KY-SEN: Amy McGrath in

[Frenchrepublican]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1148561454037184512?s=19

I mean, he ain't wrong.

I’m surprised that he is not moving the race to toss-up like he did for TN and NJ last year

[Frenchrepublican]

Likely R. McConnell is too powerful, but he won't be in power forever.

Well yeah, eventually he'll die.

But even when he will be dead, his ghost will continue to rule the Senate

[Frenchrepublican]

Safe R, nothing to see here.

If Bevin loses though, Democrats will think "we can beat McConnell!" and pour millions into this race.

The real question is whether McGrath wins Elliot County. I think she does.

Ugh, in that case I don't know what to hope for in KY-GOV 2019. But this race is still Safe R, even if McGrath is probably one of the strongest candidates the Democrats could have asked for.

Adkin would have been better from a D perspective

[Frenchrepublican]

I also think McGrath has a chance, let's wait until after Nov, 2019, when the KY-Gov contest is over, before we render anymore judgements.

2012 blue wave didnt happen 1 yr prior to the election. McConnell had a close election,  in 2008, against Lunsford in an election yr. 2014, was a midterm anf ALG made a gaffe and Walsh had plagerism, which natl the election😃

You know what else happened in 2008? Max Baucus got 3/4 of the vote and swept every county and Dems held about a dozen R+20 districts. Things have changed just a little there bud

Give him a break; he's not very smart.

What are you talking about, Democrats can win KY with Harris/Ryan as ticket, with Ryan's megacoattails from OH

Yeah but VA would vote Trump because Youngstown-Ryan is a poor fit for Fairfax

[Frenchrepublican]

https://twitter.com/kasie/status/1148917914151600130

This is actually an impressive number.

And I guess that 98% of this amount comes from outstate

The good thing is that with these crazy numbers neither Adkins nor Gray will jump in the race 

[Frenchrepublican]

I really love this quote : ''Yarmuth said it is a waste of time for Kentucky Democrats to court Trump voters, who delivered the president a 30 percentage point victory in 2016. He said the better pathway to defeating McConnell is running up huge margins in urban centers, such as his district of Louisville, and other Democratic strongholds such as Lexington.''

[Frenchrepublican]

https://twitter.com/courierjournal/status/1164630332232077312

If Atkins had won the nomination over Beshear earlier this year, he would probably be on track to defeat Bevin. Against McConnell, however, it's a different story. I think Atkins would do as well as Gray did in 2016, and he would definitely win Elliott County (where he has a base, and where he did exceptionally well against Beshear and Edelen). But McConnell would still win by around 12-15 points in the end, though.

I doubt he would win the primary against McGrath though, especially if Jones runs too.
Amy McGrath will have a small fortune to spend

[Frenchrepublican]

McGrath raised $10 million this quarter:
https://twitter.com/AmyMcGrathKY/status/1182259828925882369

The definition of insanity.

[Frenchrepublican]

She won't even be the nominee.

She will. Jones and Adkins would be foolish to run against someone who has $11 M in the bank account.

[Frenchrepublican]

Not sure why people think Amy doesn't have a chance to win?

Because Trump will carry the state by 25 points (probably even more) and you won’t have enough Trump/McGrath voters for her to win.

[Frenchrepublican]

Can we plaster the LA-GOV results across the walls of the rooms of people who think McGrath has a chance?

A Democrat running way ahead of the state's partisanship is not the best example to use, much better ones are available.

A better example would be Randy Bryce, I’m still amazed at how much money this stupid dude raised (for losing by double digits in the end)