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DKrol
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« on: June 29, 2019, 10:32:40 am »
« edited: June 29, 2019, 03:45:24 pm by DKrol »

General Election 2019


List of Players:

Conservative Party
Prime Minister David Cameron - YPestis



Liberal Democrats
Jo Swinson, MP - SO19


Labour Party
Alistair Darling, MP - Jackson Hitchcock
Sadiq Khan, Mayor of London - Hummus_con_Pita


United Kingdom Independence Party
Nigel Farage, MP - ChairmanSanchez


Scottish National Party
Nicola Sturgeon, MSP - Thumb21


Green Party
Caroline Lucas, MP - GoTFan


Democratic Unionist Party
Arlene Foster, MP - Terp40


Sinn Fein
Mary Lou McDonald, TD - Harry S. Truman


Plaid Cyrmu
Adam Price, AM - Ishan


Brexit Party
Paul Nuttall, MP - NYIndy

Change UK
Anna Soubry, MP - Lumine



Electoral Regions:

Scotland: 59 MPs
Wales: 40 MPs
Northern Ireland: 18 MPs
England: 533 MPs
-East of England: 50 MPs
-East Midlands: 46 MPs
-London: 80 MPs
-North East: 29 MPs
-North West: 75 MPs
-South East: 84 MPs
-South West: 55 MPs
-West Midlands: 59 MPs
-Yorkshire and the Humber: 55 MPs
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DKrol
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« Reply #1 on: June 29, 2019, 11:00:05 am »

Turn One
August 1 -August 7

What do the local election results mean?
From news.sky.com

Adam Boulton: The Prime Minister has just called a general election, the third to be fought under the proportional, party-list system. This is an election neccessitated by Andrea Leadsom's inability to get her Withdrawal Bill through the Commons, and David Cameron's inability to create a stable government under the results of the 2014 general election. The campaign will last six weeks, with Brits heading to the polls on September the 12th. With the first poll of the 2019 campaign, here's Beth Rigby.

Beth Rigby: Yeah, hello there, Adam. Sky News is just releasing its first poll of General Election 2019.

Sky News, National Poll - August 1, 2019:

Liberal Democrats: 23%
Conservatives 22%
Labour: 20%
UKIP: 19%
SNP: 4%
Change UK: 4%
Green Party: 2%
Brexit: 2%
DUP: 1%
Others: 3%

Rigby: The poll looks to show a tight race at the top, with the Liberal Democrats, Tories, Labour, and UKIP only seperated by 4%, as well as a close race among the second tier parties who could play kingmaker if their is a hung parliament, as we expect there to be. Most noticable, I think, is the drop in support for the DUP, who polled at 5% in 2014 and won two seats in England, but are now only on 1%. When asked why, according to our pollsters, voters who supported the DUP in 2014 but aren't in this poll said they were upset by the job Arlene Foster did in Andrea Leadsom's coalition. It's also worth noting, Adam, that these numbers are very soft. Only 34% of respondents said they had firmly decided how they were going to vote in six weeks time.

From the GM:

1. This turn will last 96 hours and end at 11:59 PM on July 3.

2. Each leader must post a manifesto in the manifesto thread (about to be posted) before the end of the turn. As explained in the rules, the manifesto is your five key proposals. Manifestos will be scrutinized by the press and other parties, so be careful your promises.

3. Starting this ,turn a random number generator for each party may determine good news or bad news. If something particularly newsworthy happens a special news edition, reaction, or newspaper editorial might appear in this thead. If not, it will appear in the end of turn summary post.
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DKrol
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« Reply #2 on: June 29, 2019, 03:45:28 pm »
« Edited: July 02, 2019, 09:52:27 am by DKrol »

Parliament, as of August 1, 2019

The Government: 332
Conservatives - 273
UKIP - 47
DUP - 12

The Opposition: 291
Liberal Democrats - 166
Labour - 98
SNP - 19
Plaid Cymru - 5
SDLP - 3

Other Opposition: 26
Greens - 10
Change UK - 9
Sinn Fein - 4
Brexit - 3
Independents - 1

By Electoral Region

Scotland - 59 seats
SNP - 19
Labour Party - 14
Conservative Party - 13
Liberal Democrats - 10
UKIP - 2
Greens - 1

Wales - 40 seats
Conservative Party - 14
Liberal Democrats - 10
Labour Party - 7
Plaid Cymru - 5
UKIP - 4

Northern Ireland - 18 seats
DUP - 10
Sinn Fein - 4
SDLP - 3

Independent - 1

West Midlands - 59 seats
Conservative Party - 31
Liberal Democrats - 10
Labour Party - 10
UKIP - 5
Change UK - 3

East Midlands - 46 seats
Conservative Party - 30
Liberal Democrats - 12
UKIP - 3
Labour Party - 1

East of England - 50 seats
Conservative Party - 30
Liberal Democrats - 13
UKIP - 10

London - 80 seats
Liberal Democrats - 28
Labour Party - 20
Conservative Party - 17
UKIP - 10
Greens - 3
Change UK - 2

North West - 75 Seats
Conservative Party - 36
Liberal Democrats - 25
Labour Party - 10
Change UK - 2
Brexit - 1

DUP - 1

Yorkshire and the Humber - 55 seats
Labour Party - 20
Conservative Party - 20
Liberal Democrats - 14
UKIP - 1

South West - 55 seats
Conservative Party - 23
Liberal Democrats - 19
UKIP - 7
Labour Party - 4
Change UK - 1
Brexit - 1


South East - 84 seats
Conservative Party - 47
Liberal Democrats - 21
UKIP - 5
Greens - 5
Labour Party - 4
DUP - 1
Change UK - 1

North East - 29 seats
Conservatives - 15
Labour - 8
Liberal Democrats - 4
Greens - 1
Brexit - 1
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« Reply #3 on: July 01, 2019, 08:26:20 pm »

Reserving this space for my schedule. Should have something up tonight.
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DKrol
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« Reply #4 on: July 01, 2019, 10:27:38 pm »

BREAKING NEWS: Sinn Fein Councillor Stabbed, Killed In Belfast
The Guardian Staff


Arder Carson
Sinn Fein, via Wikimedia Commons

Arder Carson, former Lord Mayor of Belfast and recently elected to the City's Council for Sinn Fein, has been stabbed to death at a surgery in his district of Black Mountain. Mr. Carson was preparing to leave the venue when a man, it is reported, charged at him and began to thrust a small knife into Mr. Carson's stomach. Mr. Carson was stabbed several times before bystanders could wrestle the attacker away and remove the knife. An eyewitness reported the attacker was a local DUP volunteer, although The Guardian cannot confirm this at this time. A second eyewitness told a reporter that the attacker "seemed to be motivated by a person grievance" against Mr. Carson. The attacker is in custody and being questioned by the Police Service of Northern Ireland.

Mr. Carson died due to his injuries while waiting for emergency medical services to arrive. Mr. Carson's death is the second such incident to possibly be motivated by Irish national/unionist sentiments in recent months, after the murder of journalist Lyra McKee.
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« Reply #5 on: July 02, 2019, 09:28:20 am »


Labour: Together with Pride

Usercreated

1 August
Alistar Darling kicks off the Labour campaign in Glasgow, giving a speech with other prominent members of Scottish Labour.

Quote


My fellow Scotsmen, I am a son of Glasgow, I am a son of Scotland, and I am a son of the United Kingdom, but as a nation and as a people we are stronger when we work with Europe and not against them. As the leader of the Labour Party, I was elected on the promise of putting money in the hands of the people, those who know how to spend it. A Labour Government will put 20 billion pounds into the NHS in the next 5 years. A Labour Government will fight for equality for all in this nation and around the world, and a Labour government will fight for a living wage to ensure that all Britain’s share in the prosperity.

For too long have the Conservatives have been allowed to rule this country by whim, we need strong leadership to lead this nation in a time where there is the utmost uncertainty, I ask what Britain cast their vote for David Cameron? Britain is a nation made by the workers, but the Conservatives have seen to forgot that, the Prime Minister will make it seem like they’re willing to work with the other side, but they’re not. They’ve allied their government with the Far-Right with the likes of Nigel Farage taking a leading role in governing our nation. I will be the first to say, Extremist views have no place in Britain, we are a nation of diversity and prosperity, two things the Conservative government has abandoned.

We as members of the Labour Party must accept our role in ushering in a new age of Britain, an age of inclusion, an age of strength, and an age of progress. For the last 7 years, the Conservative Government has fought against those very things, they have fought to weaken our nation in its time of need, and they have tried to break our relationship with Europe, but we must persevere as it is coming to an end, because I believe the people of our nation have seen that the Conservatives stand for the interests of those who make a million pounds a year, and not those who they claim to represent. In this election season, I ask you, my brothers and sisters in Scottish Labour and Labour across the nation to stand up and vote, vote out the Conservative Government that has drug our nation to these depths, and vote for a Labour Government that will bring our nation from these depths to new and greater horizons.


