Danish Elections and Politics

[Jens]

Parliament just agreed on a binding climate law, almost all parties is part of the agreement,except Liberal Alliance and Nye Borgerlige
The parties commits to a 70 % reduction of emissions in 2030, in Denmark, no buying quotas and yearly evaluations. Looks decent and a really good thing that almost all parties is committed

[Jens]

Parliament just agreed on a binding climate law, almost all parties is part of the agreement,except Liberal Alliance and Nye Borgerlige
The parties commits to a 70 % reduction of emissions in 2030, in Denmark, no buying quotas and yearly evaluations. Looks decent and a really good thing that almost all parties is committed

https://twitter.com/DanJoergensen/status/1203060921272274944

DPP had been making noises that the would back the deal, so not that surprising now that they are a part of the majority. But I still see it as a quite weird move for the party. It makes them look quite untrustworthy, so shortly after an election where they denounced those voters choosing the centre-left parties as "climate fools". Also, there will still surely be a significant part of the voters opposed to some of the measures, that will follow from this law. But I guess they are very eager to join such a broad agreement and look like a palatable government-ready party, and then perhaps the can renege from supporting the unpopular, concrete measures later.

It surpriced me too - but they do have a fraction that is very focused on animal welfare and nature preservation, so some aspects of the climate law makes sense to the. But yes, let’s see how they react, when it comes to implementing the law.

[Jens]

How much lower can Dansk Folkeparti sink before Thulesen Dahl is forced out?

Given the history of DPP, don't expect him to leave anytime soon. There is no tradition for any opposition in DPP - as a party, is was basicially founded to have a rightwing party with no internal democracy. The ghost of the chaos of Progress Party is still very strong, even with the younger leaders who wasn't even born when Pia Kærsgaard left PP.
But if DPP suffers a heavy defeat in next years local elections, the internal pressure for a new leadership will be heavy. But Thulesen Dahl will probably resign before he is challenged.

[Jens]

The Vegan Party has collected enough signatures and is running at the next election. Fun times...

[Jens]

The Vegan Party has collected enough signatures and is running at the next election. Fun times...

Denmark's own PvDd?

Sort of, but more veganism than animal welfare

[Jens]

The Moderates have starting collecting the necessary 20 182 signatures. And in the first two weeks, the party have already collected 2 171. The Independent Greens are still at a high pace, now up to 14 832, so eligibility looks likely. However, the party's reputation took a hit this week as, unsurprisingly, the culture of sexual harrassment and obscenity, which characterized the Elbæk wing of the party in the Alternative days, is also prevalent in the Independent Greens. The party's chief spin doctor has been forced to resign after it was revealed that he flashed several people at the Folkemøde (a yearly week of politics and lobbyism) at the sunny island of Bornholm

The Moderates are already up at 14 257 signatures, so Løkke's party is clearly on pace for eligibility. The Independent Greens are at 16.535, so they still look like they are gonna make it, even if the pace has gone down somewhat and Løkke will probably get to the finish line before them.

I agree. Both parties will probably gain enough signatures, so it looks like 14 parties running at the next parliamentary election, the most since the 80’s. It’s going to be interesting to see the first polls that includes Moderaterne.

[Jens]

Where does the Conservative People's Party fall on the europhillic-euroskeptic spectrum?

Largely in line with the other pro-EU parties. A bit more talk about sovereignty, defence ect., and rhetorical willingness to talk against ECHR etc., but in practice there wouldn't be much difference to see with a Conservative lead government in the relation to EU.

True - but in the youth organization, there is a strong anit-EU minority, but they have no power in the mother party, because the business orgs are very pro EU

[Jens]

Moderaterne, the party of former PM, Lars Løkke Rasmussen, has managed to collect 20.000 signatures and are now ready to run in the next parliamentary election.
Frie Grønne is close but not there yet. If they also manage to collect the necessary signatures, it will be the election with the most parties running since the 80’s - since them is has become much harder to secure the needed signatures. 

[Jens]

Moderaterne, the party of former PM, Lars Løkke Rasmussen, has managed to collect 20.000 signatures and are now ready to run in the next parliamentary election.
Frie Grønne is close but not there yet. If they also manage to collect the necessary signatures, it will be the election with the most parties running since the 80’s - since them is has become much harder to secure the needed signatures. 

And Frie Grønne reached the nessessary number of signatures and is ready for the next parliamentary election. Fun times. Let’s see if they will get any wind in the polls…

[Jens]

Inger Støjberg received an unconditional sentence of 60 days. After a bizarre impeachment trial, which could only be followed via the writings of the Støjberg-hostile media, the former Immigration Minister received an absurdly tough sentence. I thought it would be a 20-6 majority for a sentence as the Liberal + Conservative judges were appointed before the two parties turned their backs on her, but it ended with a 25-1 sentence as the Liberals and Conservative judges followed the lead of their MPs who had voted to impeach her. So the outcome mirrored the impeachment vote in parliament with only DPP voting against (New Right + Lars Løkke weren't represented among the judges).

