GA-SEN 2020 Class III Megathread: She Who Loeffs Last

[Nutmeg]

I could see Saxby as a Jon Kyl-type figure here, but it presumably would be someone with close ties to Kemp.

[Nutmeg]

If it goes to a runoff, I would expect whichever party lost the presidential election to win.  If both GA senate seats go to runoffs (a reasonably likely outcome), will the runoffs happen on the same day? 

Yes.

[Nutmeg]

However, I'm not so sure about his chances in the general. Georgia is still a Republican state (on balance, and in terms of actual partisan control of the government/congressional delegation), but it is now competitive, and I can't imagine Collins having any real appeal with moderate suburban voters. However, I do believe that if Perdue and Trump are carrying Georgia, then Collins will win as well.

This race (almost certainly) will go to a runoff between the top 2 finishers, regardless of party, in January. The jungle primary coincides with the November/general election. I don't think this necessarily changes much, if anything, about your analysis, which I agree with, other than the mechanics, plus the increased likelihood, I would think, that the Republican would win the January runoff, because of the way turnout works in Georgia.

[Nutmeg]

Tomlinson and Warnock complement one another perfectly to maximize turnout.

[Nutmeg]

This chick is supposed to do a lot better than Trump in “suburbs” because...?

her jeans cost $990 from Nordstrom

[Nutmeg]

Was there a more expensive house in Georgia that's outside Metro Atlanta? Or can we just dispense with the qualifiers and say she has the most expensive house in the entire state?

[Nutmeg]

Is three weeks in office the shortest anyone's ever gone before self imploding?

Probably. William Henry Harrison didn't fall ill until his 22nd day in office.

[Nutmeg]

Is Warnock still a decent recruit or did the car scandal ruin him?

I don't think it's gotten much traction.

Seems his estranged wife was lying about it. Police report said there was no sign of injury, which is inconsistent with literally being run over by a car.

[Nutmeg]

What's the logic of scheduling a runoff election for after the start of the next Congress, necessitating a vacancy? I suppose the date changed, too, since Saxby was reelected in a December runoff and thus could remain in office without interruption.

Would Kemp be allowed to appoint a temporary replacement starting January 3?

[Nutmeg]

Despicable ideology on Loeff's part, but it is good strategy with regard to actually winning, unfortunately.