Usercreated
Current Scottish Labour MPs
1. MP Alistair Darling Leader of Labour Party
2. MP Ian Murray Spokesperson Secretary of State for Scotland
3. MP Paul Sweeney Spokesperson for Scotland
4. MP Richard Leonard leader of Scottish Labour
5. MP Lesley Laird deputy leader of Scottish Labour
6. MP Danielle Rowley Spokesperson for Climate Justice and Green Jobs
7. MP Gerard Killen
8. MP Anas Sarwar Spokesperson for Health and Sport
9. MP Martin Whitfield
10.MP Alex Rowley
11.MP Johann Lamont
12.MP Kezia Dugdale
13.MP Jackie Baillie
14.MP Hugh Gaffney


Following the campaign kickoff, Darling went to an abandoned industrial park in outer Glasgow and delivered a speech on the failures of the Conservative Government on Britain and with the benefits of a Labour government.

Quote

A Britain with a Labour government is one where we see this park working again. A Britain with a Labour Government is one where we bring people up so they don’t have to live on food banks. A Conservative Government has lost Britain these jobs and made many Britains turn to the food banks to make ends meet. With a Labour Government, we will take the fight to poverty and not turn our backs on those of our people so much in need. How do we claim to be strong as a nation, when our immediate moral fibre is weak, we are as strong as our weakest link, and what have the Conservatives done to strengthen the position of these impoverished peoples? More people than ever rely on food banks.

Last year the UN published a report concluding that the Conservative Government had committed Grave, systematic violations of the rights of persons with disabilities. Currently, 4.2 million people with disabilities live in poverty in Britain, and the disability pay gap remains stubbornly high. As a government Labour will fight back against the joblessness, homelessness, and food insecurity that plagues our nation. We need to put money in the hands of the consumers, so we can help our small businesses keep working for Britain.

Labour will continue to put money in the hands of hardworking people in Scotland, Wales, England, and Northern Ireland. Because we work, for the people of this nation. If you elect us your government expect a stronger Britain, and a Britain that stays in the EU, and a Britain that stays whole. We need to focus on fighting against the like of Nigel Farage and Paul Nuttall who try to tear our nation apart and tear the European community apart. Not as Scotsman, but as a Britain I say, Stronger Together.


Alistair Darling takes a train to Edinburgh, where he comments on his plans for public transport and then holds a surgery with MP's Ian Murray the Shadow Secretary of State for Scotland, and Paul Sweeney the Shadow Minister for Scotland in Edinburgh.


To end the day, Darling takes the train south to the region of northeast England.

Scotland Campaign Constants
Focus on attracting Younger Voters in Glasgow, Edinburgh, and other cities in Scotland
Use Grassroots Labour support to pass advertisments on the ground, focus on densley populated areas
Capitalize on the unpopularity of the Conservative government in Scotland (Remain voters) by painting Labour as the only real alternative to a Conservative Government.
Emphasize the Scottish background of Alistair Darling, "The Scottish Choice".

2 August

Alistair Darling holds a town hall in Durham focusing on making a more equal and fair Britain, and a holding a Labour volunteer drive. 

Meet with the MPs of Northeastern Labour, the 8 MPs for Labour in Northeast England are 
1. MP Ian Mearns Chairman of the Backbench Business Committee
2. MP Andy McDonald Secretary of State for Business
3. MP Chi Onwurah Spokesperson for Industrial Strategy
4. MP Laura Pidcock Spokesperson for Labour
5. MP Alan Campbell Frontbench Deputy Chief Whip
6. MP Ian Lavery Chairman of the Labour Party
7. MP Sharon Hodgson Spokesperson of Public Health
8. MP Paul Williams

Darling then went to a town hall event where he discussed his plan to put money in the hands of the workers in this region, and across the nation.

Speak to Northeast England Young Labour in Durham on the importance of fixing the United Kingdom's Education system.

Quote
Education is a crucial issue here in the Northeast, and across Britain. As Prime Minister and as leader of a Labour Government, we promise to make sure all of our nations primary and secondary school teachers have a masters degree because we want the British youth to be taught by the best and brightest. We will also be making it easier to achieve a University education, and raising the pay of our teachers.

That is why, as a nation, we need to continue to be on the forefront of education and the values we stand for. Following the General Election, I would like to form a government to fix Britain's schools, because as we saw with the death of Councillor Carson violence, comes from those who know, no better. We need to end violence in the United Kingdon, and having a better-educated populace is one way we can do that. 

I look back on my friend Jo Cox murdered before the Referendum a few years ago, and the man who killed was a man like any other in Britain, but he couldn't settle a debate with words he settled it with violence. I look back on her, and I think we need to make sure that never happens again. That is why a strong independent Britain needs strong independent schooling. Labour is the Teacher's choice, the Progressive Choice, and the British Choice. Thank you all. 


Following the speech to young Labour, Darling appeared with Sharon Hodgson and Laura Pidcock to promote Labour's strong record on women's issues and Labour issues at a surgery.

To end the day give a train stop speech to supporters in Newcastle Upon Tyne on the state of British public transit. Promising a Labour Government will end 9 years of Conservative Government mismanagement and destruction by the Conservatives.

Following the speech, he takes the train to London to prepare for the Labour Manifesto launch.

Northeastern Campaign Constants
Focus on attracting Younger Voters and Working-class voters in Newcastle Upon Tyne, Durham, Darlington, Washington, Sunderland and other cities in the Region
Use Grassroots Labour support to spread the primary campaign messages of the region, Labour is the party of Healthcare, Trade Unions, and Education. Do NOT campaign on Brexit
Use Labour's traditional strength in the area to press the advantage, attack the Conservatives on their inaction in the area while it has been losing good paying jobs, and blast the Liberal Democrats for abandoning a generation of Britain's. 
Local MPs campaign in their home areas, with MP Paul Williams reaching out to younger voters primarily, and MP Chi Onwurah reaching out to the minority communities of these cities.



3 August

Begin the day with arriving in London, and meeting with the London Labour MPs

1.MP Catherine West Spokesperson for Foreign Affairs
2. MP Gareth Thomas Spokesperson for International Development
3. MP Emily Thornberry Spokesperson for Commonwealth Affairs
4. MP Keir Starmer Spokesperson for Leaving the European Union
5. MP Stephen Pound Spokesperson for Northern Ireland
6. MP Barry Gardiner Spokesperson for International Trade
7. MP Marsha De Cordova Spokesperson for Disabled People
8. MP John Creyer Chairman of the Parliamentary Labour Party
9. MP Jeremy Corbyn Former Shadow Chancellor of the Exchequer
10. MP Dawn Butler Spokesperson for Women and Equalities
11. MP Lyn Brown Spokesperson for the Treasury
12. MP Dianne Abbott
13. MP Matthew Pennycook
14. MP Steve Reed
15. MP Kate Hoey
16. MP Harriet Harman
17. MP Stella Creasy
18. MP Rosena Allin-Khan
19. MP David Lammy
20. MP Rupa Huq


The Labour Manifesto launches at 12 pm on 3 August, with Darling giving a speech at the Labour conference.

Quote
Hello! We are Labour! This is Labour land here, and we're going to make Westminster Labour land too! We need to look at our great Manifesto though, we're protecting our schools, we're fighting for expanding and improving healthcare, and we're making British schools the best in the world. We are going to reinvigorate our coastlines with the Blue New Deal proposal, and we will continue to make progressive improvements, to benefit British workers, British consumers, and the British people as a whole.


We need a nation that works for the people, the Conservative government doesn't work for the people they work for themselves. We need to fight, tooth and nail for this nation to bring it back from the grips of destruction it is at now. Welsh, Scottish, English, or Irish we are all apart of this union and we need to stay apart of the union. That is why we are investing into our education system, to improve the lives of all Britains, that is why we are investing into the NHS to improve the lives of all Britains, and that is why we are putting money into the community because we know they need it.


Following the launch of the manifesto, Darling would campaign in north London with a pair of left-wing MPs, Jeremy Corbyn and David Lammy they focused on Labour's Healthcare, and Education proposals to win over voters in Tottenham and Islington.


Speak to Labour volunteers in Islington about the need for a strong campaign this year to ensure that Britain stays in the European Union.

Prepare for the upcoming debates with Jeremy Corbyn playing the role of David Cameron, and Keir Starmer playing the role of Nick Clegg.

Hold a surgery in South London with Dianne Abbott, Gareth West, and Emily Thornberry discussing issues with the constituents of the city of London, continue the focus of the campaign on Education, Healthcare, and Workers Rights.

