Harvard/Harris Post-Debate: Biden 34, Sanders 17, Harris 9, Warren 8

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Conducted July 31st - Aug 1st

Biden: 34%
Sanders: 17%
Harris: 9%
Warren: 8%
Buttigieg: 4%
O’rourke: 3%
Booker: 2%

The full results won’t be posted until later this week, but unsurprisingly, the debates virtually changed nobody’s preferences.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/thehill.com/homenews/campaign/455979-biden-holds-two-to-one-lead-over-sanders-in-post-debate-poll%3famp

[HagridOfTheDeep]

Very upsetting numbers.

[NOVA Green]

Conducted July 31st - Aug 1st

Biden: 34%
Sanders: 17%
Harris: 9%
Warren: 8%
Buttigieg: 4%
O’rourke: 3%
Booker: 2%

The full results won’t be posted until later this week

https://www.google.com/amp/s/thehill.com/homenews/campaign/455979-biden-holds-two-to-one-lead-over-sanders-in-post-debate-poll%3famp

Warren's numbers appear much lower than one might expect based on previous polling.

Harris numbers aren't too far off from other polls....

We will need to wait to see if other polls also show similar patterns, but I'm hard pressed to see anything in the debates that would have caused Warren to plummet that much.....

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Conducted July 31st - Aug 1st

Biden: 34%
Sanders: 17%
Harris: 9%
Warren: 8%
Buttigieg: 4%
O’rourke: 3%
Booker: 2%

The full results won’t be posted until later this week

https://www.google.com/amp/s/thehill.com/homenews/campaign/455979-biden-holds-two-to-one-lead-over-sanders-in-post-debate-poll%3famp

Warren's numbers appear much lower than one might expect based on previous polling.

Harris numbers aren't too far off from other polls....

We will need to wait to see if other polls also show similar patterns, but I'm hard pressed to see anything in the debates that would have caused Warren to plummet that much.....

Their last poll had Warren at 11% so they seem a bit down on her

[eric82oslo]

RCP has the full poll numbers: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html

Full survey data here: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2019/Harvard-Harris_July_2019_Topline_Registered_Voters.pdf

[Mr. Morden]

Biden 34%
Sanders 17%
Harris 9%
Warren 8%
Buttigieg 4%
O’Rourke 3%
Booker 2%
Klobuchar 1%
Castro 1%
Ryan 1%
Gravel 1%
Steyer 1%
Yang 1%
Bloomberg, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Moulton, Williamson, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Swalwell, Messam 0%

Yes, they polled Bloomberg, but not de Blasio.  They’re apparently confused about which NYC mayor is running.

[CookieDamage]

But Atlas and Twitter said that Harris was destroyed by Progressive Queen Tulsi B. Gabbard??

Also what were the numbers on the previous Harvard/Harris poll? I suspect both Biden and Harris dropped, but it looks like Warren did as well?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

RCP has the full poll numbers: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html

Full survey data here: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2019/Harvard-Harris_July_2019_Topline_Registered_Voters.pdf

I think they oversampled 18-34 year olds.

[Shadows]

These polls are oversampling Suburban voters. 55% in this survey

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

RCP has the full poll numbers: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html

Full survey data here: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2019/Harvard-Harris_July_2019_Topline_Registered_Voters.pdf

I think they oversampled 18-34 year olds.

hahahahahahahahahaha!

SAD!!!  We can smell your dog sweat across the country.

[SN2903]

But Atlas and Twitter said that Harris was destroyed by Progressive Queen Tulsi B. Gabbard??

Also what were the numbers on the previous Harvard/Harris poll? I suspect both Biden and Harris dropped, but it looks like Warren did as well?

The poll started before Gabbard debated. Chill

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

But Atlas and Twitter said that Harris was destroyed by Progressive Queen Tulsi B. Gabbard??

Also what were the numbers on the previous Harvard/Harris poll? I suspect both Biden and Harris dropped, but it looks like Warren did as well?

The poll started before Gabbard debated. Chill

Morning Consult’s very unswingy post-debate snapshot had Officer Harris -3.  Incredible she can even get 8% considering War Hero Tulsi Gabbard left her dead.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

But Atlas and Twitter said that Harris was destroyed by Progressive Queen Tulsi B. Gabbard??

Also what were the numbers on the previous Harvard/Harris poll? I suspect both Biden and Harris dropped, but it looks like Warren did as well?

The poll started before Gabbard debated. Chill

You really shouldn’t be getting your hopes up.

[Mr. Morden]

The poll started before Gabbard debated.

Not really.  If you click through to the PDF results posted by eric82oslo, it says that the #s as posted in the OP only include responses taken after 11pm EST on the 31st, at which point the debate had ended.

