Why was Jennifer Granholm re-elected by such a wide margin in 2006? (user search)
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  Why was Jennifer Granholm re-elected by such a wide margin in 2006? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why was Jennifer Granholm re-elected by such a wide margin in 2006?  (Read 1413 times)
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,750


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E: -8.88, S: -8.51

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« on: July 12, 2019, 09:18:03 AM »

Michigan was a pretty blue state until the last few years, in 2004 it was 6% more democratic, than the nation, 2006 was a D+8 year so Granholm winning by 14% is what you would expect.

Didn't McCain make a serious effort to contest it in 2008?

He ended up losing Michigan in 2008 by a larger margin than Devos did in 2006. Of course Sabato Crystal Ball had it at "Tossup" as late as August.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,750


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #1 on: July 12, 2019, 02:32:36 PM »

Michigan was a pretty blue state until the last few years, in 2004 it was 6% more democratic, than the nation, 2006 was a D+8 year so Granholm winning by 14% is what you would expect.

Didn't McCain make a serious effort to contest it in 2008?

He ended up losing Michigan in 2008 by a larger margin than Devos did in 2006. Of course Sabato Crystal Ball had it at "Tossup" as late as August.

sh**t went south for the Republicans in September and we all know that. And of course, Obama had a 'home region effect' in the MI/WI/IL/IA/MO area where his personal popularity and the recession all temporarily reversed the gradual decline of the dem lean of all the states in the region (except IL).

I am fairly sure that there was a point in the 2008 Cycle where Sabato rated Iowa as Safe D while rating Michigan as a Tossup at the same time.
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