Manchin, and he would appoint Richard Ojeda to fill his seat
Doubtful. He'd appoint some DINO because he thinks only such an win the next election. However, if Manchin runs and wins, I'd expect the Republican legislature to change to laws and require a special election within 90 days. Manchin could do nothing about it because he has no veto power or they pass such a bill during the lame duck session.
I mean no one would hold the seat for the dems, but can we at least be real here for a second, Earl Ray Tomblin would do better than Ojeda or someone else.