MS GOV : Hood losing to Reeves 36/48

[Cashew]

It won't even be close. Reeves will win by a landslide! Why do Democrats think they have a chance in Mississippi? Mississippi is the most socially conservative state and Cindy Hyde Smith won the special senate election by a wide margin even though the media said she would lose or it would be a narrow win.

No that's Alabama. Sure Blacks in the Deep South might not be as socially liberal as New England White liberals, but they are still significantly more liberal than Southern Whites.

[One Term Floridian]

I’m not going to lie, Hood’s poor poll numbers in MS Gov have been my greatest disappointment of the 2019 election cycle so far. I thought he’d be really competitive down there, given Mike Espy’s closer-than-expected loss there last year.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

I can’t believe people are still taking Mississippi polls seriously still after they were off embarrassingly in the primaries and underestimated Hood in 2015.

[One Term Floridian]

I can’t believe people are still taking Mississippi polls seriously still after they were off embarrassingly in the primaries and underestimated Hood in 2015.

Hopefully this is the case. Was there any polling done for his AG race in 2015 though?

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

I can’t believe people are still taking Mississippi polls seriously still after they were off embarrassingly in the primaries and underestimated Hood in 2015.

Hopefully this is the case. Was there any polling done for his AG race in 2015 though?

Yes. It had Hood barely up. He ended up winning by 11%

[MT Treasurer]

Alison Lundergan Grimes taught me not to get my hopes up about supposedly-competitive races in the south. I’m applying that lesson to Hood as well.

This

ALG ran for federal office in a state far more Republican than MS in a more favorable environment for Republicans and still outperformed Obama by 7 points. Hardly the best comparison.

If people actually believe Hood will do eight points worse than Espy, I have a bridge to sell them.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Alison Lundergan Grimes taught me not to get my hopes up about supposedly-competitive races in the south. I’m applying that lesson to Hood as well.

This

ALG ran for federal office in a state far more Republican than MS in a more favorable environment for Republicans and still outperformed Obama by 7 points. Hardly the best comparison.

If people actually believe Hood will do eight points worse than Espy, I have a bridge to sell them.

I mean I think they will track pretty closely. I see Hood doing better in the ancestrally dem NE counties than Espy, but worse in the delta.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

With Hood needing to secure 50% or the R state legislature votes for Reeves, anyways, thats why Cook has left it as R rating.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Alison Lundergan Grimes taught me not to get my hopes up about supposedly-competitive races in the south. I’m applying that lesson to Hood as well.

This

ALG ran for federal office in a state far more Republican than MS in a more favorable environment for Republicans and still outperformed Obama by 7 points. Hardly the best comparison.

If people actually believe Hood will do eight points worse than Espy, I have a bridge to sell them.

I mean I think they will track pretty closely. I see Hood doing better in the ancestrally dem NE counties than Espy, but worse in the delta.

"Ancestrally dem" places have utterly lost their minds recently. SE OH swung hard right from Fitzgerald to Dewine last year. I wouldn't get my hopes up.