What are the odds the GOP wins the presidential election in 2020 and 2024? (user search)
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  What are the odds the GOP wins the presidential election in 2020 and 2024? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: What are the odds the GOP wins the presidential election in 2020 and 2024?
#1
70+%		  
#2
50-70%		  
#3
30-50%		  
#4
Under 30%		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 80

Author Topic: What are the odds the GOP wins the presidential election in 2020 and 2024?  (Read 2440 times)
Pragmatic Conservative
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« on: June 15, 2019, 11:18:24 PM »
Under 30%. Even if you think 2024 is 50/50 (rather unlikely historically based on the occurrence of one party winning three straight Presidential elections) and have Trump as a slight favorite for re-election (55%) the odds are still only 28% for the GOP to win both 2020 and 2024. Even if you think Trump is a fairly strong favorite to win re-election(70%) than the GOP still only has a 35% chance of victory in both 2020 and 2024 assuming you think 2024 is at best 50/50.
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