MO Gov Galloway in

[Rookie Yinzer]

I really don't see Parson losing. If McCaskill lost by nearly six points even in a D+9 year, I don't see how Galloway can win in a year that's unlikely to be as D-friendly.

Kander lost by 3 in a D+2 (Pres)/R+1 (House) year so your point is moot.

And Gubernatorial elections are less polarizing than Senate. So even better for her.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Safe R race is Safe R.

[lfromnj]

I really don't see Parson losing. If McCaskill lost by nearly six points even in a D+9 year, I don't see how Galloway can win in a year that's unlikely to be as D-friendly.

Kander lost by 3 in a D+2 (Pres)/R+1 (House) year so your point is moot.

And Gubernatorial elections are less polarizing than Senate. So even better for her.

Yeah and 2016 downballot was closer to 2012, The biggest swing from 2016 house to 2018 house was not WV3 but NJ 11th.

[lfromnj]

She will do around what McCaskill did.

She will likely do worse

1. 2020 likely won’t be a D+9 year
2. Contrary to McCaskill, Galloway won’t have $40M to spend
3. Parson is a popular incumbent
4. Running on abortion is not a winning issue in MO
5. Trump will likely carry this state by +15 and will provide coattails to other conservative candidates

It is dumb to campaign solely on abortion in  Missouri but even Mississippi rejected a life at conception amendment, Considering Missouri is more liberal than MS going against hardcore abortion bans can work.

[Frenchrepublican]

She will do around what McCaskill did.

She will likely do worse

1. 2020 likely won’t be a D+9 year
2. Contrary to McCaskill, Galloway won’t have $40M to spend
3. Parson is a popular incumbent
4. Running on abortion is not a winning issue in MO
5. Trump will likely carry this state by +15 and will provide coattails to other conservative candidates

It is dumb to campaign solely on abortion in  Missouri but even Mississippi rejected a life at conception amendment, Considering Missouri is more liberal than MS going against hardcore abortion bans can work.

It worked pretty well for Wendy Davis....

[Frenchrepublican]

Remember that she still managed to win by 6  despite Claire losing by 6, an impressive feat in thesecpartisan times.

Sure, but have you seen who was her opponent ? Parson is a popular incumbent and MO is a conservative state, I don’t really see how he can be vulnerable unless some scandals emerge

Do you think anyone in Missouri did?

What I know is that Parson is a far, far better candidate than McDowell who would make Sarah Palin look like a sane person, which is pretty difficult to be honest

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

She will do around what McCaskill did.

She will likely do worse

1. 2020 likely won’t be a D+9 year
2. Contrary to McCaskill, Galloway won’t have $40M to spend
3. Parson is a popular incumbent
4. Running on abortion is not a winning issue in MO
5. Trump will likely carry this state by +15 and will provide coattails to other conservative candidates

It is dumb to campaign solely on abortion in  Missouri but even Mississippi rejected a life at conception amendment, Considering Missouri is more liberal than MS going against hardcore abortion bans can work.

It worked pretty well for Wendy Davis....

Are we talking about the same Missouri that re-elected Claire McCaskill by 16% because of her oponent’s extreme stance on abortion?

[beesley]

She will do around what McCaskill did.

She will likely do worse

1. 2020 likely won’t be a D+9 year
2. Contrary to McCaskill, Galloway won’t have $40M to spend
3. Parson is a popular incumbent
4. Running on abortion is not a winning issue in MO
5. Trump will likely carry this state by +15 and will provide coattails to other conservative candidates

It is dumb to campaign solely on abortion in  Missouri but even Mississippi rejected a life at conception amendment, Considering Missouri is more liberal than MS going against hardcore abortion bans can work.

It worked pretty well for Wendy Davis....

Are we talking about the same Missouri that re-elected Claire McCaskill by 16% because of her oponent’s extreme stance on abortion?

It really wasn't to do with his stance on abortion laws, it was to do with the fact he believed in 'legitimate rape'

[Frenchrepublican]

She will do around what McCaskill did.

She will likely do worse

1. 2020 likely won’t be a D+9 year
2. Contrary to McCaskill, Galloway won’t have $40M to spend
3. Parson is a popular incumbent
4. Running on abortion is not a winning issue in MO
5. Trump will likely carry this state by +15 and will provide coattails to other conservative candidates

It is dumb to campaign solely on abortion in  Missouri but even Mississippi rejected a life at conception amendment, Considering Missouri is more liberal than MS going against hardcore abortion bans can work.

