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  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, VirginiŠ)
  Guess the gubernatorial roster eight years from now.
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Author Topic: Guess the gubernatorial roster eight years from now.  (Read 963 times)
The Arizonan
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« on: May 29, 2019, 11:05:33 pm »

In this thread, you list off who you think is going to be governor of each state in eight years. This is similar to the brand new congress game thread in the other section of the forum.

Here's a few predictions of mine:

Arizona: Greg Stanton
California: Eleni Kounalakis
New Jersey: Sheila Oliver.
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LoneStarDem
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« Reply #1 on: May 30, 2019, 07:06:18 am »

2027:

TX: George P. Bush (R): 49th Governor come January 19th, 2027 when he succeeds Abbott.

CA: Eleni Kounalakis (D)

IL: Susana Mendoza (D)

AZ: Katie Hobbs (D)

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АndriуValeriovich
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« Reply #2 on: May 30, 2019, 09:21:53 am »
« Edited: May 30, 2019, 12:09:04 pm by АndriуValeriovich »

AZ: Kattie Hobbs (D) elected in 2022, 2026
CA: Eleni Kounalakis (D) elected in 2026
CO: Joe Neguse (D) elected in 2026
FL: Nikki Fried (D) 2026 or Adam Puthnam (R) 2026
GA: Stacey Abrams (D) elected in 2022, 2026
IN: Jim Banks (R) elected in 2024
KY: Andy Beshear (D) elected in 2019, 2023
LA: J.N. Kennedy (R) elected in 2023
MS: Jim Hood (D) elected in 2019, 2023
MO: Mike Parson (R) elected in 2020, 2024
MT: Mike Cooney (D) elected in 2020, 2024
NJ: Bob Hugin (R) elected in 2021, 2025
NY: Andrew Cuomo (D)
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LoneStarDem
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« Reply #3 on: May 30, 2019, 11:23:04 am »

AZ: Kattie Hobbs (D) elected in 2022, 2026
CA: Eleni Kounalakis (D) elected in 2026
CO: Joe Neguse (D) elected in 2026
FL: Nikki Fried (D) 2026 or Adam Puthnam (R) 2026
GA: Stacey Abrams (D) elected in 2022, 2026
IN: Jim Banks (R) elected in 2024
KY: Andy Beshear (D) elected in 2019, 2023
LA: J.N. Kennedy (R) elected in 2023
MS: Jim Hood (D) elected in 2019, 2023
MO: Mike Parson (R) elected in 2020, 2024
MT: Mike Cooney (D) elected in 2020, 2024
NJ: Bob Hugin (R) elected in 2022, 2026
NY: Andrew Cuomo (D)


NJ holds their Gubernatorial election in 2021. I do NOT see Hugin beating Murphy.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #4 on: May 30, 2019, 11:51:28 am »

Ige and Newsom in 2022 are deeply unpopular, they will get primaried in 2022, forget 8 years from now.
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Nutmeg
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« Reply #5 on: May 30, 2019, 03:41:34 pm »

Ige and Newsom in 2022 are deeply unpopular, they will get primaried in 2022, forget 8 years from now.

Ige is not eligible to run for reelection in 2022, but he could come back in 2026. Also he's popular again. And he beat back an A-list challenger last year even when he had horrific ratings.
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LoneStarDem
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« Reply #6 on: May 30, 2019, 04:14:38 pm »

Ige and Newsom in 2022 are deeply unpopular, they will get primaried in 2022, forget 8 years from now.

Ige is not eligible to run for reelection in 2022, but he could come back in 2026. Also he's popular again. And he beat back an A-list challenger last year even when he had horrific ratings.

I can see US Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI) running for the Governorship in 2022.
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LoneStarDem
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« Reply #7 on: May 30, 2019, 08:21:59 pm »

2026 Gubernatorial Elections Result
Alabama: R
Alaska: R
Arizona: D - State flips to Democrats due to demographic changes
Arkansas: R
California: D
Colorado: D - Demographic changes change this state from Likely D to Solid D
Connecticut: D
Florida: R  - Republicans continue to control the state by electing a moderate Republican as governor
Georgia: R
Hawaii: R - Andria Tupola wins the election by a slim margin because the Democrats are unable to choose a new candidate without any kind of major scandals
Idaho: R
Illinois: D
Iowa: R
Kansas: R
Maine: D
Maryland: D - No moderate or progressive Republicans ran for governor in 2026
Massachusetts: D - No moderate or progressive Republicans ran for governor in 2026
Michigan: R
Minnesota: R - The 2026 Gubernatorial election was won by a Republican by a small margin
Nebraska: R
Nevada: D - Demographic changes change this state from Likely D to Solid D
New Hampshire: D
New Mexico: D - Demographic changes change this state from Likely D to Solid D
New York: D - Andrew Cuomo was elected to a fifth term as governor of New York
Ohio: R
Oklahoma: R
Oregon: D
Pennsylvania: R - Republicans make improvements by winning more suburban voters
Rhode Island: D
South Carolina: R
South Dakota: R
Tennessee: R
Texas: R
Vermont: D - No moderate or progressive Republicans ran for governor in 2026
Wisconsin: R - Evers retires and the Republicans nominated a strong candidate
Wyoming: R

Cuomo pulling a Daddy Marcos ?
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Nutmeg
thepolitic
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« Reply #8 on: May 31, 2019, 09:01:16 am »

Ige and Newsom in 2022 are deeply unpopular, they will get primaried in 2022, forget 8 years from now.
Ige is not eligible to run for reelection in 2022, but he could come back in 2026. Also he's popular again. And he beat back an A-list challenger last year even when he had horrific ratings.
I can see US Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI) running for the Governorship in 2022.

