What if Whitmer ran in 2014

[UncleSam]

She would’ve lost and fairly badly. The electorate was like ten points to the right of 2018 if not more and Snyder was an indirect stronger candidate than Schutte. She would’ve lost by 3 or 4, the same that Schafer did.

People vastly overrated candidate strength tbh. Luck plays a much bigger role in these things - both in national environment and opponent.