2016 if Clinton makes a one-term pledge
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  Past Election What-ifs (US) (Moderator: Dereich)
  2016 if Clinton makes a one-term pledge
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Author Topic: 2016 if Clinton makes a one-term pledge  (Read 862 times)
Vittorio
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« on: July 25, 2019, 07:59:59 PM »

Everything else remains the same. Does Clinton win, if voters know they only have to endure four years of her?

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brucejoel99
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« Reply #1 on: July 25, 2019, 08:11:44 PM »

Probably? Any small thing (let alone such a big pledge like that) would've likely been able to flip the election.
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connally68
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« Reply #2 on: August 25, 2019, 07:54:48 PM »

Umm. It makes all the difference in the world in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. Hillary scoops up all three and all the drama is over.
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HisGrace
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« Reply #3 on: September 09, 2019, 01:31:14 PM »

I really don't see why this would make a difference. Voters who viewed it as "enduring" her weren't going to vote for her to begin with.
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Pericles
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« Reply #4 on: September 09, 2019, 06:13:39 PM »
« Edited: September 10, 2019, 05:35:39 PM by Pericles »

It makes voters think she may actually have health issues, this becomes a bigger part of the campaign and she does worse.
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morgankingsley
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« Reply #5 on: September 10, 2019, 05:21:48 PM »

It makes voters think she may actually have health issues, this becomes a bigger part of the campaign and she does worse.

Yeah I can see this. Trump winning Minnesota and New Hampshire at a minimum, and probably even the popular vote as well.
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HisGrace
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: September 10, 2019, 10:07:05 PM »

It makes voters think she may actually have health issues, this becomes a bigger part of the campaign and she does worse.

I was going to say in my post, it might even help Trump by making her look non-committed or bringing her health into it as you said. Just because the election was close doesn't mean that any change would result in Clinton winning.
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Pericles
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« Reply #7 on: September 10, 2019, 10:11:27 PM »

It makes voters think she may actually have health issues, this becomes a bigger part of the campaign and she does worse.

I was going to say in my post, it might even help Trump by making her look non-committed or bringing her health into it as you said. Just because the election was close doesn't mean that any change would result in Clinton winning.

Exactly.
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morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: September 14, 2019, 06:56:46 AM »

It makes voters think she may actually have health issues, this becomes a bigger part of the campaign and she does worse.

I was going to say in my post, it might even help Trump by making her look non-committed or bringing her health into it as you said. Just because the election was close doesn't mean that any change would result in Clinton winning.

Exactly.

What would your map be in this case
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