for a GE and/or another referendum can't be ruled out now.

[Storr]

I'd guess a further extension. It's much easier to extend it again after the first extension.

[Green Line]

No deal or revoke are the only two options that make any sense at this point.  I suspect revoke, eventually.  I can't see a UK Prime Minister, even Boris or Raab, willingly allowing no deal, just like Tony Blair recently said in an interview.

[Middle-aged Europe]

Option 3, but this will probably the last extension before the second referendum.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

By 2050 asking for and getting another extension will long have become a part of the British Constitution, as well as the European practice. A clever way to keep the United Kingdom within EU without having to go through another referendum.

[brucejoel99]

By 2050 asking for and getting another extension will long have become a part of the British Constitution, as well as the European practice. A clever way to keep the United Kingdom within EU without having to go through another referendum.

That would be... uh, quite a really interesting situation lol

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

By 2050 asking for and getting another extension will long have become a part of the British Constitution, as well as the European practice. A clever way to keep the United Kingdom within EU without having to go through another referendum.

The annual extension of Article 50 will become an arcane ceremonial tradition, like the Black Rod.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

By 2050 asking for and getting another extension will long have become a part of the British Constitution, as well as the European practice. A clever way to keep the United Kingdom within EU without having to go through another referendum.

The annual extension of Article 50 will become an arcane ceremonial tradition, like the Black Rod.

The Black Rod can play a role in this ceremony.

"Knock-knock. Can we have another extension of Article 50?"
"No."
"Knock-knock. Can we have another extension of Article 50?"
"No."
"Knock-knock. Can we have another extension of Article 50?""
"Fine, but that's the last one"

/repeat in a year/

[AndyHogan14]

I saw something on YouTube (I think it was Channel 4) where some guy compared Brexit to the Turkish accession talks: the Turkish bid to join the EU is still technically open, but they will never join the EU while Britain will always technically be on the way out, but it will never happen.