LA 2019 Gov Race: Gov John Bel Edwards wins a 2nd term
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  LA 2019 Gov Race: Gov John Bel Edwards wins a 2nd term		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: LA 2019 Gov Race: Gov John Bel Edwards wins a 2nd term  (Read 46825 times)
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #125 on: October 12, 2019, 08:08:13 PM »
Edwards is in third place in LaSalle Parish (the most racist place in America), lmao.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #126 on: October 12, 2019, 08:10:31 PM »
And NYT is beginning to get the early vote.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #127 on: October 12, 2019, 08:11:23 PM »
Clearly early vote points to Safe R! I am 100% sure of my obvious conclusion!
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #128 on: October 12, 2019, 08:13:03 PM »
Quote from: Politician on October 12, 2019, 08:08:13 PM
Edwards is in third place in LaSalle Parish (the most racist place in America), lmao.

Abraham is going to dominate the GOP vote in the baptist/dixie north, it's a question of how well he does in the more vote dense Catholic south.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #129 on: October 12, 2019, 08:13:13 PM »
WOW JBE at 55% in Jefferson Parish
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Computer89
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« Reply #130 on: October 12, 2019, 08:13:16 PM »
How does this look for Edwards so far
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Gracile
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« Reply #131 on: October 12, 2019, 08:14:05 PM »

It's still early, but Edwards is only at 43% statewide.
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Computer89
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« Reply #132 on: October 12, 2019, 08:14:54 PM »
Quote from: gracile on October 12, 2019, 08:14:05 PM

It's still early, but Edwards is only at 43% statewide.

But none of NO is in and barely any of BR either
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #133 on: October 12, 2019, 08:15:42 PM »
Didn't Red Eagle say Oregon isn't safe. Lol.
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I Can Now Die Happy
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« Reply #134 on: October 12, 2019, 08:16:14 PM »
https://voterportal.sos.la.gov/Graphical

Go to the Oct 24 2015 section and it has both early vote results AND results by precinct if you wanna compare
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Pericles
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« Reply #135 on: October 12, 2019, 08:16:17 PM »
JBE on 41.66%, he's lost. Big victory for republicans, resounding rejection of impeachment effort. This has to sting for us Dems.

/s
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #136 on: October 12, 2019, 08:17:29 PM »
Is there a counting bias towards the GOP or towards Dems?

Either way, this is definitely not looking so hot right now for Edwards.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #137 on: October 12, 2019, 08:18:08 PM »
Yawn, barely anything is in.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #138 on: October 12, 2019, 08:19:44 PM »
Quote from: L.D. Smith on October 12, 2019, 08:17:29 PM
Is there a counting bias towards the GOP or towards Dems?

The former. Nothing is in from Caddo, Orleans, or Baton Rouge.
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jaichind
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« Reply #139 on: October 12, 2019, 08:20:04 PM »
No early results from Orleans yet
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #140 on: October 12, 2019, 08:21:18 PM »
WNN PROJECTION:

Total: 185,381
Lieutenant Governor
 
7 of 3934 precincts reporting - 1%
absentee reporting - 39 of 64 parishes   Votes
47,417   Willie Jones (DEM)  26%
135,213   William "Billy" Nungesser (REP)  74%
Total: 182,630
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #141 on: October 12, 2019, 08:21:42 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on October 12, 2019, 08:19:44 PM
Quote from: L.D. Smith on October 12, 2019, 08:17:29 PM
Is there a counting bias towards the GOP or towards Dems?

The former. Nothing is in from Caddo, Orleans, or Baton Rouge.

And this is all early vote which may(?) be more favorable for the GOP if we follow history.
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Xing
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« Reply #142 on: October 12, 2019, 08:22:24 PM »
One more thing (in addition to more results and numbers from Baton Rouge/New Orleans) we'll need to know before making any conclusions is whether the early vote is more or less favorable for Edwards.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #143 on: October 12, 2019, 08:23:13 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on October 12, 2019, 08:21:42 PM
Quote from: IceSpear on October 12, 2019, 08:19:44 PM
Quote from: L.D. Smith on October 12, 2019, 08:17:29 PM
Is there a counting bias towards the GOP or towards Dems?

The former. Nothing is in from Caddo, Orleans, or Baton Rouge.

And this is all early vote which may(?) be more favorable for the GOP if we follow history.
Likely will. In 2015 it was.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #144 on: October 12, 2019, 08:29:08 PM »
Couvillon says early vote is bad for JBE.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #145 on: October 12, 2019, 08:30:19 PM »
WNN PROJECTIONS:

Attorney General
 
8 of 3934 precincts reporting - 1%
absentee reporting - 42 of 64 parishes   Votes
53,856   "Ike" Jackson, Jr. (DEM)  28%
138,831   "Jeff" Landry (REP)  72%
Total: 192,687
Treasurer
 
8 of 3934 precincts reporting - 1%
absentee reporting - 42 of 64 parishes   Votes
55,127   Derrick Edwards (DEM)  29%
8,066   Teresa Kenny (NOPTY)  4%
129,071   John M. Schroder (REP)  67%
Total: 192,264
Commissioner of -- Agriculture and Forestry
 
8 of 3934 precincts reporting - 1%
absentee reporting - 42 of 64 parishes   Votes
29,350   Marguerite Green (DEM)  15%
14,898   "Charlie" Greer (DEM)  8%
120,816   Michael G. "Mike" Strain (REP)  63%
9,951   Peter Williams (DEM)  5%
15,463   Bradley Zaunbrecher (REP)  8%
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #146 on: October 12, 2019, 08:32:03 PM »
LOL,
Early Vote always is scewed towards the D's in every State these Days in the Country and someone now says EV has R bias.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #147 on: October 12, 2019, 08:35:26 PM »
The interesting thing here is how Abramham appears to be winning the Acadian regions versus Rispone, at least in this early vote. Rispone will probably jump up when we see St Tammany, but right now we have to wait and see why the polls put Rispone ahead. Might end up being a E-Day vs Early vote divide.

Lafayette's numbers might be interesting for all parties involved.
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I Can Now Die Happy
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« Reply #148 on: October 12, 2019, 08:37:33 PM »
EVANGELINE PRECINCT 01/1010

2015 RESULTS

JBE: 70% 106 VOTES

2019 RESULTS

JBE: 74% 122 VOTES
similar swing in PRECINCT 01/1080

ACADIA PRECINCT 06/01

2019
JBE: 63% 165 VOTES

2015
JBE: 56% 182 VOTES
ACADIA PRECINCT 06/03B

2019

JBE: 13% 16 VOTES

2015

JBE: 11% 17 VOTES

===

It seems JBE isn't improving much from 2015 where he got 40% statewide, ergo likely he won't get 50% today statewide
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #149 on: October 12, 2019, 08:38:55 PM »
Edwards is gaining with the ED vote.
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