Which group of voters played a bigger role in flipping WI, MI, and PA? (user search)

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2016 U.S. Presidential Election

Which group of voters played a bigger role in flipping WI, MI, and PA? (search mode)

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Poll

Question:

Which group of voters played a bigger role in the difference between the 2012 and 2016 results in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania?

#1 Obama 2012 voters who stayed home in 2016		32 (36.8%)
#2 Obama-Trump voters		55 (63.2%)

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Partisan results

Total Voters: 86

Author

Topic: Which group of voters played a bigger role in flipping WI, MI, and PA? (Read 2689 times)

SN2903
Junior Chimp

Posts: 6,665

Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

Re: Which group of voters played a bigger role in flipping WI, MI, and PA?

« on: July 24, 2019, 05:24:35 PM »

I was one of the Obama voters who switched but I was an Obama 2008 Romney 2012 Trump 2016 voter.

The answer is obviously Obama voters switching.

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SN2903
Junior Chimp

Posts: 6,665

Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: 3.91

Re: Which group of voters played a bigger role in flipping WI, MI, and PA?

« Reply #1 on: August 22, 2019, 11:47:21 AM »

I believe the "late deciders" were mostly voters that voted for Obama in 2012 that switched to Trump in 2016 but were probably for him all along but didn't want to admit it. I think most of these voters are still for Trump. I think the shift was due to a dissatisfaction with the political elite and the democrats moving too far left on cultural issues like immigration. These voters are the silent majority.

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