LA 2019 Gov Race: Gov John Bel Edwards wins a 2nd term
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  LA 2019 Gov Race: Gov John Bel Edwards wins a 2nd term		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: LA 2019 Gov Race: Gov John Bel Edwards wins a 2nd term  (Read 45320 times)
Yellowhammer
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« Reply #25 on: September 20, 2019, 03:54:15 AM »
Quote from: Pittsburgh For Kamala on August 24, 2019, 08:58:07 PM
Winner: JBE

BIG losers no matter the winner: Women

Thanks for the laugh
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #26 on: September 20, 2019, 10:11:43 PM »
Quote from: Pittsburgh For Kamala on August 24, 2019, 08:58:07 PM
Winner: JBE

BIG losers no matter the winner: Women

 Ecause Abraham will do SO much for women's rights....Roll Eyes
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Fuzzy Bear
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« Reply #27 on: September 21, 2019, 08:13:52 AM »
Quote from: Lechasseur on August 21, 2019, 04:50:07 AM
JBE will win, not sure if it goes to a runoff or not though
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #28 on: September 21, 2019, 11:23:49 AM »
The risk for Edwards is a runoff with Rispone after he surprised for 2nd in the primary round.  Otherwise, JBE is clearly favored.
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Frodo
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« Reply #29 on: September 27, 2019, 11:56:38 AM »
« Edited: September 27, 2019, 12:04:26 PM by Grand Mufti of Northern Virginia »
If Trump were to hold a rally in Louisiana next month, how much of an effect would that have on the governor's race (as well as various legislative races)?
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #30 on: September 27, 2019, 12:15:52 PM »
Quote from: Grand Mufti of Northern Virginia on September 27, 2019, 11:56:38 AM
If Trump were to hold a rally in Louisiana next month, how much of an effect would that have on the governor's race (as well as various legislative races)?

A whole lot. Not because he would be polarizing the race but because he or his administration would have to endorse one of Rispone or Abraham, that's just how a local campaign rally works. That would centralize GOP voters, and suddenly JBE might have a race on his hand.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #31 on: September 27, 2019, 01:18:13 PM »
JBE's best shot is to take it in the jungle primary, since that means he won't have to deal with Trump or a united GOP field at all. Granted Landrieu and Dantzler probably force it to a runoff, with what looks possible to be Rispone now, that was a surprise to me.
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Suburban Republican
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« Reply #32 on: September 27, 2019, 05:53:46 PM »
It’ll most likely go to a runoff election, wherein Abraham will win by high single digits.
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #33 on: September 27, 2019, 06:00:00 PM »
Quote from: omelott on September 27, 2019, 05:53:46 PM
It’ll most likely go to a runoff election, wherein Abraham will win by high single digits.
Abraham won't even make it into a runoff.
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Suburban Republican
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« Reply #34 on: September 27, 2019, 06:22:16 PM »
Quote from: Politician on September 27, 2019, 06:00:00 PM
Quote from: omelott on September 27, 2019, 05:53:46 PM
It’ll most likely go to a runoff election, wherein Abraham will win by high single digits.
Abraham won't even make it into a runoff.
Oops. I meant Rispone Tongue
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #35 on: September 27, 2019, 06:47:33 PM »
I think JBE avoids a runoff with 52% of the vote, give or take 1%. I guess it could go to a runoff, but people here are seriously underestimating JBE (and Hood).
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #36 on: October 01, 2019, 12:51:53 PM »
GOP infighting in Louisiana.

https://www.politico.com/news/2019/10/01/edwards-louisiana-governor-republicans-014084
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #37 on: October 01, 2019, 03:43:12 PM »
From a FB friend:

Quote
As of Day 2, the Louisiana early vote numbers are:

43.64% D
42.17% R
14.19% Other

Right now, Republicans have increased their improvement from 2015, now running 6.29% better. "Other" is also now doing almost 1% better than 2015.

When you break it down by race, it is:

73.27% White
24.33% Black
  2.4%    Other

Compared to 2015 early vote, so far the electorate is about 2% more white.

Traditionally for a Democrat to win statewide in Louisiana, they need 30%+ of the electorate to be black. But much of the black vote doesn't vote until election day. The more they fall behind on early vote means they have to do more work on election day. Early vote numbers are also a gauge of voter enthusiasm.

We'll see how this develops more in the next 5 days.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #38 on: October 02, 2019, 02:04:25 PM »
Here we go, the God Emperor has spoken.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #39 on: October 02, 2019, 06:34:40 PM »
Quote from: President Johnson on October 02, 2019, 02:04:25 PM
Here we go, the God Emperor has spoken.



The fact that had didn't endorse or do turnout rallies make this a non-factor. Nothing changed. If he endorsed the race would be flipped on its head but... Just telling someone to go vote with no carrots, sticks, or flashy lights rarely works.
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Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸
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« Reply #40 on: October 07, 2019, 05:43:24 PM »
« Edited: October 07, 2019, 05:51:03 PM by Thunder98 »
Trump to hold a Campaign rally on Friday in Lake Charles, LA.

https://www.kplctv.com/2019/10/06/trump-campaign-louisiana-friday-republican-candidates-
governor/
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #41 on: October 07, 2019, 05:50:50 PM »
Quote from: Thunder98 on October 07, 2019, 05:43:24 PM
Trump to hold a Campaign rally on Friday in Lake Charle, LA.

https://www.kplctv.com/2019/10/06/trump-campaign-louisiana-friday-republican-candidates-
governor/



Lmao will both Rispone and Abraham be there like Jenkins and Morrisey XD
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #42 on: October 07, 2019, 06:13:28 PM »
Quote from: Bagel23 on October 07, 2019, 05:50:50 PM
Quote from: Thunder98 on October 07, 2019, 05:43:24 PM
Trump to hold a Campaign rally on Friday in Lake Charle, LA.

https://www.kplctv.com/2019/10/06/trump-campaign-louisiana-friday-republican-candidates-
governor/



Lmao will both Rispone and Abraham be there like Jenkins and Morrisey XD
'

Like I said earlier rallies for a party never work because people lack the motivation, they need to be for a person. A person sticks in your mind, a party is just a brand with a variety of flavors. If trump endorsed now, that would be different, but that's not happening till next week if at all.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #43 on: October 08, 2019, 04:18:58 AM »
Quote from: Cory Booker on August 19, 2019, 07:44:33 PM
JBE has governed like an R; but with a D next to his name

Lie.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #44 on: October 08, 2019, 03:17:22 PM »
Lol, someone is desperate:
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Xing
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« Reply #45 on: October 09, 2019, 12:37:23 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 08, 2019, 03:17:22 PM
Lol, someone is desperate:



Yeah, Republicans totally run on #KitchenTableIssues
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IceSpear
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« Reply #46 on: October 09, 2019, 02:57:16 PM »
Quote from: Bad Fit for the Rust/Sun Belt Xing on October 09, 2019, 12:37:23 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 08, 2019, 03:17:22 PM
Lol, someone is desperate:



Yeah, Republicans totally run on #KitchenTableIssues

In a sense, yes. They want Pelosi to go back to the kitchen table.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #47 on: October 10, 2019, 07:45:18 AM »
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Donerail
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« Reply #48 on: October 10, 2019, 01:39:29 PM »
Time for predictions? I'll go Edwards 47, Rispone 26, Abraham 24
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Politician
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« Reply #49 on: October 10, 2019, 01:42:29 PM »
Edwards 49
Rispone 25
Abraham 22

Edwards defeats Rispone in runoff, 53-47
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