KY-SEN: Amy McGrath in

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We will find out in Nov, should Beshear unseat Bevin, if McGraft can unseat McConnell.  I am impressed with McGraft

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If McGrath doesn't drop out now I will lose any respect i ever had for her. She can't seriously believe she has any chance of winning now that we see a popular governor is struggling to win re-election due to this polarization.

She's capably of winning

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I have AZ, CO, GA, KY, ME and NC as lean D. MASS and AL as R takeovers, due to Warren becoming President

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We will have to wait til next Tuesday,  but if Beshear wins, McGrath can unseat McConnell, whom have low approvals

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

McConnell is 100% safe, and there's absolutely nothing Democrats can do about it. Every dollar they spend here is wasted.

McConnell is not safe, but Dems should spend their money on AL, AZ, CO, GA, KS, ME and NC

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Matt Bevin just barely lost, it proves Mitch McConnell is safe.

No it doesn't, Lunsford ran a competetive campaign in KY, in 2008, in a Prez yr, Trump is a weak Prez just like Dubya, that only got in by winning the EC college,  not popular vote

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

McConnell is not safe, its Lean R, but at the moment, but Lunsford ran a very good election,  when he wasnt even backed by the Dems,  in 2008.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dems have AZ, CO, IA, ME and NC as their pathway to Senate; as a result, Ernst can lose should Biden be on ballot. This seat is definitely 2nd tier, but in 2008, wave, where Dems won 8 seats, its winnable

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I stated before, 2008 produced 5-8 seats. AZ, CO, IA, ME and NC are Dems pathway to Senate majority.  KY and VA results made it much more likely that Biden, not Warren wins the nomination.  Biden can penetrate Appalachia. KY, KS , SC, TX and AK are Dems wish list; as a result, a Dems can duplicate a 2008 wave, Trump, is a Palin R, not a Reagan R, due to changing Demographics of Blacks and Latinos making up 40% of population

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

2008 is even more probable and throwing out conventional wisdom, with Trump and his Tea Party conservative R party in the House and Senate, they will slip further into minority status, just like 2009-11 wave years

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

McConnell will have a competetive race, regardless, as long as Biden, who does well in Appalachia,  is the nominee

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dems are consolidating where they can win at and KY falls by the wasteside like AK, MT and SC


ME, IA, GA, AZ, CO, KS, TX and NC is the Senate majority, even if they dont win every race

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

McGrath can win, McConnell is one of the 10Rs vulnerable

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The problem for these wave insurance seats isnt because of poor funding, but it's about $$$, in a sense on online funding, candidates have to rely on their own funding to fund their campaign,  she has a 33% chance of winning

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dems dont need to waste money in any more states like AK, KY and SC, defend KS, MT, ME, IA and NC.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Why are Ds obsessed with KY, Ds have MT and KS to win and Ds can win those. Cal Cunningham isn't all that great of a candidate,  he has been tied or behind Tillis, so it's not sold that he will win.

Dems must target Daines and KS and GA to have a shot at majority in case Cunningham loses, KY is gone

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sigh, KY isnt in play

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This seat along with AK, AL, SC and TX will help Ds get to 60 votes along with GA specials

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Meh, I think neither here is the best candidate possible. Cocaine Mitch is obviously going to win regardless. Just don't see how a national race with Trump on the ballot is going in the Democrats' favor here. Even if Joe Biden wins a modern-day landslide, the old turtle would still bin 15%. He probably wins by 18-20% in the end. Polling has never been that reliable here, so don't get your hopes up.

No one is getting their hoped up, but the Southern Strategy is finally being done away with, with Confederate flags being dismantled in the South. KY, MO were Confederate boarder states and if there is a landslide Galliway and McGrath can win , if Biden wins by 8, larger than the 2008 6 or landslide Obama had

2008, McConnell won by only 10 pts when Obama won the PVI, by 6, if its 8 pt PVI, McGrath will win.

McConnell won by 20 in 2014 due to it being a midterm

That's why Bullock and Bollier have a chance in red states, partisan leans arent like midterms than in Prez elections. That's why Gross can win in AK, and Dems win a Supermajority,  Begich won in 2008

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No one is getting their hoped up, but the Southern Strategy is finally being done away with, with Confederate flags being dismantled in the South. KY, MO were Confederate boarder states and if there is a landslide Galliway and McGrath can win , if Biden wins by 8, larger than the 2008 6 or landslide Obama had

2008, McConnell won by only 10 pts 6 pts when Obama won the PVI, by 6 7.2, if its 8 50 pt PVI, McGrath will might win.

McConnell won by 20 in 2014 due to it being a midterm

That's why Bullock and Bollier have a chance in red states, partisan leans arent like midterms than in Prez elections. That's why Gross can win in AK, and Dems win a Supermajority,  Begich won in 2008

FTFY

You really should know better than to reply to OC.

Dems are leading by 9 pts in ME over Collins and Ernst is behind by 3 and GA are going to runoffs. The Rs are on the run in MT, KS and NC, Dems are up 8 seats, while KY, SC, TX and AK can clinch a 60/40 Senate and get Dems PR and DC statehood and 11 judge panel on SCOTUS,  I have my Hope's up

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hopefully, we have Charles Booker and Harrison

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ayanna Pressley just endorsed Charles Booker for Senate, whom might replace Warren if she is selected Veep and Kennedy oust Markey

https://mobile.twitter.com/ayannapressley/status/1273252989130739715?s=21

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If McConnell does the right thing and pass more stimulus checks, he will help his cause, but he blocks the stimulus checks, he will be hurt

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I hope Booker wins and beat McConnell to prove Rs wrong

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I hope McGrath knows she is talking to the Presumptive Veep nominee, Ayanna Pressley endorses Charles Booker. At any rate, Warren is endorsing candidates to help her prospects as Veep😍😍😍