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December 06, 2019, 03:28:50 pm
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Endorsements Close today at noon

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  How Would The Previous Poster Fare In A Run For....
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Author Topic: How Would The Previous Poster Fare In A Run For....  (Read 1474 times)
FairBol
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« on: June 08, 2019, 09:58:26 am »

Thought I'd start one of these threads up.  Predict how the previous poster would do in a run for said office, if he/she was the incumbent's only challenger.  I guess I'll start this off. 

US Senate (against Richard Blumenthal, D-CT).  Smiley
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АndriуValeriovich
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« Reply #1 on: June 08, 2019, 11:25:51 am »

Lose 53-47 to Blumenthal

US Senate (against Roy Blunt, R-MO 2022)
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Chancellor S019
S019
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« Reply #2 on: June 08, 2019, 11:33:24 am »

Lose 49-48


Governor run against Phil Murphy (Biden midterm with Biden at 39-59 approval, following a major recession)
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АndriуValeriovich
andjey
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« Reply #3 on: June 08, 2019, 11:40:39 am »

Win 50-48

US Senate (against Rick Scott, R-FL, 2024, after 8 years of Trump, Trump at 41-53 approval)
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Chancellor S019
S019
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« Reply #4 on: June 08, 2019, 12:57:59 pm »
« Edited: June 08, 2019, 01:24:14 pm by Councilor Suburban New Jersey Conservative »

Lose 49.99-49.97


Blame FL Democrats

2024 NJ Sen


Against Bob Menendez (Menendez has a 39-54 approval)
Joe Biden is the incumbent has an approval of 46-52
GCB is R+3
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Xing
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« Reply #5 on: June 08, 2019, 03:38:50 pm »

Menendez wins 53-45.

WA-03 against Herrera-Beutler (2024 after eight years of Trump, Trump's approval is 39-56, Herrera Beutler's approval is 49-46)
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Pericles
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« Reply #6 on: June 08, 2019, 03:48:24 pm »

Loses by 2%.

Senate against Pat Toomey, 2022, President Biden approval +4%.
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Some of My Best Friends Are Gay
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« Reply #7 on: June 08, 2019, 03:57:06 pm »

49-47 win for you


California Governor 2022, Trump is still President and has a 40/53 approval rating.
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RFayette
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« Reply #8 on: June 08, 2019, 04:29:49 pm »

70-30 win.

CA governor, 2022 under President Biden, deep recession and 35-65 approval rating
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Fuzzy Bear
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« Reply #9 on: June 08, 2019, 04:37:59 pm »

Lose 47-53 (above-average showing)

Nominee of Republican, Conservative, and Independent parties for Governor of NY vs Andrew Cuomo in 2022 (Cuomo's 4th term).
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Scott 🤡🌏
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« Reply #10 on: June 08, 2019, 04:43:12 pm »

Lose 60-40 (horrible fit for NY)

Democratic nominee against Steve Daines for his Montana Senate seat.
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Bagel23
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« Reply #11 on: June 08, 2019, 04:48:54 pm »

TX 32nd CD (my home district) 2018 as dem nominee
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Chancellor S019
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« Reply #12 on: June 08, 2019, 04:51:37 pm »

Lose 60-40 (horrible fit for NY)

Democratic nominee against Steve Daines for his Montana Senate seat.

Loses 57-43, your pro-drug, left-wing views are a terrible fit for Montana

TX 32nd CD (my home district) 2018 as dem nominee

Win by about 12%, you are a Blue Dog and end up Blanching Sessions

NJ-11 in 2022, following a reception, Biden is at 38-57 approval
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Politician
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« Reply #13 on: June 08, 2019, 06:17:46 pm »

You win 52-45

Run for MA-GOV 2022 against Baker
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Pericles
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« Reply #14 on: June 08, 2019, 06:27:59 pm »

Loses by a 12-point margin.

Run for Florida Senate seat against Rick Scott in 2024, President Warren with +2% approval rating, she is running for re-election.
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Old School Republican
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« Reply #15 on: June 08, 2019, 06:33:36 pm »

Lose 51-48


Oregon Governor with an unpopular Democrat  as President as well as Kate Brown approvals being under 40 percent
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Politician
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« Reply #16 on: June 08, 2019, 06:42:24 pm »

Win 49-47

Run for MA-GOV 2022 (Baker retires)
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Pericles
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« Reply #17 on: June 08, 2019, 06:58:19 pm »

Wins by a 12-point margin.

Runs for NC-Sen in 2022, Trump is President with -9% net approval rating, open seat.
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Bagel23
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« Reply #18 on: June 08, 2019, 08:18:09 pm »

Win 49-48

TX Sen 2024 against Cruz, Trump won reelection, has negative 15 approval rating.
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Shades of Wrong
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« Reply #19 on: June 08, 2019, 09:03:17 pm »

Win 52-46

2020 TN-04 Republican primary against Scott DesJarlais
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gracile
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« Reply #20 on: June 08, 2019, 09:14:19 pm »

DesJarlais wins 57-43

IL-06 as a Democrat against a generic Republican in the 2022 midterm under second term Donald Trump (assume under the current IL-06 lines, not anything redistricted).
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АndriуValeriovich
andjey
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« Reply #21 on: June 09, 2019, 04:58:16 am »

Win 52-47

US Senate (against Ron Johnson, R-WI, 2022, Biden at 50-45 approval, Johnson at 44-52 approval)
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Pericles
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« Reply #22 on: June 09, 2019, 05:54:09 am »

Wins by a 1-point margin.

Runs for Georgia Governor in 2022 against incumbent Kemp, President Biden with -3% approval.
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Politician
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« Reply #23 on: June 09, 2019, 08:03:40 am »

Lose 51-48 (no runoff)

Run for WV-SEN in 2024 (Manchin retires)
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АndriуValeriovich
andjey
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« Reply #24 on: June 09, 2019, 12:23:29 pm »

Lose 60-40

US Senate in Montana 2020 against Steve Daines
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