It worked pretty well for Wendy Davis....

Are we talking about the same Missouri that re-elected Claire McCaskill by 16% because of her oponent’s extreme stance on abortion?

Defending rapists =/= Being pro life

[Rookie Yinzer]

She will do around what McCaskill did.

She will likely do worse

1. 2020 likely won’t be a D+9 year
2. Contrary to McCaskill, Galloway won’t have $40M to spend
3. Parson is a popular incumbent
4. Running on abortion is not a winning issue in MO
5. Trump will likely carry this state by +15 and will provide coattails to other conservative candidates

It is dumb to campaign solely on abortion in  Missouri but even Mississippi rejected a life at conception amendment, Considering Missouri is more liberal than MS going against hardcore abortion bans can work.

It worked pretty well for Wendy Davis....

Are we talking about the same Missouri that re-elected Claire McCaskill by 16% because of her oponent’s extreme stance on abortion?

Defending rapists =/= Being pro life

Tell that to the GOP legislatures banning doctors from performing abortions on women who are victims of rape and giving parental rights to rapists.

[Xing]

I could see Galloway coming within 10, but that's about it.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

If anyone could find a way to blow a sure thing, it’s the Missouri Republican Party

[OneJ]

Good luck to Galloway.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

She will do around what McCaskill did.

She will likely do worse

1. 2020 likely won’t be a D+9 year
2. Contrary to McCaskill, Galloway won’t have $40M to spend
3. Parson is a popular incumbent
4. Running on abortion is not a winning issue in MO
5. Trump will likely carry this state by +15 and will provide coattails to other conservative candidates

It is dumb to campaign solely on abortion in  Missouri but even Mississippi rejected a life at conception amendment, Considering Missouri is more liberal than MS going against hardcore abortion bans can work.

It worked pretty well for Wendy Davis....

Are we talking about the same Missouri that re-elected Claire McCaskill by 16% because of her oponent’s extreme stance on abortion?

Defending rapists =/= Being pro life

splitting hairs. He made that a part of his abortion stance defense.

Back to the matter, yeah this is a Likely R race. But not safe. Never underestimate the ability of the Missouri GOP to screw up. These are the same idiots who, in reverse chronological order:

1. Managed to get an unelected Democrat re-elected State Auditor by running a fraud against her
2. Put an inexperienced egotist who happened to be a rapist in the Governor’s office
3. Nearly pissed away a Senate seat in 2016 despite Trump landslide get
4. Actually pissed away a Senate seat in 2012 along with all but one row office

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Good luck to Galloway.

[jamestroll]

Remember that she still managed to win by 6  despite Claire losing by 6, an impressive feat in thesecpartisan times.

Sure, but have you seen who was her opponent ? Parson is a popular incumbent and MO is a conservative state, I don’t really see how he can be vulnerable unless some scandals emerge

Do you think anyone in Missouri did?

The senate race over shadowed the Auditors contest so much that probably very very few people even remember who Saundra McDowell was.

McDowell was an interesting character though.

[Canis]

Remember that she still managed to win by 6  despite Claire losing by 6, an impressive feat in thesecpartisan times.

Sure, but have you seen who was her opponent ? Parson is a popular incumbent and MO is a conservative state, I don’t really see how he can be vulnerable unless some scandals emerge

Do you think anyone in Missouri did?

The senate race over shadowed the Auditors contest so much that probably very very few people even remember who Saundra McDowell was.

McDowell was an interesting character though.

Shes tweeting about rematches and rocky lol any chance she jumps in the race too

[Flyersfan232]

She will do around what McCaskill did.

She will likely do worse

1. 2020 likely won’t be a D+9 year
2. Contrary to McCaskill, Galloway won’t have $40M to spend
3. Parson is a popular incumbent
4. Running on abortion is not a winning issue in MO
5. Trump will likely carry this state by +15 and will provide coattails to other conservative candidates

It is dumb to campaign solely on abortion in  Missouri but even Mississippi rejected a life at conception amendment, Considering Missouri is more liberal than MS going against hardcore abortion bans can work.