End the day with a speech to a group of workers thinking about unionizing. Talking about the positives in the matter.

(The last 4 days will be up at a later time on a different post)

 

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« Reply #6 on: July 02, 2019, 02:52:34 pm »
« Edited: July 02, 2019, 03:58:37 pm by Councilor Suburban New Jersey Conservative »

Liberal Democrats


August 1

Scotland

Party Leader Swinson gives a speech about a second EU referendum in Glasgow

Excerpt:

Quote
The region of Scotland voted overwhelmingly against the decision to leave the European Union. The Liberal Democratic Party pledges to hold a second referendum, if we win this upcoming election. We also pledge to allow a region to, if they wish, choose to stay in the European Union. Lastly, our party believes that unless Scottish independence takes a lead in opinion polling, not holding an independence referendum, will reflect the will of the Scottish people. We pledge to create a Britain that works for everyone.

August 2

Wales

Party Leader Jo Swinson gives a speech about Welsh autonomy in Cardiff

Excerpt:

Quote
Our party recognizes that Wales has long enjoyed a degree of autonomy. Our party will seek to protect that autonomy from attacks. We will promise to defend and preserve the National Assembly for Wales. We will also defend the Welsh NHS and we pledge to grant the government of Wales, 10 million pounds to invest in the Welsh Branch of the NHS, if our party wins the upcoming election. Our goal is a better, fairer Britain for all, and that includes Wales.


August 3

East of England

Party Leader Jo Swinson holds a townhall in Norwich

The main topics of discussion are a second EU referendum and the plan to invest in the NHS

August 4

Party Leader Jo Swinson is interviewed by BBC News, interview airs from 6:00-8:00 PM

Topics of the interview are the second EU referendum proposal, the plan to invest in the NHS, and the plan to invest in education

August 5

London

Party Leader Jo Swinson gives a speech about the importance of labor unions

Excerpts

Quote
Organized labor is the life and blood of the working class. The importance of unions has helped us wrest away control from the corporations. But even today, unions remain important. Labor unions will always be the lifeblood of this great nation of Britain. We can never return to an era, when unions were mistreated, we will stand up to the corporations. The Liberal Democrat Britain is a Britain for everyone, it is a Britain for all Britons, and that includes the rich tradition of unions.

August 6

South West


Campaign across the South West and discuss the plan to improve education and the NHS.

August 7

South East

Leader Jo Swinson will discuss the Party Manifesto and tout the education proposal

Excerpt:

Quote
Our party has committed to a new vision for education in Britain. We will add billions of pounds to this nation's education system. Our goal is to ensure that every child of Britain can not only get am education, but that they can get a quality one. We want to ensure that ever child of Britain can get an education, and a quality one. We want every Briton to go to a university. Our party, if elected will ensure that every child of Britain, now matter how poor or disadvantaged, will not only go to school, but will be successful in school.

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« Reply #7 on: July 02, 2019, 07:34:16 pm »

Plaid's Schedule

August 1st to 7th: Campaign in Wales

August 4th: Interview on BBC on the Platform for the Plaid Party.
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« Reply #8 on: July 02, 2019, 11:58:55 pm »

List of 1st (and sometimes 2nd) Brexit Party Members in each Region list (not full list):
N.E. - Paul Nuttal and Katie Fanning
S.E. England - Janice Atkinson and Diane James
London - Gerard Batten
West Midlands - Nikki Sinclaire and Jill Seymour
Yorkshire and the Humber - Jane Collins
S.W. England - Earl of Dartmouth
East Midlands - Margot Parker
Scotland - David Coburn
E. of England - Patrick O'Flynn
Wales - Caroline Jones
N.W. England - Louise Bours


BREXIT PARTY SCHEDULE

1st of August:
Nikki Sinclaire Campaigns in the West Midlands on the Brexit Party being for all Britons
"UKIP has a tainted brand. They have made themselves a party of far-right politics and of Nigel Farage rather than being a party for all leave voters! If 52% of voters wanted to leave the EU, then why is it that the party that fully supported the EU is polling around 20? Because they alienate people who aren't also far right, by associating themselves with people like Tommy Robinson. Imagine what we could get done by uniting all of the people who voted for Brexit? That's what our hopes to do."

2nd and 3rd of August:
Katie Fanning and Janice Atkinson Campaign in S. E. England on stopping the decline of the Coastal cities and towns
"Our country's beautiful coastal regions are in decline. Our coasts are vital to our country and assist them we must improve the area's fishing and tourism industries. Exiting the EU will make these industries stronger by making the British people more likely to go to British beaches and buy British fish. Not only that but our small business tax cut is boosted to 50% when a business is in a coastal economic zone. Hopefully, this will incentivize businesses to move to or start businesses in the region."

August 4th:
Gerard Batten campaigns in London on respecting the votes of 17 million Britons

August 5th:
David Coburn Campaign in Scotland on making the country's economy more fair by cracking down on dodging taxes by the rich.

August 6th:
Paul Nuttall Campaigns out of N.E. England on Welfare Reform

- Repealing the Bedroom tax for its adverse effect on the disabled
- Only giving benefits to foreign nationals after they have lived in the UK after 5 years

August 7th:
Caroline Jones in Wales campaigning on Replacing the House of Lords with a democratically elected chamber.

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« Reply #9 on: July 03, 2019, 01:20:46 am »

Change UK:
Time for Change in Britain!

1
______________________________________________________________

Week 1:
Becoming the Party of Remain

In General: Change UK started its campaign on August 1st with the launching of its Manifesto and the outlining of its basic strategy for the early party of the campaign. Recognizing the need to expand the party's base of support and gain visibility in order to catch up with the traditional parties, Mrs. Soubry and the Change UK leadership resolved to start the fight not only on domestic issues, but by focusing on a clear, unambiguous anti-Brexit message in order to be perceived as "the true party of Remain" and attract anti-Brext activists, campaigners and volunteers into the ranks of the party.

Concepts: Three key concepts are being introduced by the Change UK at the outset of this campaign: One, "Stop Brexit", outlining Change UK's desire to be the clear choice for the Remain/Anti-Brexit voter; Two, "Coalition of Chaos", to put focus on the evident failings of the last coalition and undermine PM Cameron's image; and Three, "No-Deal Brexit", both to argue its enormous possible damage and show Change UK as taking the lead in warning against No-Deal.

Strategic: Recognizing the dangers of being left behind by larger parties due to resources the party's organizational efforts were focused mainly on London and party on the South East as the two largest regions, in the belief that strong showings there aided by proper infrastructure would result in a substantial reward in terms of MP. The party also focused on two particular areas to be exploited:

  • 1. Extensive online campaigning via Twitter, Facebook and Instagram, seeking to make several relevant posts a day on relevant issues, manifesto pledges, attacks on the Brexiteer parties and constant messaging in favor of Remain in order to catch the attention of would-be voters and the media.
  • 2. Efforts to reach out to the younger voters and possible volunteers via pledges such as lowering the voting age, combined with a sustained appeal to young Remainer voters in the hopes of recruiting activists and volunteers disenchanted with the other parties. It is hoped that such efforts would bring the reward of possible canvassing teams for the late campaign.

Campaign:

  • August 1st: Launch of the Change UK Manifesto (Time for Change in Britain!) in London with the entire Change UK Parliamentary party and press conference, aiming to answer as many questions as possible and showcase the talents of the party team. Mrs. Soubry and some of the MP's or candidates formed teams of volunteers and supporters to deliver leaflets and talk to voters in different areas of London (particularly the strongest pro-Remain areas), whereas other prominent figures worked the media in the attempt to get the party brand with the most possible exposure.
  • August 2nd - 3rd: The Change UK campaign and Mrs. Soubry focused on working their way through London to build infrastructure, catch the eye of the media, reach out to voters and find material for social network campaigning. Although Brexit was the main issue, housing, crime and transport were also raised to appeal to Londoners, offering criticisms of the four main parties (CON/LAB/UKIP/LIB DEM) on their respective record. Nigel Farage in particular was presented as a "boogeyman", being judged that Londoners would respond positively to an anti-Farage message.
  • August 4th - 7th: The Change UK campaign and Mrs. Soubry then moved into the South East, delivering warnings of the serious effects of a No-Deal Brexit and also warning that voting Conservative, Brexit or UKIP would most likely result in a damaging outcome for the region due to the interruption of trade and different shortages.The campaign also sought to appeal to voters concerned about national security, crime and economic opportunities, reassuring them of both the social market vision of Change UK as well as its pro-security policies.
____________________________________________________________________

Interviews: A former journalist, Mrs. Soubry decided to take the opportunity to hit the media both to attack the "Coalition of Chaos" and express her concerns about the strategy or comments of other pro-Remain parties, in this case Labour and the Liberal Democrats.

