2020 Presidential Predictions (General) (user search)
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Latest 2020 Predictions (Highest Scores)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
albaleman (D-MN)MapProfile 04-10 1 D +87 219 (-87) 319 (+87) 0 (0) 0
ShadowWave (D-PA)MapProfile 10-11 7 D +58 248 (-58) 290 (+58) 0 (0) 0
Sheliak6 (I-GA)Map 11-01 40 D +58 248 (-58) 290 (+58) 0 (0) 0
IceSpear (D-PA)MapProfile 07-25 1 D +48 258 (-48) 280 (+48) 0 (0) 0
KaiserDave (D-NY)MapProfile 10-19 2 D +74 232 (-74) 306 (+74) 0 (0) 0
frenchGOP (R-FRA)MapProfile 11-01 14 D +58 248 (-58) 290 (+58) 0 (0) 0
Encke (I-CA)MapProfile 11-02 3 D +58 248 (-58) 290 (+58) 0 (0) 0
sameerd (N-VA)MapProfile 07-24 1 D +58 248 (-58) 290 (+58) 0 (0) 0
CityByTheValley (D-CA)MapProfile 12-28 1 D +58 248 (-58) 290 (+58) 0 (0) 0
firstdegreburns (I-ID)Map 09-19 11 D +58 248 (-58) 290 (+58) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2020 Predictions (Most Recent Entries)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
TimTurner (I-TX)MapProfile 11-03 1 D +181 125 (-181) 413 (+181) 0 (0) 0
cvparty (--NJ)MapProfile 11-03 8 D +119 187 (-119) 351 (+119) 0 (0) 0
VilleThunder (I-KY)MapProfile 11-03 5 D +12 294 (-12) 244 (+12) 0 (0) 0
Adam ObAwesome (D-SC)MapProfile 11-03 2 D +175 131 (-175) 407 (+175) 0 (0) 0
kerry (D-TX)Map 11-03 1 D +157 149 (-157) 389 (+157) 0 (0) 0
Roosevelt (R-SC)MapProfile 11-03 11 D +181 125 (-181) 413 (+181) 0 (0) 0
madara5309 (R-CO)Map 11-03 2 D +57 249 (-57) 289 (+57) 0 (0) 0
turkmenbashi (D-WA)MapProfile 11-03 6 D +29 277 (-29) 261 (+29) 0 (0) 0
Olawakandi (G-CA)MapProfile 11-03 443 D +212 94 (-212) 444 (+212) 0 (0) 0
fezzyfestoon (O-PA)MapProfile 11-03 6 D +103 203 (-103) 335 (+103) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2020 Predictions (Most Recent Comments)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
Latest Discussion Topics
Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Predictions (General)  (Read 174890 times)
LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,171
Belgium


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

P P P
« on: September 14, 2019, 03:19:34 PM »
« edited: September 14, 2019, 03:24:49 PM by Councilman Laki »
Rural / Suburban + Urban divide growing further. Leaning towards Trump getting re-elected now, but really not sure. I have the feeling Minnesota (and Michigan again) would be the surprise state in 2020, while Maine stays Dem because IRV. Could change it a hundred times though. I think there's still room for Trump to expand in the Rust Belt, and that he'll have a good last year. It's feel like this is going to be 2012 but in reverse. Or some kind of disappointing 2004 for the Democrats. I think Biden or Warren will be the nominee, with the Dems nominating someone from Texas as their VP. I also feel like 2024 will be the year where De Santis (or Haley, Scott, Cruz or Pence but Pence will be the Biden of this year) will face Gretchen Whitmer, and that Whitmer will be the first female president of the USA.

Liz Warren / Julian Castro vs Donald Trump / Mike Pence



Senate map



Only real surprise is John James winning from Gary Peters.
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,171
Belgium


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

P P P
« Reply #1 on: January 17, 2020, 05:57:17 AM »


FL - Trump +1.5
GA - Trump +1
MI - Trump +1
WI - Trump +3.5
PA - Trump +1
NC - Trump +2
AZ - Trump +0.5
ME - Trump +0.5
TX - Trump +4
OH - Trump +11
IA - Trump +8
MN - Trump +1
NV - Biden +6
NH - Biden +1.5
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,171
Belgium


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

P P P
« Reply #2 on: June 28, 2020, 03:27:24 PM »
Changed my map as well. I have now GA, FL, MI, IA, WI, NE-2 flipping while MN stays D on top of AZ and PA that i had already as flipping. I have NC, TX and OH as still R, and moved MT into lean R.
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,171
Belgium


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

P P P
« Reply #3 on: September 03, 2020, 11:02:51 AM »
Quote from: Rep-elect. Laki on June 28, 2020, 03:27:24 PM
Changed my map as well. I have now GA, FL, MI, IA, WI, NE-2 flipping while MN stays D on top of AZ and PA that i had already as flipping. I have NC, TX and OH as still R, and moved MT into lean R.

Went a bit more conservative, since this doesn't seem to be a blow-out as i initially expected or a narrow Trump win which i initially thought before COVID-19 broke out



NV D+4
PA D+3
MI D+3
NE-2 D+2
MN D+2
WI D+1
AZ D+1
FL D+1
GA R+1
NC R+2
OH R+3
ME-2 R+4
IA R+5
TX R+5

I still believe Florida will hold it's status as bellwether, because I don't believe Biden will win without Florida. If Trump wins Florida, he likely keeps AZ and WI and/or MN, unless it's razorthin close or my prediction is plain wrong and the Rust Belt swings more to the left than the south.
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