LA 2019 Gov Race: Gov John Bel Edwards wins a 2nd term
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  LA 2019 Gov Race: Gov John Bel Edwards wins a 2nd term
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Author Topic: LA 2019 Gov Race: Gov John Bel Edwards wins a 2nd term  (Read 45311 times)
Calthrina950
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« Reply #625 on: November 16, 2019, 12:41:29 AM »

I wonder how many Trump voters JBE will get.


Edwards will obviously need Trump voters to win reelection. I suspect the ones he will get will be moderate, educated, middle to upper middle class white suburbanites in the New Orleans and Baton Rouge metropolitan areas.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #626 on: November 16, 2019, 12:51:55 AM »

I wonder how many Trump voters JBE will get.


Edwards will obviously need Trump voters to win reelection. I suspect the ones he will get will be moderate, educated, middle to upper middle class white suburbanites in the New Orleans and Baton Rouge metropolitan areas.

I mean yes, but he will also be getting them in rural Trump country too. Obviously he will do much worse than 2015 there, but it will be places like Cameron Parish Louisiana where hell get high twenties vs like 10% and lose it by high 40s instead of like by 80. He will do much better in many rural Trump country areas than HRC 2016, which will go underapreciated should he win tomorrow. Sometimes it really does make a giant difference and help get you over the top whether you get smashed by 40-50 points in an area instead of like 60 you know?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #627 on: November 16, 2019, 06:03:46 AM »

This race on my mind has kept me up all night.
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Cinemark
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« Reply #628 on: November 16, 2019, 07:55:25 AM »

This race on my mind has kept me up all night.

It hasn't kept me up, but i purposefully haven't made any plans tonight because I know this is going to be a nail biter and i wont be able to concentrate on anything else.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #629 on: November 16, 2019, 09:00:21 AM »

I wonder how many Trump voters JBE will get.


Edwards will obviously need Trump voters to win reelection. I suspect the ones he will get will be moderate, educated, middle to upper middle class white suburbanites in the New Orleans and Baton Rouge metropolitan areas.

I would hesitate to call them moderate, more like "less conservative."
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #630 on: November 16, 2019, 09:30:03 AM »

I wonder how many Trump voters JBE will get.


Edwards will obviously need Trump voters to win reelection. I suspect the ones he will get will be moderate, educated, middle to upper middle class white suburbanites in the New Orleans and Baton Rouge metropolitan areas.

I would hesitate to call them moderate, more like "less conservative."

Fair enough, but you could still say "moderate" within the context of Louisianian politics.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #631 on: November 16, 2019, 12:00:19 PM »

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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #632 on: November 16, 2019, 12:43:17 PM »

Logical projection can be made with nothing in.

Lousiana Secretary of State 2019 Runoff (0% Reporting)

Projected Winner: Kyle Ardoin (R)✔

Gwen Collins-Greenup (D)
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #633 on: November 16, 2019, 01:01:18 PM »

Per usual:

Here's Griff's patented Election Day Hysteria Generator!

Have fun Smiley

Quote
Early reports of [adjective] turnout in [location] suggest [noun] for [party/candidate]
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #634 on: November 16, 2019, 01:03:00 PM »

Hearing reports of rain in NOLA Wink
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Frodo
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« Reply #635 on: November 16, 2019, 01:07:14 PM »
« Edited: November 16, 2019, 01:10:41 PM by Grand Mufti of Northern Virginia »

There is no weather-related reason for voters not to be going to their polling stations today:

https://www.fox8live.com/weather/

https://www.wafb.com/weather/

A cool and sunny mid-November day for both New Orleans and Baton Rouge -and presumably for the rest of the state.  
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soundchaser
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« Reply #636 on: November 16, 2019, 01:14:58 PM »

Yep, it’s far and away the nicest weather we’ve had all week. Hopeful Edwards can pull out the win, although there have been quite a few Rispone signs in Jefferson Parish.
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Xing
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« Reply #637 on: November 16, 2019, 01:24:56 PM »
« Edited: November 16, 2019, 01:32:46 PM by Xing »

So actually, I guess we should be saying...

No rain in NOLA, Rispone is finished.

Anyway, I don't see the NYT results page up yet, but here's the SoS page: https://voterportal.sos.la.gov/static/2019-11-16/resultsRace/Statewide
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BRTD
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« Reply #638 on: November 16, 2019, 02:12:44 PM »

WTF I love JBE now


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Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸
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« Reply #639 on: November 16, 2019, 02:23:31 PM »


JBE a "Liberal", lmao. That ad is so cringe and reeks of desperation.

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smoltchanov
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« Reply #640 on: November 16, 2019, 02:27:52 PM »


JBE a "Liberal", lmao. That ad is so cringe and reeks of desperation.



Economic liberal - sure. But - these days "liberal" means "social liberal", which he isn't.
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soundchaser
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« Reply #641 on: November 16, 2019, 02:48:14 PM »

Rispone's been running ads smearing Edwards as a "radical leftist Democrat," which is, of course, absurd. "Liberal" is relatively mild and still misses the mark by a mile.
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Torrain
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« Reply #642 on: November 16, 2019, 02:48:27 PM »

Just to confirm, polls close at 8pm, right?
Might stay up to catch a few results, but it's always frustrating to have to wait until 2am for polls to even close.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #643 on: November 16, 2019, 02:51:10 PM »

Just to confirm, polls close at 8pm, right?
Might stay up to catch a few results, but it's always frustrating to have to wait until 2am for polls to even close.
9PM eastern, but 8PM central yeah
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #644 on: November 16, 2019, 05:19:36 PM »
« Edited: November 16, 2019, 05:25:50 PM by libertpaulian »

One good thing going for JBE is that AA voters seem to be motivated to vote for him.  Jim Hood didn't have that advantage.
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #645 on: November 16, 2019, 05:30:00 PM »

Any early news from the ground?
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soundchaser
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« Reply #646 on: November 16, 2019, 05:34:05 PM »


In terms of numbers? Just this so far:

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Cinemark
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« Reply #647 on: November 16, 2019, 05:42:04 PM »

I guess thats good for around noon. Not sure the voting patterns of Louisianan though, especially on a Saturday.
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soundchaser
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« Reply #648 on: November 16, 2019, 05:48:55 PM »

I guess thats good for around noon. Not sure the voting patterns of Louisianan though, especially on a Saturday.

Expect more votes in the evening -- a lot of us are still at work, even on a Saturday.
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Mike Thick
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« Reply #649 on: November 16, 2019, 06:16:41 PM »

Rain in NOLA. Gillespie +1
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