Now the same majority will vote to revoke her status as a MP, finalizing the deep state's charade. The first alternate for her is Gitte Willumsen, who ran as a Liberal in 2019, but has since changed to the Conservatives.

Now we await to see what she decides in relation to her future in politics. In the short term, there's soon a leadership election in DPP, so we will see whether she will want to involve her in that in any regard. I'm quite certain this sentence hasn't moved the needle much for DPP electors, but I'm less certain whether Støjberg wants to throw herself into the mix. Thulelsen Dahl just said that she could of course still become a good DPP leader.

Unsurprisingly I (and just everybody not voting DF or NB) don't agree with Diouf's take on this.
Støjberg was convicted for setting aside existing legislation and all the juridical judges (the full Supreme Court) agreed on her being guilding of ignoring Ministeransvarsloven (the law defining the limitations and responsibilities of ministers of the state). Only the civil judge from Dansk Folkeparti voted against. That is massive and a clear signal that Støjberg vent too far trying to separate underage married refugees.
The sentence is harsh, and some of the juridical judges didn’t support a prison sentence – but Støjberg insisting on she did noting wrong, in some way forced the court’s hand.
There is absolutely no “Deep State” in this. That is nothing but a conspiracy myth!
The wild thing is that Støjberg could have avoided all this if she had just admitted that she did something, she wasn’t allowed to do and accepted the “nose” from parliament and probably resigned as Minister for Integration (just to return later, like former PM Anders Fogh did, when he was caught being naughy as Minister of Taxation)

[Jens]

The former DF-MP's are very busy trying to join Støjberg's new party. If she allows them to join and former leader of DF Kristian Thulesen Dahl also joins, it will be the largest breakaway party since Radikale Venstre broke away from Venstre back in 1905. If Thulesen Dahl joins and DD manages to reenter parliament, he will be only the second MP to get elected for two new parties after Aksel Larsen (DKP & SF)

[Jens]

Deal to boost wind and solar energy

Another big climate deal was just agreed. Of the parties represented in parliament only New Right, Independent Greens and the Moderates weren't a part of the deal. The two first are probably opposed to it from each side of the green spectre, while Løkke's party is only recently officially founded so probably didn't exist when negotiations started and therefore haven't taken part.

The deal aims to quadrouple the electricity production from solar and land-based wind energy in 2030. This will happen by creating 10-15 new, large 'energy parks' with solar cell areas + wind turbines. The exisiting limits on the scope of such projects will be loosened, and climate will be inserted into the planning laws as a criteria on par with environment and growth. It will also be easier to place renewable energy sources in the so-called "manor areas", the large nature areas around historic manors. The parties also agreed on adding 4 GW of sea-based wind energy in 2030.

In addition, the parties agreed that the use of gas for heating should be phased out. They aim for gas no longer to be used in heating houses in 2035. District heating should be the replacement in most areas. Until gas is phased out, the ambition is for the gas production to become as green as possible, so that already in 2030 it will only be biogas.

It looks like a pretty decent deal. One thing I really like, is that no municipalicy can opt out of having windmills - If they lack the space, they will have to finance windmills elsewhere (overhead the mayor of Rudersdal at Folkemødet trying to wease them out of during anything cause "they havn't got the space and is already paying soooo much equalization...")

[Jens]

The former Chairman of DF and cofounder Kristian Thulesen Dahl has just annonced, to nobodys surprice, that he is leaving the party
https://nyheder.tv2.dk/politik/2022-06-29-kristian-thulesen-dahl-melder-sig-ud-af-dansk-folkeparti

A fair guess it that he is joining Danmarksdemokraterne

[Jens]

Pape wants to be PM

Today the Conservative leader Søren Pape announced that he aims to become PM after the upcoming general election. As expected, he said the he aims to form a "blue" government, and that he believes the blue PM candidate supported by the most seats should become PM if there's a blue majority. Polls in recent days have shown that voters support Pape as PM over Ellemann, both among all voters and among the Blue voters only.

It is going to be interesting. Yesterdays Voxmeter poll showed a tied race between Venstre and Konservative, both at 24 mandates and Moderaterne (4) with the decisive mandates... And 7 right and centre right parties in parliament.

Voxmeter 15/8-22
A: 43 M
B: 11 M
C: 24 M
D: 10 M
F: 15 M
G: 0 M
I: 8 M
K: 0 M
M: 4 M
O: 4 M
Q: 0 M
V: 24 M
Æ: 17 M
Ø: 15 M
Å: 0 M
ABFØ: 84 M -7
CDIOVÆ: 87 M + 8

GQÅ combined at 0,8 % K at 1,0 %
https://voxmeter.dk/meningsmalinger/