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July 23, 2019, 02:23:32 am
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  By 2050, how many female presidents?
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Question: How many female presidents will the United States have had by 2050?
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Author Topic: By 2050, how many female presidents?  (Read 359 times)
President Johnson
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« on: July 06, 2019, 05:12:49 am »

What do you think, how many women will have been in the Oval Office by the midst of this century?

I think there are going to be at least two, voted three. The 2020s will almost definitely see a female president. Either Kamala Harris or Liz Warren in 2021, or either Kamala Harris (as Joe Biden's running mate) or Gretchen Whitmer in 2025, at latest in 2029.

I'd expect one Republican female president in the 2030s. Maybe there is going to one more of either party in the 2030s or 2040s. My prediction, which is only pure speculation, is that this woman will succeed to office from the vice presidency. (Random note: Considering there was at least one vice president succeeding to the presidency each two decades from 1841 to 1974, the next presidential succession is long overdue already.)

Thoughts?
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #1 on: July 06, 2019, 07:04:29 am »

1-Kamala Harris 2021
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beaver2.0
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« Reply #2 on: July 06, 2019, 08:52:09 am »

1
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Mister Mets
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« Reply #3 on: July 06, 2019, 09:31:47 am »

This will include seven presidential elections (2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040, 2044, 2048.)

There's been a recent tendency for Presidents to serve two full terms, but odds are something weird will happen at some point, and there may be an older President who doesn't seek reelection, so we're probably looking at 4-5 Presidents.

I'd guess 1-2 will be women. There seems to be about a 30 percent chance that 2024 will see the election of a Democratic woman (Harris, Warren, slight chance of Klobuchar) and if it's Biden, his running mate is almost certainly a woman, so she'd be the favorite in '24.

The Republican bench on women is low, given the number in the House, although Nikki Haley is a top contender.

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Some of My Best Friends Are Gay
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« Reply #4 on: July 06, 2019, 12:22:02 pm »

Probably 2. I think Harris or Warren will be the next President so that's one already.
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Technocracy Timmy
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« Reply #5 on: July 06, 2019, 01:15:03 pm »

0.

Ancient patriarchal gender identities will not be recognized in 2050.
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gracile
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« Reply #6 on: July 06, 2019, 01:26:42 pm »

I'll say 1. It seems like this is bound to happen sooner rather than later.
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tack50
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« Reply #7 on: July 09, 2019, 09:56:48 am »

Following from Mister Mets' argument, there will be 4-5 presidents during that time period (probably closer to 4).

Let's take the chances of a female president as 50%. That means that the median would be of 2 female presidents and that there is a 12.5% chance of no female presidents (and also a 12.5% chance of all presidents after Trump being women)

In practice the chances are probably below perfect 50-50 odds so I could also see an argument for only 1, but 2 is probably still the most likely scenario.
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Grassr00ts
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« Reply #8 on: July 11, 2019, 08:40:38 pm »

Queen Tulsi, Queen Blackburn, Queen Haley, Queen Noem.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #9 on: July 11, 2019, 09:27:43 pm »

Probably 2, at most 3. Harris in the 2020s, Stefanik in the 2030s, & maybe Ocasio-Cortez in the 2040s.
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АndriуValeriovich
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« Reply #10 on: July 12, 2019, 11:47:44 am »

2
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MarkD
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« Reply #11 on: July 12, 2019, 12:07:30 pm »

2

Two it is.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #12 on: July 13, 2019, 02:47:54 pm »

2
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Spark
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« Reply #13 on: July 14, 2019, 04:17:01 pm »

3. Harris in 2020s, Haley in 2030s, and Ocasio-Cortez in 2040s
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #14 on: July 15, 2019, 01:44:08 am »

2. Harris in the 2020s and a GOPer in 2030s or 2040s.
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