2

Change UK attacks Brexiteer parties
Soubry describes the past government as the "coalition of chaos",
accuses PM Cameron of having no plan on Brexit

Soubry: "We've said it loud and clear in our manifesto, and we will say it across this campaign no matter how many threats, how much abuse is hurled at those of who dare to fight against what we believe is a reckless, dangerous path to follow: up until the election Britain has been led by the Coalition of Chaos. The level of sheer incompetence displayed by the Conservatives, by UKIP and by the DUP over the past few months is simply staggering, and I would go as far as to say it openly defies satire with the amount of bad decisions, improvisation and petty infighting that has taken place. It's one of the reasons why this election is so important, because we simply can't allow the Coalition of Chaos to get away with it and remain in power despite their present record.

That goes for Mrs. Foster and Mr. Farage with their reckless showmanship and lack of responsibility, yes, but more than anything it goes for the Prime Minister. It was beyond appalling to read the Conservative Manifesto and see that for all their calls about being entrusted with the decision they proposed no plan, gave no clear indication of what type of Brexit they'd want - even the vaguest idea -, and tellingly, failed to rule out a disastrous no-deal as it seems clear they'll be relying on Mr. Farage to remain in office. David Cameron had a choice at the start of this campaign, a choice between telling the truth to the people of this country or evading his responsibility as Prime Minister to offer a clear direction. He has chosen not to lead."
____________________________________________________________________

Change UK: We are a party of Remain
Soubry warns against Labour "pandering to leave voters";
Lib Dems seemingly putting the Union into question

Soubry: "Of course I'm very glad other Remainer parties are committed to holding a second referendum, and would certainly look forward to working with them in Parliament to ensure the people's voice is heard. But right now we're in dangerous territory for the United Kingdom and the well-being of the British people, because reckless parties like UKIP continue to idealize a disastrous, damaging No-Deal as the solution to all our problems. Against that, we can't afford to play petty politics with this issue of muddle the waters for the sake of winning votes, this is an issue in which a principled stand is what the people deserve and what they should get from Remainer parties.

I'm very worried about the Labour Party, which claims to be a party of Remain yet can't be bothered to consider Brexit one of their manifesto priorities, and which appears to prefer pandering on account of declining to campaign on Brexit on several regions of this country. I am also worried about the Lib Dems and Mrs. Swinson, who despite a commendable support for a second referendum argued - very bizarrely - that regions would be allowed to stay or leave the European Union, which seems frankly uninformed view about the situation and, with due respect to Jo, highly damaging for the Union as well. I respect Mr. Darling and Mrs. Swinson as able, principled politicians, but as Remainers we just can't get it wrong on Brexit."
____________________________________________________________________

Soubry: NI needs Hope, not Hatred
Change UK condemns the murder of Arder Carson and warns against political violence

Soubry: I am absolutely appalled at this cowardly, inexcusable and unacceptable tragedy, and I'd like to offer my deepest sympathies to the family of Mr. Carson, to his party and to the people of Belfast and of Northern Ireland as a whole. Political violence has no place in this country and it should not be tolerated in the slightest, and it is deeply saddening to see that the rise in political tensions of the past few years has led us into situations such as this. It all starts simple enough, with the constant harassment and threats many are forced to get used to even in Westminster, and soon the bitter rhetoric of hate some figures have no qualms to exploit gets out of hand and results on tragedies like that.

I strongly hope the police will be able to investigate this matter to its fullest extent, that the peace process will not be further undermined by this kind of violence, and, above all, that as a society we being to understand that despite the deep divisions in our society today what we all need is hope, and not hatred. It is only through hope our country will eventually heal its wounds and be united again.
____________________________________________________________________

1.) Original Image:
BBC One, Party Election Broadcasts: Change UK - The Independent Group, modified.


2.) Original Image:
Anna Soubry, Parliamentary Under Secretary of State at the Department of Health at the UK and Overseas Territories Joint Ministerial Council meeting in London, 4 December 2012, Wikimedia Commons
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« Reply #10 on: July 03, 2019, 03:12:26 am »

Green Party: For the Common Good

General focus:

The Green Party launched its manifesto for rapid action on climate change and extensive political reform, as well as addressing Brexit. The focus of the campaign is to be environmental issues, and as such, a focus on younger voters will be a top priority in the campaign. The line on Brexit remains that with 30% of eligible voters and no one under 18 represented in the referendum, a second referendum is the only clear option.

Strategy: The Green Party focus is on pulling other parties leftward on climate change, and in particular with the New Energy Plan. To build on the Green Party's strength with younger voters, extensive efforts are to be put into online campaigning, including the establishment of a question-and-answer website which will allow everyone to ask question on party policy and receive a response. All this is is deisgned, as stated, to appeal to younger voters.

August 1

The Green Party launched its 2019 campaign and its manifesto in the Brighton Pavillion seat, currently by Caroline Lucas. Lucas, taking charge of campaign efforts for the Greens, declared that the Green party will be looking to expand its vote, rather than play defence as it always has. The cmaping launch was attended by the renowned Sir David Attenborough, who endorsed the New Energy Plan for the preservation of the environment. It was also announced that volunteers would be permitted to unionise.

2nd-4th of August

Lucas travelled to the southeast of England, where half of all Green party seats were located. The aim was to build campaign infrastructure and rally support for the NEP. The focus, naturally, was on climate change, but also on reofrming the political system, thought to be a winning issue for the Greens. The Conservatives were presented as ignoring climate change, while Labour as too weak-willed on the issue.

5th-7th of August

These days were spent in the northeast, with Lucas spruiking plans to for a hydrogen power plant and innovation center in the region, as well as extensive retraining programs to counter the closure of coal plants. It is hoped that these promises will endear the Green Party to the working class of the north. Eyes were also drawn to plans for a National broadband Service to ensure high internet speeds across the country.
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« Reply #11 on: July 03, 2019, 12:10:31 pm »




Scottish National Party: A voice for Scotland



Strategy:

Combining a strong left wing economic message with an anti Brexit and pro-Independence message. Focusing attacks on Labour for having taken Scotland for granted, and on the Tories for austerity and failing to grant an independence referendum.



1st August:

Nicola Sturgeon responds to the calling of the general election positively with a tweet.
Quote
The SNP welcomes this election, a great opportunity for us to get out our strong progressive pro-Independence, anti-Brexit message!

2nd August:

Nicola Sturgeon hits the campaign trail by knocking on doors and talking to voters in Airdrie. Responding to Jo Swinson's comments, Nicola Sturgeon tweets.
Quote
While we view Jo Swinson's unusual offer to allow Scotland to remain in the EU while staying in the UK as a step forward, it isn't sufficient or workable. The SNP is campaigning for an independent Scotland. This is the only way to ensure Scotland remains in the EU. As usual, hot air from the major parties, who want Scottish votes, yet do nothing.

3rd August:

Nicola Sturgeon launches the SNP's campaign and manifesto with a speech in East Glasgow.
Quote
The SNP is the party for the working men and women of Scotland. We have long been ignored by the Westminster political parties. Labour has supported Scottish home rule on paper since their founding, when they used to be a party of working people. Yet, Labour has been in and out of government since then and they only got around to granting us a limited amount of devolution in 1999. This shows how much Labour really cares about Scotland. The Tories have forced crushing austerity on Scotland over the last few years and have, since Thatcher, contributed a huge amount to inequality across the UK. Most recently, the Tories have forced Scotland to endure Brexit, which is something Scotland overwhelmingly rejected. Not only this, but it was also revealed that they viewed key Scottish industries like the oil industry to be low priority. The fact that they have allied themselves with an anti migrant demagogue Nigel Farage shows how far to the right the Tories have swung. They don't represent Scotland, which is a progressive country. The SNP does. We won't engage with the politics of fear, but instead with hope. We will give Scotland a voice in a parliament which has ignored it. We will push for progressive policies such as a living wage, a ban on zero-hours contracts, ending austerity and investing in our public services and supporting the most vulnerable Scots. We will vigorously oppose Brexit, which threatens 80,000 Scottish jobs and argue for the best alternative, an Independent, Progressive Scotland inside the European Union! This is detailed in our manifesto, which you can get a copy of on that table over there.

4th August:

Nicola Sturgeon knocks on doors and talks to voters in East Glasgow. She is asked by a reporter about Alistair Darling's attempt to invoke his Scottish heritage.
Quote
Reporter: Alistair Darling has been emphasizing his Scottish heritage while campaigning in Scotland. Your reaction?
Sturgeon: I think Mr. Darling underestimates the intelligence of Scottish people. Both Blair and Brown were of Scottish heritage, and yet they completely disregarded Scotland and moved rightwards. Darling is just another public school boy who doesn't understand the every day struggles of Scots. His austerity measures during his time as Chancellor paved the way for even worse austerity under the Tories. His 2008 budget was extremely regressive, targeting people earning less than £18,000. He isn't in touch with the working men and women of Scotland.

