2020: Clinton vs Kasich vs Bernie
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 26, 2024, 09:52:29 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs?
  Alternative Elections (Moderator: Dereich)
  2020: Clinton vs Kasich vs Bernie 		« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: 2020: Clinton vs Kasich vs Bernie  (Read 1218 times)
BigVic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,493
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: July 18, 2019, 08:10:14 PM »
« edited: July 18, 2019, 09:22:01 PM by BigVic »
Who’d win? Discuss with maps.
Logged
MillennialModerate
MillennialMAModerate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,016
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: July 18, 2019, 08:19:12 PM »


Total blood bath. In all normally Lean D states, the Dem vote is split with moderates going Clinton and progressives going Bernie. Meanwhile Kasich is great at appealing to independents. So it’s a total runaway, maybe not 1980 or 1984 .. but similar to 1988
Logged
BigVic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,493
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: July 18, 2019, 10:57:08 PM »
« Edited: July 26, 2019, 07:23:06 AM by BigVic »
Kasich wins in a landslide thanks to the vote split between Hillary and Sanders



Fmr. Gov John Kasich (R-OH)/Fmr. Gov Nikki Haley (R-SC) 391 (43.2%)
Pres. Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/VP Tim Kaine (R-VA) (32.5%) 117 (35.9%)
Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT)/Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (R-OH) 30 (20.3%)
Logged
brucejoel99
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,728
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: July 24, 2019, 04:21:18 AM »
Too lazy to adjust the popular vote margins in each state lol but obviously a comfortable Kasich win:



Fmr. Governor John Kasich (R-OH)/Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL): 343 EV; 40.6%
President Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Vice President Tim Kaine (D-VA): 173 EV; 33.7%
Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT)/Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard (ID-HI): 22 EV; 24.4%
Logged
BigVic
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,493
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: July 25, 2019, 08:04:31 AM »
« Edited: July 26, 2019, 12:31:38 AM by BigVic »
Quote from: brucejoel99 on July 24, 2019, 04:21:18 AM
Too lazy to adjust the popular vote margins in each state lol but obviously a comfortable Kasich win:



Fmr. Governor John Kasich (R-OH)/Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL): 343 EV; 40.6%
President Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Vice President Tim Kaine (D-VA): 173 EV; 33.7%
Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT)/Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard (ID-HI): 22 EV; 24.4%

Sanders gets into the debates. What’s with his high popular vote numbers?!?
Logged
brucejoel99
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,728
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: July 28, 2019, 02:41:00 AM »
Quote from: BigVic on July 25, 2019, 08:04:31 AM
Quote from: brucejoel99 on July 24, 2019, 04:21:18 AM
Too lazy to adjust the popular vote margins in each state lol but obviously a comfortable Kasich win:



Fmr. Governor John Kasich (R-OH)/Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL): 343 EV; 40.6%
President Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Vice President Tim Kaine (D-VA): 173 EV; 33.7%
Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT)/Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard (ID-HI): 22 EV; 24.4%

Sanders gets into the debates. What’s with his high popular vote numbers?!?

What can I say, he was just really popular on the general election campaign trail Tongue
Logged
538Electoral
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,691


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: July 28, 2019, 02:49:15 AM »
Quote from: brucejoel99 on July 24, 2019, 04:21:18 AM
Too lazy to adjust the popular vote margins in each state lol but obviously a comfortable Kasich win:



Fmr. Governor John Kasich (R-OH)/Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL): 343 EV; 40.6%
President Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Vice President Tim Kaine (D-VA): 173 EV; 33.7%
Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT)/Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard (ID-HI): 22 EV; 24.4%

Why would Clinton win MN and ME? I'd have to imagine Kasich also takes those states as well as a few others.
Logged
538Electoral
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,691


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: July 28, 2019, 02:50:38 AM »
In a best case for Kasich in this scenario, He could break 400.



Kasich 403
Clinton 132
Sanders 3
Logged
darklordoftech
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,438
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: July 28, 2019, 02:52:01 AM »
Quote from: BigVic on July 18, 2019, 08:10:14 PM
Who’d win? Discuss with maps.
Depends how what happened to Trump and how Kasich got the GOP nomination.
Logged
brucejoel99
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,728
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: July 28, 2019, 09:15:14 PM »
Quote from: 538Electoral on July 28, 2019, 02:49:15 AM
Quote from: brucejoel99 on July 24, 2019, 04:21:18 AM
Too lazy to adjust the popular vote margins in each state lol but obviously a comfortable Kasich win:



Fmr. Governor John Kasich (R-OH)/Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL): 343 EV; 40.6%
President Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Vice President Tim Kaine (D-VA): 173 EV; 33.7%
Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT)/Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard (ID-HI): 22 EV; 24.4%

Why would Clinton win MN and ME? I'd have to imagine Kasich also takes those states as well as a few others.

Kasich doesn't really appeal all that much to the working-class voters that could've given both MN & ME to Trump, hence their (mostly) staying in Democratic hands.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: July 29, 2019, 07:55:26 AM »
Kasich wins in a huge landslide.
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,896
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: July 29, 2019, 12:53:30 PM »
I doubt Bernard would run independent, but if he did, Kasich would handily win (he would even win a head-to-head matchup):



✓ Former Governor John R. Kasich (R-OH)/Former Governor Nikki Haley (R-SC): 342 EV. (47.89%)
President Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-NY)/Vice President Timothy M. Kaine (D-VA): 193 EV. (41.21%)
Senator Bernard Sanders (I-VT)/Representative Tulsi Gabbard (I-HI): 3 EV. (9.65%)
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.048 seconds with 12 queries.