Running but hopefully not winning.
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LoneStarDem
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« Reply #9 on: May 31, 2019, 09:09:56 am »

I think Gabbard will win statewide office down the road, so HI Governor could be it.

I see lots of people deeply hate her.
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gracile
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« Reply #10 on: May 31, 2019, 10:06:15 am »

I think Georgia and Texas will probably be firmly in play for Democrats by 2026, even if it is an unfavorable environment nationally.
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Nutmeg
thepolitic
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« Reply #11 on: May 31, 2019, 10:08:09 am »

Ige and Newsom in 2022 are deeply unpopular, they will get primaried in 2022, forget 8 years from now.
Ige is not eligible to run for reelection in 2022, but he could come back in 2026. Also he's popular again. And he beat back an A-list challenger last year even when he had horrific ratings.
I can see US Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI) running for the Governorship in 2022.
Running but hopefully not winning.
She'll be back and could possibly win depending on the Democratic nominee.

Depending on the Republican nominee, you mean? I'm more skeptical about her chances in a Democratic primary now that her strange ideology has more fully come to light.
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Georgia Is A Swing State
RFKFan68
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« Reply #12 on: May 31, 2019, 07:04:11 pm »

I think Georgia and Texas will probably be firmly in play for Democrats by 2026, even if it is an unfavorable environment nationally.

Georgia and Texas in 2026 will look the way Arizona does now.
Georgia will be there sooner than that. Kemp will not win a majority of votes on Election Night 2022. Agree w/ Texas.
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LoneStarDem
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« Reply #13 on: May 31, 2019, 10:49:03 pm »

I do NOT see the TX Dems winning back the TX Governor's Mansion anytime soon.
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UncleSam
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« Reply #14 on: May 31, 2019, 11:51:49 pm »

Georgia will be where Arizona is in a couple years. Texas is nowhere near that point yet though - even if Texas keeps trending D itíll take at least 6-8 years plus a wave for it to actually flip. Even OíRourke lost by 3 to one of the least popular R senators in a D+9 environment, while Abbott won by 16. Trump won it by 9. Itís still a ways from flipping.
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DTC
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« Reply #15 on: June 01, 2019, 09:20:04 pm »

I think Georgia and Texas will probably be firmly in play for Democrats by 2026, even if it is an unfavorable environment nationally.

Georgia and Texas in 2026 will look the way Arizona does now.
Georgia will be there sooner than that. Kemp will not win a majority of votes on Election Night 2022. Agree w/ Texas.

It depends on who the Democratic nominee is. Stacey Abrams is the only one that made that race competitive. Kemp would have probable won by double digits if she wasn't the nominee.


Huh

The downballot elections were really close too, and Georgia Republicans didn't even win by double digits in 2014.

Don't talk about stuff you don't know about.
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Senator ON Progressive
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« Reply #16 on: June 01, 2019, 09:39:05 pm »

Georgia will be where Arizona is in a couple years. Texas is nowhere near that point yet though - even if Texas keeps trending D itíll take at least 6-8 years plus a wave for it to actually flip. Even OíRourke lost by 3 to one of the least popular R senators in a D+9 environment, while Abbott won by 16. Trump won it by 9. Itís still a ways from flipping.



Try again.
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LoneStarDem
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« Reply #17 on: June 02, 2019, 06:25:37 pm »

Y'all think MI flips back to the GOP in 2026 ?

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NoobMaster69
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« Reply #18 on: June 02, 2019, 07:04:33 pm »

I think Georgia and Texas will probably be firmly in play for Democrats by 2026, even if it is an unfavorable environment nationally.

Georgia and Texas in 2026 will look the way Arizona does now.
Georgia will be there sooner than that. Kemp will not win a majority of votes on Election Night 2022. Agree w/ Texas.

It depends on who the Democratic nominee is. Stacey Abrams is the only one that made that race competitive. Kemp would have probable won by double digits if she wasn't the nominee.

Lol wut? Everything statewide on the ballot was close. Gary Black is the only statewide officer that won by a substantial margin (he's the only one I voted for) and one of them went to a run off.  Thirteen state house seats flipped and one federal one too. Another came down to like 500 votes. GA has only been won by Rs by double digits a few times since it's been a red state it's a third black.
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LoneStarDem
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« Reply #19 on: June 05, 2019, 12:13:21 pm »

I think Whitmer survives in 2022 & it's likely she's either running for United States Senator in 2024 when Stabenow is forced into retirement (you know the DSCC will pressure her to retire because there's young blood in the Wolverine State) or the White House.

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I Beg to Dream and Differ
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« Reply #20 on: June 05, 2019, 08:21:52 pm »

I expect Marian Orr to go for WY-GOV gold around that time, if she doesn't straight-up try and knock Gordon off wholesale in 2022.
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