5th August:

Nicola Sturgeon knocks on doors and talks to voters in Central Glasgow. She tweets in response to the stabbing in Northern Ireland.
Quote
I am appalled and saddened by the indefensible stabbing of Councillor Arder Carson. He will be missed.

6th August:

Nicola Sturgeon knocks on doors and talks to voters in Clydebank. She tweets, criticizing Labour over Brexit.
Quote
While in Scotland, Darling spoke about the need to stop Brexit. As soon as he crosses into England, all of a sudden he doesn't mention it. This tells you all you need to know about how committed Labour is to stopping Brexit. The SNP is committed to keeping Scotland in the EU.

7th August:

Nicola Sturgeon knocks on doors and talks to voters in Alexandria.


Image source: www.insider.co.uk
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« Reply #12 on: July 03, 2019, 09:24:32 pm »
« Edited: July 03, 2019, 09:36:14 pm by YPestis25 »

Conservative Schedule:
August 1st-August 7th
David Cameron campaigning in 2017. Sourced from Reuters through BBC.

August 1st
-Election kick-off rally in London.
Quote
“This election will determine so much more than the next few years. More than anything, this is a generational race. The economic progress, the progress in foreign affairs, all hinges on the outcome of the vote in just a few weeks. The Conservative Party has guided us through some of the most trying times in our nation’s long and storied history, and we can do so again, but only with your help!”

-Canvassing in Oxford.
-Canvassing in Reading.

August 2nd
-Canvassing in Northampton.
-Canvassing in Birmingham.
-Canvassing Coventry.

August 3rd
-Speech on Brexit in Sunderland.
Quote
“I’m sure that it is a rare sight indeed to see a Conservative Prime Minister visit Sunderland, let alone visit it in an election campaign! But I am here to speak about something very important: Brexit. Agree with it or not, the British people voted to leave the European Union. Democracy, must, and under a Conservative led ministry, will be respected. We cannot hold a new referendum simply because we disagree with the result of the first! As your Prime Minister, I will secure an equitable agreement to leave the European Union, one which will strengthen the United Kingdom and secure the future for generations to come.”

-Canvassing in Middlesbrough.
-Canvassing in Scarborough.

August 4th
-Canvassing in Manchester.
-Canvassing in Sheffield.
-Canvassing in Derby.

August 5th
-Canvassing in Liverpool.
-Canvassing in Chester.
-Canvassing in Caernarfon.
Quote
"Violence in political discord can never be accepted. The death of Councilman Carson is an absolute tragedy, and his family and friends will remain in our thoughts. The Government condemns this heinous attack in the strongest possible terms. The struggle for peace in Northern Ireland was long and arduous, and cannot be undone by a few radicals who would seek to plunge the area back into violence and chaos."

August 6th
-Prime Ministerial Duties
.
August 7th
-Canvassing in Cardiff.
Quote
"Further devolution is certainly not off the table, but the United Kingdom's territorial integrity, with its four constituent states must be maintained. Those seeking to create national disunity in order to facilitate political gain ought to be ashamed of themselves"
-Canvassing in Bristol.
-Canvassing in Bath.

Strategy:
The broad Conservative strategy for this general election will be two fold. On the one hand, high turnout must be maintained in party strongholds, particularly in England. These areas will be critical to any election victory. As such, significant resources will be devoted to fliers, billboards, and local ads to keep turnout high. A combination of scare tactics regarding a second referendum with the Liberal Democrats, or chaos with a resurgent labor will also be employed. These tactics in particular will be used to stop bleeding to the Brexit Party.

The second prong of this strategy will involve winning over disenchanted Labour voters who supported Brexit. In particular, with Alistair Darling now having taken over leadership of the party, efforts will be made to paint Labour as untrustworthy on the issue. Conservative pamphleteers will be devoted to wavering labor areas in Northeast England and Wales to use this strategy to maximum effect.
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« Reply #13 on: July 03, 2019, 10:57:05 pm »

Labour: Together With Pride


August 4

Continue campaigning in London with prominent MPs of Labour. Focus on South and West London to drive out turnout, while Corbyn focuses on campaigning in his North London stronghold, and former Leader Dianne Abbott campaigns with Darling showing unity between the two branches of the party.

Meet with volunteers, to focus on blasting the Tories on wanting to leave the EU, question David Cameron's promises on leaving the EU with, "Mr.Prime Minister weren't you a Remainer. Chancellor Darling keeps his word."

Give an interview to the BBC on his priorities if Labour secures a majority,

Quote
I: How do you feel about the attacks from CHUK, the SNP, and the Conservatives.

AD: Well, when it comes to leaving the EU, It's a disaster and Prime Minister Cameron says he's gonna do it, but you all remember where he was during the campaign, he was campaigning to remain. The SNP and Change say I'm not strong on Scotland, or strong on the European Union. I tell them where were they during the campaign for both? I was on the frontlines with members of parties, and members of the public to defeat both. We weren't successful in the latter, but we did defeat what would have been disastrous Independence for Scotland, England and Scotland are better together, and the UK and Europe are better together. Mrs.Sturgeon if you're in favour of Britain staying then why are you in favour of tearing our nation apart? 

I: What is your first priority as Prime Minister in a Labour government?

AD: Our first priority is to fix our nation's problems, the problems this Conservative Government has let hamper Britains for too long. We will settle the issue with the European Union, and let it be known a vote for Labour is a vote for remaining in the European Union, a vote for fixing our schools, and a vote reinvigorating our economy. Because we need a Britain that works for all and not a Britain that works for those the Conservatives say it should.

End the day with a speech to a group in Southwest London, blasting the Liberal Democrats for lying to the British people, by saying they'll protect trade unions, but really supporting free trade.



August 5

Finish tour of London with a constituency surgery with Corbyn, and Abbott showing party unity between the more centre and farther left areas of the party.

Speak on public infrastructure at a stop in Cardiff.

Bring the campaign to Wales, by praising Plaid Cymru and giving a short address in Welsh on the importance of Welsh values, and promising to promote further devolution. "The reason we have devolved governments is you the people and a Labour government. Send Labour back to Westminister so we can continue to work hard.

Meet with Welsh Labour MPs and discuss a surrogate strategy to speak with as many Welsh voters as possible before the election.

Travel to the north of Wales, to speak with farmers, and coastal communities about reinvigorating their industries.

Finish the day in Swansea commenting on how the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats have abandoned the workers of the city and how Labour and Darling need their help to bring about actual change to Westminster and bring jobs back to Swansea.


August 6

Return to London, with a quick stop in east London to meet with top campaign spokespeople, and surrogates for the city.

Hold a surgery with Dianne Abbott and Jeremy Corbyn, as well as Former Prime Minister John McDonnell showing a unified Labour ready to combat the Tories, Lib Dems and Greens going forward.

Speak to Young Labour telling them to tell their friends to vote, their moms and dads and all Britians. Whether it is for Labour or another party, their main function is to drive the wheels of Democracy in the United Kingdom.

In an interview with the Daily Mirror, blast David Cameron's leadership of the nation as a puppet to Prime Minister Leadsom. We need a Prime Minister who is Independent, not one who is a lackey to a failed Brexiteer.

End the day with MPs from both sides of the party. Meet with grassroots activists of Labour pledging to help keep them in the fight in this crucial time for the party, as we need to take the fight to the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats.
August 7

Begin the day with a speech emphasizing Labour's fight to end homelessness in the United Kingdom in the north London neighbourhoods of Tottenham and Islington. 

Hold a surgery in South London talking to the people on the issues that matter the most to them, focusing on gathering voters for Labour and blasting the Liberal Democrats and Conservative Government.

