Roll Roons
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« on: August 13, 2019, 10:43:01 PM » |
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Senate: In addition to North Dakota, Indiana, Missouri and Florida, GOP picks up West Virginia (Manchin retires), Montana, Ohio, and at least two of Michigan, Wisconsin, New Jersey and Pennsylvania. They hold Nevada and Arizona. Flake and Corker probably don't retire.
Governors: GOP wins Connecticut, Oregon and possibly Rhode Island. Illinois, New Mexico and maybe Michigan are the only D gains.
House: A lot of Dem-held Trump districts flip. Peterson and Cartwright are the most obvious ones, but Loebsack, Gottheimer, Bustos, Kind, Shea-Porter's seat and Maloney are all possibilities. Assuming they both still leave, Walz and Nolan's districts are gimmes. Some Hillary-districts Dems also lose - maybe Delaney? Bera? Murphy? Suozzi? Carbajal? Schneider if Dold runs again? The only Republican incumbents at risk of losing are Comstock, Coffman, Paulsen and Issa.
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