KY-SEN: Amy McGrath in

[TML]

You know what...the more I read about McGrath and her campaign message, the more I get the feeling that I'm not even sure I know what she stands for. It's not enough to just say "I'm not ______", so I now think that if McGrath were to continue down her current path, she could end up just like McConnell's previous opponent in terms of the final election margin.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

You know what...the more I read about McGrath and her campaign message, the more I get the feeling that I'm not even sure I know what she stands for. It's not enough to just say "I'm not ______", so I now think that if McGrath were to continue down her current path, she could end up just like McConnell's previous opponent in terms of the final election margin.

Lol. She ain’t gonna lose because people don’t know what she stands for. She’s gonna lose because she’s a Democrat in Kentucky.

[lfromnj]

I'm gonna totally grift for McGrath shares on predict it. Then buy cocaine mitch shares at a lower value. Anyone want to help me scam these donors and make em buy McGrath shares once it launches? All you need to do is tell em look Kentucky Democrat advantage registration and mitch McConnell low approval.

I also endorse  Beshear. If he somehow wins  Democrat donors will believe cocaine mitch is beatable.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

I'm gonna totally grift for McGrath shares on predict it. Then buy cocaine mitch shares at a lower value. Anyone want to help me scam these donors and make em buy McGrath shares once it launches? All you need to do is tell em look Kentucky Democrat advantage registration and mitch McConnell low approval.

I also endorse  Beshear. If he somehow wins  Democrat donors will believe cocaine mitch is debatable.

Either McGrath is a narcissistic idiot or she’s a narcissistic grifter who knows she’s gonna be rolling in the campaign cash of delusional liberals

[Some of My Best Friends Are Gay]

You know what...the more I read about McGrath and her campaign message, the more I get the feeling that I'm not even sure I know what she stands for. It's not enough to just say "I'm not ______", so I now think that if McGrath were to continue down her current path, she could end up just like McConnell's previous opponent in terms of the final election margin.

As I've said before, this race is unwinnable with any Democrat, so it doesn't really matter how she campaigns or if she stands for anything. if I was a donor or DNC member, I would not allocate any resources whatsoever to this race.

[Heebie Jeebie]

Will this have any effect on down-ballot races?

[Gracile]

McGrath is pivoting slightly to the right:

https://www.courier-journal.com/story/news/politics/2019/07/09/amy-mcgrath-seeks-makeover-pro-trump-democrat/1680960001/

[Pandaguineapig]

If she couldn't win in a seat well to the left of the state in a historically Democratic year what makes her think she can win statewide with Trump at the top of the ticket?

[Ilhan Apologist]

If she couldn't win in a seat well to the left of the state in a historically Democratic year what makes her think she can win statewide with Trump at the top of the ticket?

No harm in trying. Longshot races can prove to be very consequential (just look at Beto)

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

If she couldn't win in a seat well to the left of the state in a historically Democratic year what makes her think she can win statewide with Trump at the top of the ticket?

That money from idiot donors bruh. Just write off all your expenses/bar tabs to the campaign and life is great

[Pandaguineapig]

If she couldn't win in a seat well to the left of the state in a historically Democratic year what makes her think she can win statewide with Trump at the top of the ticket?

That money from idiot donors bruh. Just write off all your expenses/bar tabs to the campaign and life is great

She'll definitely pull donations from resistance idiots that could go to actual competitive races in North Carolina and Colorado

[Some of My Best Friends Are Gay]

If she couldn't win in a seat well to the left of the state in a historically Democratic year what makes her think she can win statewide with Trump at the top of the ticket?

That money from idiot donors bruh. Just write off all your expenses/bar tabs to the campaign and life is great

She'll definitely pull donations from resistance idiots that could go to actual competitive races in North Carolina and Colorado

Colorado probably won't be competitive.

[Pandaguineapig]

If she couldn't win in a seat well to the left of the state in a historically Democratic year what makes her think she can win statewide with Trump at the top of the ticket?

That money from idiot donors bruh. Just write off all your expenses/bar tabs to the campaign and life is great

She'll definitely pull donations from resistance idiots that could go to actual competitive races in North Carolina and Colorado

Colorado probably won't be competitive.