End the campaign for the week, with a speech to Labour volunteers in Tottenham with support of British workers, and for healthcare and education.
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« Reply #14 on: July 03, 2019, 11:19:18 pm »

Sinn Féin
Schedule for 1–7 August


1 August   Manifesto launch in Belfast.
2 August   Canvasing in Londonderry, McDonald recounts the disasters of the last seven years under a "clown car of Tory prime ministers," calling for an end to austerity and special status for Northern Ireland within the EU.
3 August   McDonald visits several towns on the border between Northern and Southern Ireland, emphasizing the disastrous consequences of a "Hard Brexit" and reiterating her call for special status within the EU.
4 August   Speaking before a mass rally of trade union members in Belfast, McDonald attacks the Tory government for their "complete contempt" for working people and workers' rights, calling for an end to austerity, deregulation, and privatization.
5 August   On the steps of Stormont Castle, McDonald blasts the Tories and the DUP for their "incompetent" handling of the executive negotiations, declaring that the DUP's "refusal to negotiate in good faith" is to blame for the continued adjournment of the executive.
6 August   In Newry, citing the neglect and mismanagement of Tory government from Westminster as proof that partition has failed, McDonald calls for a referendum on Irish unification by 2024. "In betraying the Good Friday Agreement, the Tories and the DUP have proved what we knew all along: partition is undemocratic, it is wrong, and our future lies with a united Ireland."
7 August   In Portadown, McDonald again slams the DUP for the "bad-faith negotiations that brought down the Stormont talks" and other parties as "weak-kneed enablers" of far-right obstructionism, presenting Sinn Féin as the only strong voice for Northern Ireland. 
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« Reply #15 on: July 04, 2019, 12:59:02 am »

In Belfast
Mary Lou MacDonald
On the Murder of Arder Carson


I can hardly begin to describe the horror that seizes me when I speak the words whispered on the four winds: that Arder Carson has be wrenched from this world by an assassin's knife. A lord mayor of Belfast was brutally murdered in the streets of this city by a Unionist partisan. If that does not chill your blood, then you are not alive.

We call on the authorities to begin a thorough and comprehensive investigation, to determine the full scope and motive for this despicable act of violence.

Our prayers are with Mr. Carson's family and his friends as they embark on this hard, heart-wrenching time. As for the perverted mind who conceived this attack: may God have mercy on his soul.
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« Reply #16 on: July 04, 2019, 09:04:10 pm »

Turn Two
August 8 - August 14


Kay Burley: And now a look at tomorrow’s papers.

THE TIMES: Labour Silent on Brexit in Manifesto

THE GUARDIAN: With UKIP Absent from the Campaign Trail, Brexit Party Surges

THE INDEPENDENT: Attenborough Endorses Greens, Rallies in London

THE SUN: Carson’s Murder - Staged by Irish Nationalists to End Brexit?

THE IRISH NEWS: PSNI Confirms Councillor Stabbing Not Politically Motivated

Burley: It certainly has been an interesting first week of this 2019 General Election campaign. To talk about the week here’s Sky Political Editor, Beth Rigby.

Beth Rigby: Hi, Kay.

Burley: Let’s start with the biggest news - Labour ignoring Brexit?

Rigby: Yeah, it’s a bit of a head scratcher. Brexit, we think, will be the biggest issue of the campaign. It’s the reason why we’re having this election in the first place, right? Nowhere in their Manifesto does Labour mention Brexit or even hint at a plan for post-Brexit Britain. Although Alistair Darling did speak about Brexit on the campaign trail, the fact that it’s not mentioned in their manifesto at all certainly raises questions among the electorate about how seriously Labour will be able to address Brexit if they’re in Government.

Burley: On the opposite end of the spectrum, there are the three Brexit-centered parties: UKIP, Brexit, and Change UK. What about them? All non-traditional parties making strong cases for their manifesto?

Rigby: The UKIP and Brexit manifestos are about what we would expect from parties led by Nigel Farage and Paul Nuttal. They both firmly committed themselves to seeing Brexit out, although the Brexit Party’s manifesto left some murkiness on how exactly they plan to achieve Article 50. UKIP, they were very clear - we will repeal the European Communities Act and leave on our own terms, forcing Europe to negotiate with Britain, rather than the other way around. Both the Brexit Party and UKIP took hard-line positions on immigration and taxation, setting themselves firmly on the right of the political spectrum.

Change UK, despite having a cross-spectrum membership, positioned itself as a party of the left in their manifesto. They endorsed a second Brexit referendum, and campaigning to remain in that referendum, a more socialised economy, environmentalism, and radical political reform, including an elected House of Lords, giving 16 years olds the franchise, and devolving more powers to regional assemblies.

Burley: How was the Change UK manifesto received by the public?

Rigby: It’s really unclear at this point. Anna Soubry did a stellar job on the campaign trail and endeared her party to a lot of young people, Remainers, and disaffected Labour voters, but she also distanced herself from some of her former Conservative supporters who could have given them a few seats in Conservative-leaning Remain areas.

Burley: Let’s talk about the two largest parties in Parliament right now - the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats. How were their manifestos?

Rigby: The Liberal Democrats cemented themselves as the Opposition to the Conservative Government. Their first manifesto promise is to hold a second referendum, although, interestingly, there was no mention of which side the LibDems would campaign for. Given that Nick Clegg was the face of the Remain vote in 2016, it’s very surprising that the LibDems aren’t declaring that they are a Remain party in their manifesto. They’ve also pledged to spend 100 billion pounds on the NHS, which is double the amount Labour pledged in their manifesto.

The Tory manifesto a solid blue programme. It was rather cut and dry - what you would expect from a Conservative election campaign. The Tories have been in Government since 2012 and, based on their Manifesto, they’ve run out of fresh ideas on how to make Britain better. The Brexit section of their Manifesto provides no clues or clarity as to how David Cameron hopes to get a better deal for Britain from the EU than the one his predecessor, Andrea Leadsom, negotiated.

Burley: Finally, let’s turn our attention to the regional parties.

Rigby: The Scottish National Party had a good manifesto launch. It’s clear that they are going to be a force up North this year. They’ve firmly committed to a Scottish independence referendum and to campaign for Scotland’s independence. They’ve also declared that they are a pro-Europe Party and that they want an independent Scotland to remain in the European Union. The SNP manifesto ticked all the boxes.

Plaid Cymru’s manifesto fell a bit flat. They laid out six promises only in the most general terms. There were no specifics, leaving voters unsure who how Plaid would enact their promises. For example, they endorsed Welsh Independence without a plan to get there. They also generally committed themselves to more Welsh devolution without specifics on what they mean or want, and how to get there. Kind of subpar for Plaid.

Northern Ireland is a bit different. The DUP didn’t release a manifesto. It’s been radio silence from Arlene Foster and the DUP for some time now. We’re not even sure, honestly, if the DUP is standing in this election, in Northern Ireland or otherwise. Sinn Fein, rocked by the news of the murder of Arder Carson, came out swinging in their manifesto. No holds barred, Sinn Fein attacked the DUP at every turn possible. On austerity, on the Northern Irish Executive, on workers’ rights - bam, bam, bam. And the DUP is missing, unable or unwilling to respond.

---

Sophy Ridge on Sunday
Sky News

Sophy Ridge: Here is the latest Sky News National Poll. Worth a note, Sky News has decided not to include the SNP in national polling from now on. There are now separate Sky News regional polls.

Sky News, National Poll - August 8, 2019:

Conservatives 23% (+1)
Labour: 22% (+2)
Liberal Democrats: 20% (-3)
UKIP: 13% (-6)
Change UK: 11% (+7)
Green Party: 4% (+2)
Brexit: 4% (+2)
Others: 3%

Sky News, Scotland Poll - August 8, 2019:

SNP: 34%
Labour: 19%
Conservatives: 19%
Liberal Democrats: 12%
Change UK: 8%
Green Party: 6%
Others: 2%

Sky News, Wales Poll - August 8, 2019:

Conservatives: 26%
Liberal Democrats: 22%
Plaid Cymru: 17%
Labour: 17%
Change UK: 6%
Brexit: 5%
Green Party: 4%
Other: 3%

Sky News, Northern Ireland Poll - August 8, 2019:

Sinn Fein: 41%
DUP: 28%
UUP: 14%
SDLP: 13%
TUV: 2%
Other: 2%

Ridge: What’s driving the movement in these polls? Let’s talk to Professor Michael Thrasher of the University of Plymouth. Doctor Thrasher, what do you see that’s caused the changes in these polls?

Michael Thrasher: The most obvious change in the polls is the Liberal Democrats slipping from their first place poll spot, nationally. They’ve been in the lead of the national polls since March, when Andrea Leadsom’s Withdrawal Bill was defeated the first time. They’ve only dropped 3%, and they’re still within 3% of the lead, but this is the first time a Sky poll has shown them out of the lead spot.

Ridge: Why is that?

Thrasher: It’s got to be because of Jo Swinson’s campaigning. Her speeches lacked cohesion and her policy proposals were poorly received. Specifically, in Scotland, she promised to hold a second EU referendum while also allowing regions the choice to remain in the EU. Voters don’t understand how that would work. How can Scotland be part of the UK and EU if the UK as a whole leaves the EU? It was especially hard to understand given her refusal to support a vote on Scottish Independence. Wouldn’t Scotland voting to stay in the EU, if the rest of the country votes to leave, be a vote of independence, under the Liberal Democrat plan? Her comments on affordable education were well received, however, which I think helped her party hold on to some supporters.

