Between defeating JBE or getting a supermajority in the State House, which do you think will be easier for LA Republicans? This has potentially important implications for redistricting, as a JBE veto of the 2021 maps could force 2 separate Dem leaning CDs in NOLA and Baton Rouge and keep Republicans structurally below a legislative supermajority through the 2020's. After seeing the 2 suburban Trump districts flip in MS and a couple of the rural seats hold, I think JBE will be able to get his vetoes sustained in any scenario where he wins reelection.
There is always the possibility of enough Democratic defections to effectively secure a Republican supermajority in the House even when they didn't win one outright on November 16.