It worked pretty well for Wendy Davis....

Are we talking about the same Missouri that re-elected Claire McCaskill by 16% because of her oponent’s extreme stance on abortion?

The same Missouri that threw her out 6 year later to a guy endorse by a man that said grab them by he pussy?

[Flyersfan232]

She will do around what McCaskill did.

She will likely do worse

1. 2020 likely won’t be a D+9 year
2. Contrary to McCaskill, Galloway won’t have $40M to spend
3. Parson is a popular incumbent
4. Running on abortion is not a winning issue in MO
5. Trump will likely carry this state by +15 and will provide coattails to other conservative candidates

It is dumb to campaign solely on abortion in  Missouri but even Mississippi rejected a life at conception amendment, Considering Missouri is more liberal than MS going against hardcore abortion bans can work.

It worked pretty well for Wendy Davis....

Are we talking about the same Missouri that re-elected Claire McCaskill by 16% because of her oponent’s extreme stance on abortion?

Defending rapists =/= Being pro life

splitting hairs. He made that a part of his abortion stance defense.

Back to the matter, yeah this is a Likely R race. But not safe. Never underestimate the ability of the Missouri GOP to screw up. These are the same idiots who, in reverse chronological order:

1. Managed to get an unelected Democrat re-elected State Auditor by running a fraud against her
2. Put an inexperienced egotist who happened to be a rapist in the Governor’s office
3. Nearly pissed away a Senate seat in 2016 despite Trump landslide get
4. Actually pissed away a Senate seat in 2012 along with all but one row office

To be fair they managed to fix’s the problem throwing out a scandal government and putting a possible future president or Vice President nominee in to a senate seat.

[Flyersfan232]

She will get 45% minimum.

I know she defeated a literal crazy person but now that she won her election she has more good will.

Galloway seems lucky as a rule. I would not be shocked if that luck continues

Claire McCaskill was lucky too, until she wasn't.

This is a Presidential year, McCaskill won in 2012, in a presidential year, MO does vote GOP in presidential years, but Trump might only win MO by 6, not 11

Unless Parsons said something crazy or kills Jordan winninngton or wearing a I love Stan t shirt he going to be fine.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Parsons isnt safe. If the female vote didnt matter McCaskill wouldnt have won. In a wave, MO flips to Galloway

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

She will do around what McCaskill did.

She will likely do worse

1. 2020 likely won’t be a D+9 year
2. Contrary to McCaskill, Galloway won’t have $40M to spend
3. Parson is a popular incumbent
4. Running on abortion is not a winning issue in MO
5. Trump will likely carry this state by +15 and will provide coattails to other conservative candidates

It is dumb to campaign solely on abortion in  Missouri but even Mississippi rejected a life at conception amendment, Considering Missouri is more liberal than MS going against hardcore abortion bans can work.

It worked pretty well for Wendy Davis....

Are we talking about the same Missouri that re-elected Claire McCaskill by 16% because of her oponent’s extreme stance on abortion?

The logical conclusion of Todd Akins comments is that

"anyone on trial for rape in criminal court should automatically be acquitted if it can be determined that the sexual intercourse resulted in a pregnancy".

That is far away from even the usual conservative position on the issue which is that

"the rapists crimes are their own and its unfair to punish the unborn child too for said crimes".

Anyways, Tilt D, assuming a recession occurs.

[jamestroll]

It will be interesting to see which county has a largest drop from Trump % of vote to Parson % of vote.

Maybe Greene? Maybe Platte?

[IceSpear]

Galloway is a good candidate, but it's hard to see her beating a noncontroversial generic R like Parson in blood red MO at the same time Trump is landsliding in the state.

Not to mention she barely cracked 50% against one of the worst candidates that was a literal fraud and had literally no money despite it being a D+9 Democratic wave year. Still impressive by Missouri Democrat standards no doubt, but I don't see how she wins unless Parson becomes super unpopular and/or scandaled. The real question is the margin.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

McCaskill won in a Dem plus 4 yr, in 2012. The difference between 2012 and 2018, was that 2012 was a presidential year and 2018 was a midterm election. Females will be energized to vote. If the PVI, not like in 2016, but in 2012, Galloway has a chance.

Icespear werent you one of those that said Bevin was gonna win, well he isnt winning, Beshear is