Ridge: What’s the next big surprise in the new polls, for you?

Thrasher: It would have to be the rise of Anna Soubry and Change UK. This party was a group of 9 MPs from across the political spectrum that has now positioned itself as a mainstream, left-of-center party. Her decision to focus the campaign on London and the South East is also probably boosting the party’s numbers, although it will probably mean they are unable to be the largest party in Parliament but they could be a significant kingmaker.

Ridge: Maybe that’s their goal in this campaign. What about Caroline Lucas’ Greens? Do you think they could play kingmaker?

Thrasher: Probably not. Caroline Lucas’ Greens are not the Greens of Germany. They do not, yet, have a broad base of support. If seats were allocated nationally, which they aren’t, the Greens wouldn’t have a single MP. I think that shows the limits of their reach. But I could see them picking up a few seats in London, where they had David Attenborough campaigning for them, and in the South East. I’m sure, if Caroline Lucas is at the top of the Green list in the South East, she’ll be returned as an MP.

Ridge: The traditional two parties are back on top in this poll - Labour and the Conservatives. Are we seeing a return to normalcy?

Thrasher: Again, probably not. I think the rising of Labour and the Conservatives may be offset by what I’ve said about Change UK and the Greens. Alistair Darling has run a good campaign for Labour, looking to rebound after two bad elections in 2012 and 2014. Their manifesto was not received all too well, but their campaign as been smooth, clear, and well managed, which has mitigated the damage. He’s making a play at his native Scotland, which is probably where Labour has the best hopes of winning extra seats, but his position on Scottish independence will make it hard for massive amounts of Scots to rally around him.

David Cameron, to this point, has led a standard Tory campaign. He’s brought the campaign to a few new places, like Liverpool and Manchester and Sunderland, but he’s repeated traditional Tory campaign points. They’ll do well in the traditional Tory-supporting areas, and may pick up a seat or two in strong Leave-voting areas in the North, but I don’t expect to see a large change in Tory MPs returned at this point.

Ridge: And finally, the two Brexit-focused parties. Should these polls excite or scare Nigel Farage?

Thrasher: I think they are a warning sign for Mr. Farage and UKIP. If he wants to maintain his status as the leader of a top four party, he needs to fight for it. The UKIP manifesto was received well enough by the UKIP loyal, but he didn’t make a single campaign stop this week. The first week of a campaign can be the most important in shaping voter’s impressions of a party. It’ll take a lot to fight back and stave off not only the attacks from the left-of-center parties, but also from his right, with Paul Nuttal’s Brexit Party giving UKIP a run for its money. The decision of the Brexit Party to campaign in London and Scotland, two of the largest Remain areas in the country, is certainly a head-scratcher.

Ridge: Could either UKIP or the Brexit Party be the largest party after this election?

Thrasher: Unlikely. Impossible if they are contesting the same regions.

Ridge: Any final thoughts?

Thrasher: I think we can learn a few things from the Scottish, Welsh, and Northern Irish polls. In Scotland, the SNP are going to be the largest party, pending a disaster, and probably end up with about 30 MPs. That’s a strong enough number to have a role in a Government, or to hold up the forming of a coalition until demands are met on Brexit, Scottish independence, or both.

In Wales, it looks like the opposite. So far the Plaid Cymru campaign has been less than the stellar product they need in order to create a real voice in Westminster. They’re currently project to net about 7 MPs which is an increase from their current total but still short of their potential.

Northern Ireland is the most interesting case. We’re seeing an almost complete flip from the results five years ago. Sinn Fein has surged to the lead, thanks to a strong manifesto, smart campaigning by Mary Lou McDonald, and the complete absence of the DUP. The brutal murder of Arder Carson is, I’m sure, fuelling some of the rise in Sinn Fein’s support, so I think next week or so, after the Leader’s Debate, we’ll have a more clear idea of how Northern Ireland will stand on election day.

Ridge: Michael Thrasher, Sky’s Election Analyst, thank you.

From the GM:

1. There will be a debate this turn. In a separate debate thread, I will post four or five questions for every leader to answer, plus one special question for each leader. For the sake of your schedule planning, the debate will occur on August 12 on Sky News from Sky's London set.

2. The turn will last 72 hours FROM WHEN THE DEBATE QUESTIONS ARE POSTED. I imagine the questions will be up tomorrow evening, so I expect the turn to end around 11:59 PM on Monday, July 8.

3. Before the end of the turn, I need each leader to post either a full list of their candidates (not expected or required in any way), or a list of their top-tier candidates, in each region they're contesting (expected and required). If you don't post any candidates for any region, I will assume you are not contesting any regions and you will be removed from the game.
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Representative Thumb21
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« Reply #17 on: July 07, 2019, 07:07:52 am »
« Edited: July 07, 2019, 07:46:13 am by thumb21 »




Scottish National Party: A voice for Scotland



8th August:

Nicola Sturgeon knocks on doors and talks to voters in Greenock. She tweets.
Quote
A couple of years ago, construction was completed on the M8 highway, connecting Greenock to Glasgow and Edinburgh. Vote SNP for more projects to bring our infrastructure up to date to create a more connected Scotland.

9th August:

Nicola Sturgeon knocks on doors and talks to voters in Arran. She makes a short speech about the SNP's achievements for island communities.
Quote
The SNP is the party that fights for Scotland, and that includes our islands, like Arran. We have increased the NHS budget for remote communities like Arran by £304 million, we've committed to delivering superfast broadband to all communities by 2021, we've invested £39.2 million to improve 4G coverage and we'll reduce ferry costs between islands and the mainland. All these investments are part of our plan to ensure islanders have the same access to transport and public services as all other Scots. The SNP is the party of a fairer Scotland.

10th August:

Nicola Sturgeon goes to County Armagh in Northern Ireland to speak to border communities and warn against the dangers of Brexit, especially a no-deal Brexit. Speaking to reporters, she explains the reasoning behind her visit.
Quote
The tragic murders of Arder Carson and Lyra McKee show us the dangers what renewed tensions in Northern Ireland have caused. The only way to preserve peace in Northern Ireland is to protect the Good Friday Agreement. Brexit threatens to tear up one of the key components of the Good Friday Agreement, an open border. You have to speak to border communities to really understand how important the open border is to the livelihoods of local people. The SNP is working hard to stop Brexit, especially a hard Brexit proposed by the BlueKIP coalition.

Nicola Sturgeon then crosses the border and visits Dublin where she holds talks with Taoiseach Leo Varadkar focused on improving ties between Ireland and Scotland. She speaks at a press conference after.
Quote
Both Scotland and Ireland have a lot to gain from increased ties between our great countries. We agreed on the dangers of a no deal Brexit and the need to protect the Good Friday Agreement.

Nicola Sturgeon goes to London in the evening.

11th August:

Nicola Sturgeon spends the day in London preparing for the debate. She tweets in response to Labour attacks.
Quote
Labour has attacked the SNP for not being anti-Brexit enough!? Do I even need to respond? Labour hasn't even got Brexit in its manifesto..

12th August:

Nicola Sturgeon takes part in the Sky Debate in London. She speaks to reporters after to debate.
Quote
I think the debate went well. I emphasized what the SNP stands for, an independent Scotland in the EU with a strong social safety net standing against austerity and inequality.

13th August:

Nicola Sturgeon goes to Brussels to talk to EU officials including Commission President Jean Claude Juncker, Council President Donald Tusk, incoming Council President and Belgian Prime Minister Charles Michel and Chief Negotiator Michel Barnier. After, she talks to reporters.
Quote
I'm here today to express Scotland's position on the state of the Brexit negotiations and speak up for the 80,000 Scottish jobs which depend on our membership of the EU.

Nicola Sturgeon returns to Edinburgh.

14th August:

The SNP holds a press conference in Edinburgh where the SNP's list for the Scotland electoral region is revealed.

Nicola Sturgeon delivers a speech before revealing the candidates the reveal.
Quote
I am extremely proud to reveal our list of candidates this election. All 59 of them believe in an independent, progressive Scotland within the EU. They come from all walks of live, but all of them come with a simple message. Scotland can't be ignored any more. They are a force to be reckoned with in Westminster and will continue to be. If you vote for these talented SNP MPs, I am optimistic that we won't be participating in the next Westminster election as we will be an independent country!