However, they also have favorability #s, which are not restricted to responses from post-debate:

fav / unfav % among all voters:
Biden 48/39% for +9%
Sanders 44/44 for +/-0
Warren 37/39% for -2%
Buttigieg 27/29% for -2%
Harris 32/39% for -7%
O’Rourke 27/35% for -8%
Trump 39/55% for -16%

Also….
Pressley 12/21% for -9%
Schumer 27/38% for -11%
Ocasio-Cortez 29/41% for -12%
Tlaib 18/31% for -13%
Pelosi 34/50% for -16%
Omar 18/36% for -18%
McConnell 23/46% for -23%

[Mr. Morden]

I believe this is their last poll:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=323420.0

They were polling Bloomberg rather than de Blasio back then as well.  Amusing that after a month, they haven't fixed this mistake.

[SN2903]

The poll started before Gabbard debated.

Not really.  If you click through to the PDF results posted by eric82oslo, it says that the #s as posted in the OP only include responses taken after 11pm EST on the 31st, at which point the debate had ended.

However, they also have favorability #s, which are not restricted to responses from post-debate:

fav / unfav % among all voters:
Biden 48/39% for +9%
Sanders 44/44 for +/-0
Warren 37/39% for -2%
Buttigieg 27/29% for -2%
Harris 32/39% for -7%
O’Rourke 27/35% for -8%
Trump 39/55% for -16%

Also….
Pressley 12/21% for -9%
Schumer 27/38% for -11%
Ocasio-Cortez 29/41% for -12%
Tlaib 18/31% for -13%
Pelosi 34/50% for -16%
Omar 18/36% for -18%
McConnell 23/46% for -23%

It cant take a few days for the result of a debate to felt in the polls. Trumps numbers were down a little last week after the perceived racist comments but when he first said them the numbers didn't immediately change. I want to see polls this weekend and next week.

[Alben Barkley]

RCP has the full poll numbers: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html

Full survey data here: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2019/Harvard-Harris_July_2019_Topline_Registered_Voters.pdf

I think they oversampled 18-34 year olds.

If oversampling 18-34 year olds means a decisive Biden lead (literally double Sanders), then I can’t imagine how much Biden would be leading by in a more “representative” poll, considering he does best by far with older voters. If that’s the case, might as well just wrap the whole thing up now and hand the nomination to Diamond Joe.

[Alben Barkley]

The poll started before Gabbard debated.

Not really.  If you click through to the PDF results posted by eric82oslo, it says that the #s as posted in the OP only include responses taken after 11pm EST on the 31st, at which point the debate had ended.

However, they also have favorability #s, which are not restricted to responses from post-debate:

fav / unfav % among all voters:
Biden 48/39% for +9%
Sanders 44/44 for +/-0
Warren 37/39% for -2%
Buttigieg 27/29% for -2%
Harris 32/39% for -7%
O’Rourke 27/35% for -8%
Trump 39/55% for -16%

Also….
Pressley 12/21% for -9%
Schumer 27/38% for -11%
Ocasio-Cortez 29/41% for -12%
Tlaib 18/31% for -13%
Pelosi 34/50% for -16%
Omar 18/36% for -18%
McConnell 23/46% for -23%

One of the most reputable pollsters polled the favorability of almost every single national politician of note, and literally ONLY Uncle Joe has a net positive rating. Even after now months of sustained attacks from both left and right. And STILL there are some people who think he wouldn’t be a slam dunk win. Crazy.

[ProudModerate2]

Booker 2%.
I thought his numbers were suppose to jump (up).

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Bring it home Uncle Joe!

[eric82oslo]

Bring it home Uncle Joe!

I don't understand why so many Democrats want a presidential candidate with dementia.

[CookieDamage]

Bring it home Uncle Joe!

I don't understand why so many Democrats wants a presidential candidate with dementia.

Because Uncle Joe

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

But Atlas and Twitter said that Harris was destroyed by Progressive Queen Tulsi B. Gabbard??

Also what were the numbers on the previous Harvard/Harris poll? I suspect both Biden and Harris dropped, but it looks like Warren did as well?

But Atlas and Twitter also said that Gabbard was destroyed by Kamala "Tulsi's an Assad apologist" Harris??

Atlas & Twitter have also said numerous things that'd fit any narrative you want.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Bring it home Uncle Joe!

I don't understand why so many Democrats wants a presidential candidate with dementia.

Because they want another Obama era. Many Dems were P*SSED about Obama being bashed in stage last week.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Booker 2%.
I thought his numbers were suppose to jump (up).

It's pretty clear that the top four are cemented in their positions and the only ones that really have a chance at the nomination.