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September 15, 2019, 11:00:50 am
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  My early 2020 senate prediction
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Councilman Laki
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« on: August 21, 2019, 12:44:42 pm »

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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #1 on: August 21, 2019, 02:28:56 pm »
« Edited: August 22, 2019, 03:44:28 am by Frenchrepublican »

Mine :



Competitive races :

MN : 55/44 D
CO : 53/46 D
MI : 52/47 D
AZ : 51/47 D

ME : very close but Collins prevails
NC : 50/48 R
GA : 53/46 R
IA : 55/43 R
AL : 58/40 R

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Del Tachi
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« Reply #2 on: August 21, 2019, 05:54:42 pm »



GOP 53-45-2.  Not net change.

Competitive races:

Alabama:  Byrne 58, Jones 41
Arizona:  McSally 50, Kelly 48
Colorado:  Hickenlooper 53, Gardner 45
Georgia:  Perdue 52, Tomlinson 47
Kansas:  Kobach 51, Boyda 45
Kentucky:  McConnell 58, McGrath 41
Maine:  Collins 55, Gideon 43
Michigan:  Peters 50, James 48
North Carolina:  Tillis 51, Cunningham 46
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« Reply #3 on: August 21, 2019, 06:46:44 pm »
« Edited: August 21, 2019, 07:39:15 pm by Politician stands with Sanchez »



AL: Tommy Tuberville 55, Doug Jones 43
AK: Dan Sullivan 52, Al Gross 45
AZ: Mark Kelly 51, Martha McSally 47
AR: Tom Cotton 62, Josh Mahony 36
CO: John Hickenlooper 55, Cory Gardner 43
DE: Chris Coons 60, Tom Kovach 37
GA: David Perdue 50, Teresa Tomlinson 47
ID: Jim Risch 63, Nancy Harris 35
IL: Dick Durbin 56, Mark Curran 42
IA: Joni Ernst 51, Theresa Greenfield 47
KS: Kris Kobach 49, Nancy Boyda 46
KY: Mitch McConnell 54, Matt Jones 44
LA: Bill Cassidy 58, Leading Dem 39
ME: Sara Gideon 50, Susan Collins 50
MA: Joe Kennedy 64, Shiva Ayyadauri 32
MI: Gary Peters 53, John James 45
MN: Tina Smith 55, Jason Lewis 43
MS: Cindy Hyde Smith 54, Mike Espy 44
MT: Steve Daines 53, John Mues 45
NE: Ben Sasse 59, Chris Beutler 39
NH: Jeanne Shaheen 56, Corey Lewandowski 41
NJ: Cory Booker 58, Kim Guadango 40
NM: Ben Ray Lujan 57, Mick Rich 39
NC: Cal Cunningham 49, Thom Tillis 48
OK: Jim Inhofe 64, Mike Workman 33
OR: Jeff Merkley 58, Leading Rep 39
RI: Jack Reed 66, Leading Rep 30
SC: Lindsey Graham 53, Jaime Harrison 45
SD: Mike Rounds 60, Leading Dem 37
TN: Bill Hagerty 62, James Mackler 36
TX: John Cornyn 52, MJ Hegar 46
VA: Mark Warner 55, Scott Taylor 42
WV: Shelley Moore Capito 66, Paula Jean Swearangin 32
WY: Cynthia Lummis 65, Leading Dem 32
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gracile
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« Reply #4 on: August 21, 2019, 07:37:30 pm »


This is impossible. One has to win Maine with more than 50% because of RCV.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #5 on: August 24, 2019, 01:10:12 pm »

Barry Grissom was key to flipping Senate, he went the same way of Ted Strickland before the campaign began
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538Electoral
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« Reply #6 on: August 24, 2019, 09:56:17 pm »

Switch AL and CO. Otherwise, It's the senate we have now.

I chose 10 seats to mark as potentially competitive.

AL: 54-44% R
AZ: 51-47% R
CO: 52-47% D
GA: 53-45% R
IA: 55-44% R
KY: 58-40% R
ME: 56-43% R
MI: 50-48% D (Could easily see this one going to James though)
NH: 52-47% D
NC: 51-48% R
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LCameronOR
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« Reply #7 on: August 26, 2019, 06:34:47 pm »

https://270towin.com/2020-senate-election/lgAzL2.png

Republicans hold on by a thin margin. Maine is the closest state.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #8 on: August 26, 2019, 10:34:41 pm »

Collins and/or Ernst can very well lose, but AZ isnt LR, like 538 has it, its LD with Kelly
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #9 on: September 07, 2019, 01:31:15 pm »



Georgia splits.

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Cory Booker
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« Reply #10 on: September 08, 2019, 11:21:11 am »
« Edited: September 08, 2019, 11:45:07 am by Cory Booker »



AK Gross has an excellent chance due to AK 1K a mnth given to residents
AZ Kelly
CO Hickenlooper
GA split
IA Frankem
KS D
ME Gideon
MA Joe Kennedy
NC Cunningham
TX Hegar

5 seats or more, 2008 scenario is possible
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Councilman Laki
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« Reply #11 on: September 10, 2019, 07:35:52 am »

What I hope



Colorado preferrably someone else than the Hick
New Hampshire preferrably someone else than Shaheen or Lewandowski
West-Virginia hopefully Ojedaland
Kentucky upset defeat hopefully for McConnell. Come on McGrath
Upset wins for Republicans in MN and Mi as long the challenger is decent. John James would be a good senator i guess.
More independents hopefully in Alaska and Maine hopefully. Collins leaving the Republican Party would be great. Kansas hopefully a Democrat or independent as well. Greg Orman?
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