The top 15 candidates.
Quote
1. Angus Robertson MP
2. Stewart Hosie MP
3. Pete Wishart MP
4. Ian Blackford MP
5. Mike Weir MP
6. Diedre Brock MP
7. Brendan O'Hara MP
8. Joanna Cherry MP
9. Hannah Bardell MP
10. Tasmina Ahmed-Sheikh MP
11. Elidh Whiteford MP
12. Carol Monaghan MP
13. Philippa Whitford MP
14. Tommy Sheppard MP
15. Margaret Ferrier MP


Image source: www.itv.com
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« Reply #18 on: July 07, 2019, 08:58:58 am »

Plaid Candidates and Top Gains

1. Leanne Wood for Rhonda
2. Jonathan Edwards, MP for Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
3. Ben Lake, MP for Ceredigion
4. Liz Saville-Roberts, MP for Dwyfor Meirionnydd
5. Hywel Williams, MP for Arfon
6. Ieuan Wyn Jones, for Ynys Môn
7. Lindsay Whittle for Caerphilly
8. Mari Author for Llanelli
9. Daniel Williams for Neath
10. Liz Walters for Cynon Valley

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« Reply #19 on: July 07, 2019, 03:01:45 pm »
« Edited: July 07, 2019, 04:25:43 pm by Councilor Suburban New Jersey Conservative »

Liberal Democrat Top Candidates

Scotland: Jo Swinson, Christine Jardine, Alison Carmichael
Wales: Jane Dodds, Kirsty Williams
London: Caroline Pidgeon
East of England: Dave Hodgson, Barbara Gibson
Southeast England: Peter Taylor, Catherine Bearder
North West: Chris Davies, Jane Brophy
East Midlands: Bill Newton-Dunn
West Midlands: Phil Bennion
South West England: Nick Harvey, Caroline Voaden
North East England: Fiona Hall

Not contesting Northern Ireland, Humber, or Yorkshire
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
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« Reply #20 on: July 07, 2019, 07:38:51 pm »
« Edited: July 07, 2019, 09:53:58 pm by Harry S Truman, MFP »

Sinn Féin
Slate for Northern Ireland

1. Paul John Maskey
2. Elisha McCallion
3. Francie Molloy
4. Michelle Gildernew
5. Mickey Brady
6. Órfhlaith Begley
7. Chris Hazzard
8. Emma Rogan
9. John O'Dowd
10. Cara McShane
. . .

Sinn Féin will stand candidates for all eighteen Northern Irish seats.
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« Reply #21 on: July 07, 2019, 10:45:23 pm »

(I'm short on Time this week I'm Sorry!)

BREXIT PARTY SCHEDULE

Aug. 8th: Katie Fanning Campaigns in NW England on Making Brexit Happen

"52% of voters backed Brexit in 2016! Could you Imagine if we could harness those voters under one party? How quickly we'd be able to separate ourselves from the EU and get the country back on track? So many industries from Agriculture to Fishing, Industry to Tourism have all seen the negative effects of EU meddling, which is why people from so many different backgrounds have backed Brexit and said enough is enough! And this is our chance to help them!"

Aug. 9th: Nikki Sinclaire Campaigns in West Midlands with the Brexit party's solutions for the Housing Crisis

August 10th: Paul Nuttall in NE England on Taking care of Britain's Disabled

August 11th: Gerard Batten in SW England on proper funding for the Police

"When we're spending twice as much money on foreign welfare as we are on the safety of our own citizens, there's a serious problem in the country. We promise that in a Brexit Party-led government, we'd never dare put citizen's safety on the backburner."

August 12th: Patrick O'Flynn E. of England - Establishing a residency requirement in Britain's welfare system

August 13th: Jane Collins Yorkshire & the Humber campaigns on cracking down on tax loopholes to make the rich pay their share.

August 14th: Caroline Jones in Wales gives a speech on Abolishing the house of lords



 
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« Reply #22 on: July 07, 2019, 11:41:15 pm »
« Edited: July 08, 2019, 12:36:04 am by Harry S Truman, MFP »

Sinn Féin
Schedule for 8–14 August


August 8   In Derry, McDonald announces Sinn Féin's candidates for the general election. Reflecting the party's deep commitment to gender equality, an equal number of male and female candidates have been selected, ordered alternately on the party's electoral list. The party's four MPs were all re-selected.

August 9   Speaking to supporters at a rally in Arlene Foster's hometown of Enniskillen, McDonald blasts the DUP leader for her role in the coalition and her absence from the campaign trail. "I'm beginning to be very worried about Mrs. Foster. Where is she? . . . For seven years, she was an enthusiastic co-conspirator in the disastrous Tory coalition. She drove a knife into the backs of the Northern workers, and piled them up, and climbed over the top of them to get into Downing Street! Now when the people will finally be consulted on her years of misrule, she can't be found. I almost can't blame her. If that was my record, I wouldn't want show my face in public either!"

August 10   In Dungannon, McDonald appears with local MLAs and speaks to a gathering of supporters. The theme of the day is the disaster of a Tory-led Brexit, and its implications for Dungannon's large immigrant population, as well as for the local economy. In her remarks, McDonald again blasts Foster and the DUP: "Arlene Foster voted away your rights, and hasn't even the decency to tell you to your face!" She reiterate's Sinn Féin's support for special status for the North as part of any agreement to leave the EU, vowing to defend the farm subsidies on which Dungannon's economy depends.

August 11   McDonald meets with supporters in the greater Belfast area. In her remarks, she emphasizes the damage done to workers under the DUP-backed Tory government, which Brexit has only increased, and reiterate Sinn Fein's pledge to defend workers' and labor rights. "You deserve leaders who will stand up for workers' rights, who will say 'no' to austerity, 'no' to a hard border, and 'no' to deregulation and privatization. . . Arlene Foster and the DUP sold your jobs for a seat in Downing Street. She stood by and watched as Andrea Leadsom botched the Brexit negotiations, knowing your jobs were on the line." Only a vote for Sinn Féin, she tells the crowd, will "stop the bleeding" and ensure Northern jobs and industry are protected.

August 12   McDonald takes part in the Leaders' Debate. Elsewhere, party leaders organize watch parties and drum up support for Sinn Féin ahead of the event.

August 13   McDonald visits several towns along the border, speaking with residents on the disastrous effects of a Tory-led Brexit on the Northern economy, and the importance of securing special status for Northern Ireland as part of any Brexit deal (as called for in Sinn Féin's manifesto). She emphasizes the dependence of Northern jobs on the free movement of goods between Northern Ireland and the South, and the reliance of Northern farmers on agricultural subsidies from the EU. Not only would a hard border across Ireland be enormously disruptive to local economies, it could mean a return to the violence of the Troubles, to which the brutal murder of Arder Carson is but a prequel of worse things to come. Only a vote for Sinn Féin will send a clear message to Westminster and force the government to respect Northern rights and Northern interests.

August 14   In Banbridge, McDonald calls for leftist and republican voters to unite behind Sinn Féin, stressing the importance of solidarity against the prospect of five more years of David Cameron, Brexit, and the DUP-Tory coalition. With polls showing Sinn Féin to be the overwhelming choice of republicans, it is essential to send a clear message to Westminster by delivering a strong mandate for Sinn Féin on election day. A divided vote will only strengthen the DUP and embolden Cameron to ignore the North as he moves forward with Brexit. Now more than ever, Northern Ireland must speak with one voice, and Sinn Féin is that voice.
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« Reply #23 on: July 07, 2019, 11:49:01 pm »

BREAKING NEWS: Nuttall, Farage Announce Brexit-UKIP Coalition
The Times Staff


New UKIP leader Nuttall quite different than staunch Trump supporter Farage
Facundo Arrizabalaga/European Press Agency via UPI

Just a few months after the Brexit Party splintered off from UKIP, citing problems with Nigel Farage's leadership of UKIP and the role of certain far-right individuals in the eurosceptic party, all bridges seem to be mended. Earlier today, Mr. Farage, leader of UKIP, and Paul Nuttall, leader of the Brexit Party, held a press conference to announce the two forces were coming back together. Led by Mr. Nuttall, with Mr. Farage as his Deputy, the united parties will contest the General Election as the British Freedom Party. The BFP is being described by insiders as more of an electoral coalition than a formal merger. One person with knowledge of the negotiations leading up the press conference said the long-term plan is for the BFP to mirror the Australian Coalition, where the Brexit Party and UKIP will coordinate on a national level but maintain separate organizations in regional elections. At this time, due to the constraints of the election being just 4 weeks away, all signs point to the BFP being equivalent to a full-level merger through 2019.
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« Reply #24 on: July 08, 2019, 05:08:16 pm »

August 8-14 Schedule (Sorry, it's not detailed, it's very late, and I need to wake up early tomorrow)

August 8: Tout education proposal in London
August 9: Discuss the plan for a Second Referendum in Scotland
August 10: Tout NHS proposal in London
August 11: Tout plan of a "regional Remain in the event of a national Brexit"
August 12: Debate
August 13: Discuss plan to reduce terrorism in North West England
August 14: Tout homelessness plan in London
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