By 2050, how many female presidents?

[Mister Mets]

This will include seven presidential elections (2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040, 2044, 2048.)

There's been a recent tendency for Presidents to serve two full terms, but odds are something weird will happen at some point, and there may be an older President who doesn't seek reelection, so we're probably looking at 4-5 Presidents.

I'd guess 1-2 will be women. There seems to be about a 30 percent chance that 2020 will see the election of a Democratic woman (Harris, Warren, slight chance of Klobuchar) and if it's Biden, his running mate is almost certainly a woman, so she'd be the favorite in '24.

The Republican bench on women is low, given the number in the House, although Nikki Haley is a top contender.

[Mister Mets]

The further we get from the present, the more likely the Presidents, male or female, will be people we don't currently recognize, or wouldn't consider serious contenders for the office.

Until about five years before the 2008 presidential election, Barack Obama was a state senator with an interesting background.

About seven years before the 2000 presidential election, George W Bush was a failed congressional candidate whose dad served one term in the White House running against a favored incumbent.

Twelve years before the 1992 presidential election, Bill Clinton was defeated for reelection as Governor of a small state.

Trump's been consistently seen as a fringe political figure.

Ten years before the 2020 presidential election, Elizabeth Warren was an academic taken out of the running for being in charge of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau because of potential blowback.

We can't expect the nomination of a particular individual, let alone whether they'll win the final race.