The denocrat will most likely win, but I'm guessing the race will still be within 5 pts

[DaWN]

If she couldn't win in a seat well to the left of the state in a historically Democratic year what makes her think she can win statewide with Trump at the top of the ticket?

That money from idiot donors bruh. Just write off all your expenses/bar tabs to the campaign and life is great

She'll definitely pull donations from resistance idiots that could go to actual competitive races in North Carolina and Colorado

Colorado probably won't be competitive.

Yeah, Strong Moderate Incumbent^TM Cory Gardner would obliterate Jesus himself if he was the Democratic candidate.

[Mr. Smith]

You know, I actually think she might have a chance.



Of doing better than Jim Gray did in 2016. Actually winning? pffffttttt

Please. Jim Gray did amazing. There's a reason him and Kander are the only Democrats that ran ahead of Hillary Clinton.

McGrath running ahead of ALG seems like the best benchmark.

[Mr. Smith]

I'm gonna totally grift for McGrath shares on predict it. Then buy cocaine mitch shares at a lower value. Anyone want to help me scam these donors and make em buy McGrath shares once it launches? All you need to do is tell em look Kentucky Democrat advantage registration and mitch McConnell low approval.

I also endorse  Beshear. If he somehow wins  Democrat donors will believe cocaine mitch is debatable.

Either McGrath is a narcissistic idiot or she’s a narcissistic grifter who knows she’s gonna be rolling in the campaign cash of delusional liberals

Or job-seeking in a future Cabinet. I have little doubt she'd be a great Sec. of Defense or Sec. of Vets Affairs to a Harris administration.

[free my dawg]

TURTLE

MAN

BAD

[President Johnson]

A very strong announcement video. Hope she can ditch Mitch, but I doubt it's happening. Still safe Republican.

[Heebie Jeebie]

I'm gonna totally grift for McGrath shares on predict it. Then buy cocaine mitch shares at a lower value. Anyone want to help me scam these donors and make em buy McGrath shares once it launches? All you need to do is tell em look Kentucky Democrat advantage registration and mitch McConnell low approval.

I also endorse  Beshear. If he somehow wins  Democrat donors will believe cocaine mitch is debatable.

Either McGrath is a narcissistic idiot or she’s a narcissistic grifter who knows she’s gonna be rolling in the campaign cash of delusional liberals

Or job-seeking in a future Cabinet. I have little doubt she'd be a great Sec. of Defense or Sec. of Vets Affairs to a Harris administration.

Best case is she runs a strong campaign and helps build up Kentucky Democrats' campaign infrastructure statewide.  Even if she doesn't win, a good campaign could have beneficial results down-ballot both next year and into the future.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1148659663715520512?s=19

Nate, No! Don't give them false hope!

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1148659663715520512?s=19

Nate, No! Don't give them false hope!

YES NATE ALUMINUM GIVE ME THAT DEM CASH.

[President Johnson]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1148659663715520512?s=19

Nate, No! Don't give them false hope!

I think Scott Taylor has a shot against Mark Warner. Probably this race might be a little "closer".

[ElectionsGuy]

Nate Silver thinks McGrath has a shot because of approval ratings and his status as a party leader. This is his job and he still hasn't learned from past elections.

[Pandaguineapig]

Nate Silver thinks McGrath has a shot because of approval ratings and his status as a party leader. This is his job and he still hasn't learned from past elections.

Nate Silver is great at models and numbers but is Bill Kristol level terrible as a pundit

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Nate Silver thinks McGrath has a shot because of approval ratings and his status as a party leader. This is his job and he still hasn't learned from past elections.

The fact that Phil Bredesen, a guy with 60% favorables for most of the 2018 cycle, lost by double digits in a state that is a little friendlier to Dems than KY is in a D+9 year isn't teaching these people a lesson is beyond me. Screw it, I might go drop a ton of money on McConnell now too on PredictIt. So much for Democrats being more logical and reasonable when they still think beating McConnell is possible, lol.