What are the odds the GOP wins the presidential election in 2020 and 2024? (user search)
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  What are the odds the GOP wins the presidential election in 2020 and 2024? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: What are the odds the GOP wins the presidential election in 2020 and 2024?
#1
70+%
 
#2
50-70%
 
#3
30-50%
 
#4
Under 30%
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 80

Author Topic: What are the odds the GOP wins the presidential election in 2020 and 2024?  (Read 2458 times)
Some of My Best Friends Are Gay
Enlightened_Centrist 420
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Posts: 3,599


« on: June 15, 2019, 11:14:40 PM »

Are you asking what the odds of the Republican candidate winning both elections are, or each election individually?

If you mean individually, then I'll say Trump has a 55% chance of winning in 2020 and the Democrat has an 80% chance of winning in 2024.

If you meant what are the odds that a Republican wins in both 2020 and 2024, then I'd say those odds are extremely low. maybe 5-10%.
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Some of My Best Friends Are Gay
Enlightened_Centrist 420
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,599


« Reply #1 on: July 04, 2019, 12:34:57 PM »

There is a greater chance Dems win 2020, 24 and 28 similar to the Reagan/Bush I era.

The only way that happens is if John Delaney wins the democratic nomination.

WHAT?!
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Some of My Best Friends Are Gay
Enlightened_Centrist 420
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,599


« Reply #2 on: July 07, 2019, 03:21:56 PM »

There is a greater chance Dems win 2020, 24 and 28 similar to the Reagan/Bush I era.

The only way that happens is if John Delaney wins the democratic nomination.

WHAT?!

Delaney would be a two term president and he’d be the Democrats Ronald Reagan. He’d be a two term president and then in 2028 Charlie Baker (his Vice President former Republican changed to Democrat) wins in a blue wave. Moderate democrats will win out. Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Cortez will lead to eight years of Trump and four years of Cruz.

Yeah, it's not like Democrats have nominated moderates in every election since 1976 or anything.
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